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Analysis of Sino-US Tech Competition and Investment Opportunities Under Jensen Huang's AI 'Five-Layer Cake' Framework

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December 12, 2025
Analysis of Sino-US Tech Competition and Investment Opportunities Under Jensen Huang's AI 'Five-Layer Cake' Framework
Analysis of Sino-US Tech Competition and Investment Opportunities Under Jensen Huang’s AI ‘Five-Layer Cake’ Framework
Overview of the AI Five-Layer Framework

The AI ‘Five-Layer Cake’ framework proposed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang divides the artificial intelligence industry into five key layers:

Energy Layer, Chip Layer, Infrastructure Layer, Model Layer, and Application Layer
[1]. This framework provides a systematic analytical tool for us to understand the competitive landscape between China and the US in the AI field.

黄仁勋AI五层框架可视化

Analysis of Sino-US Competition Landscape Across Layers
1. Energy Layer: China Has Obvious Advantages

China’s Competitive Advantages:

  • Has the world’s largest power grid, which expanded significantly from 2010 to 2024[3]
  • Significant advantage in electricity costs, providing basic support for large-scale AI training
  • Leading in clean energy investment, aligning with ESG investment trends

Investment Opportunities:

  • New energy power generation enterprises
  • Energy storage technology and smart grid solution providers
  • Energy management systems for data centers
2. Chip Layer: US Dominates, China Catches Up

US Advantages:

  • Maintains leadership in advanced process technologies, such as 3nm and 2nm processes
  • Globally leading in GPU and AI accelerator design capabilities; Nvidia’s current market capitalization reaches $4.28 trillion[0]
  • Complete chip ecosystem, with full-chain advantages from design to manufacturing

China’s Challenges and Opportunities:

  • Restricted access to high-end chips due to US export controls[2]
  • Domestic substitution process accelerating, investment opportunities focus on:
    • Foundry enterprises like SMIC
    • Chip design companies like HiSilicon and Cambricon
    • Semiconductor equipment and material suppliers
3. Infrastructure Layer: Neck and Neck

Competition Landscape:

  • China leads the world in 5G network coverage
  • China has faster data center construction speed, but the US has advantages in technology and energy efficiency
  • AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud still dominate the cloud computing market

Investment Focus:

  • Cloud computing service providers (Alibaba Cloud, Tencent Cloud, etc.)
  • Data center REITs
  • Network equipment and optical fiber manufacturers
4. Model Layer: Each Has Its Strengths

US Advantages:

  • Leading in cutting-edge large model research and development, such as GPT series and Claude
  • Huge R&D investment, obvious talent agglomeration effect
  • Close integration of academic research and industry

China’s Characteristics:

  • Active open-source ecosystem, with increasing contribution
  • Outstanding performance in vertical domain models
  • Obvious advantage in Chinese corpus

中美AI竞争力与投资策略对比

5. Application Layer: China’s Market Scale Advantage

China’s Significant Advantages:

  • Large user base and rich application scenarios
  • Fast commercialization speed and strong policy support
  • Perfect digital infrastructure such as mobile payment and e-commerce

Main Application Area Investment Opportunities:

  • Intelligent manufacturing and industrial internet
  • Smart cities and traffic management
  • Fintech and digital currency
  • Medical AI and precision medicine
Policy Environment and Strategic Considerations
US Policy Trends

Jensen Huang recently met with President Trump to discuss chip export control issues[2]. The US government has adopted a ‘precision strike’ strategy in AI export controls, trying to curb China’s AI development while protecting US enterprise interests. The strategic considerations behind this ‘calculation’ are:

  • Maintain technological generation gap advantage
  • Control key supply chain nodes
  • Safeguard national security and economic interests
China’s Response Strategies

Facing US technology blockades, China has adopted a multi-pronged response strategy:

  • Increase investment in independent R&D
  • Build alternative technology ecosystems
  • Strengthen technical cooperation with other countries
  • Leverage market scale advantages
Investment Strategy Recommendations
Short-Term Investment Opportunities (1-2 Years)
  1. Application layer enterprises
    : Benefit from large domestic market and rapid commercialization
  2. Domestic substitution concept
    : Semiconductor equipment and material suppliers
  3. Computing power leasing services
    : Data center and cloud computing service providers
Medium-Term Investment Opportunities (2-5 Years)
  1. Vertical domain AI
    : Professional AI solutions for industries like healthcare, education, and manufacturing
  2. Open-source ecosystem enterprises
    : Commercial companies based on open-source models
  3. Edge computing
    : Technical solutions that reduce reliance on cloud computing power
Long-Term Investment Opportunities (Over 5 Years)
  1. Next-generation chip technologies
    : Disruptive technologies like quantum computing and photonic chips
  2. New energy and energy storage
    : Clean energy solutions supporting large-scale AI computing
  3. AI infrastructure
    : Next-generation data centers and communication networks
Risk Warnings
  1. Geopolitical risk
    : Changes in Sino-US relations may affect technical cooperation and market access
  2. Technology route risk
    : Rapid development of AI technology may lead to obsolescence of existing investments
  3. Regulatory policy risk
    : AI regulatory policies are continuously strengthened in various countries
  4. Valuation risk
    : Some AI concept stocks are overvalued, with correction pressure
Conclusion

Jensen Huang’s AI five-layer framework clearly shows the competitive landscape between China and the US in the AI field:

China has advantages in the energy and application layers, the US leads in chips and cutting-edge models, and both sides are neck and neck in the infrastructure layer
.

In this competitive landscape, investors should:

  1. Focus on the differentiated advantages of China and the US across layers
    , avoiding a ‘one-size-fits-all’ investment approach
  2. Attach importance to domestic substitution opportunities
    , especially in chips and key technology areas
  3. Leverage China’s market scale advantage
    , focusing on investment opportunities in the application layer
  4. Balance short-term returns and long-term layout
    , building a diversified AI investment portfolio

At the same time, attention should be paid to preventing geopolitical and technology route risks, maintaining flexibility and adaptability in investments.


References:

[0] 金灵AI数据 - 英伟达公司财务数据和市场表现
[1] Forbes - “The AI Cold War And The Race For Sovereign AI” (2025)
[2] CNBC - “Nvidia’s Jensen Huang talks chip controls with Trump, hits regulation” (2025)
[3] 华尔街日报 - “在内蒙古目睹中国竞逐AI赛道的另一张王牌:全球最大电网” (2025)
[4] Bloomberg - “Chinese Economy Shows Strength With EVs, Rare Earths, Robots” (2025)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.