Market Analysis Report: S&P500 Rebound and Sector Rotation (Nov 2025)

On November 29, 2025, Seeking Alpha published a report highlighting a significant market rebound:

• The S&P 500 rebounded 3.7% last week, erasing prior losses and approaching a new all-time high driven by strong investor sentiment.
• Small caps and high-beta stocks led the rally, with blockchain companies and precious metals outperforming; energy and agricultural ETFs lagged.
• Growth stocks (especially the “Mag 7” group) fueled gains, except Nvidia (NVDA), raising concerns about potential AI momentum stalls.
• Investors rotated out of bonds, foreign stocks, and defensive sectors into U.S. equities, cyclicals, and growth, signaling a robust risk-on environment.

: [0] (Seeking Alpha Article Crawl)

• Indices Performance
  : The S&P 500 (^GSPC) gained ~2.15% over four trading days (Nov 24–28, 2025), while the Russell 2000 (small caps) rose ~3.57%—confirming small caps led the rally [1].
• Sentiment Shift
  : The market transitioned from extreme fear to optimism in two weeks, indicating high volatility and risk-on behavior [0].

• AI Sector Risk
  : NVDA’s underperformance (noted in the article) raises concerns about sustained AI momentum; a stall could impact tech and growth stock performance [0].
• Rotation Trends
  : The shift from defensive to cyclical/growth sectors may continue if macroeconomic conditions remain favorable, but reversals are possible given recent volatility [0].

All calculations are author’s analysis based on tool outputs:

Instrument	Period	Start Close	End Close	% Change	Source
S&P500 (^GSPC)	Nov24–28,2025	6,705.11	6,849.08	+2.15%	[1]
Russell2000 (^RUT)	Nov24–28,2025	2,414.28	2,500.43	+3.57%	[1]
Coinbase (COIN)	Nov24–28,2025	255.97	272.82	+6.58%	[3]
GLD (Gold ETF)	Nov24–28,2025	380.20	387.88	+2.02%	[5]
XLE (Energy ETF)	Nov24–28,2025	89.17	90.45	+1.44%	[7]
DBA (Agricultural ETF)	Nov24–28,2025	25.68	26.42	+2.88%	[8]

: Energy (+1.135%—best), Healthcare (-0.029%—worst) [2].

• Directly Impacted
  : S&P500 ETFs (SPY, IVV, VOO [0]), Russell2000 ETF (IWM [0]), Coinbase (COIN [3]), GLD (Gold ETF [5]), XLE (Energy ETF [7]), DBA (Agricultural ETF [8]).
• Related Sectors
  : Technology (Mag7 stocks except NVDA [0]), Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials (cyclicals [0]), Defensive sectors (lagging [0]).

1. Macro Drivers
   : What economic data (inflation, employment) or Fed policy changes caused the sentiment shift from fear to optimism?
2. NVDA Underperformance
   : Why did NVDA lag other Mag7 stocks? Are there company-specific issues or broader AI sector concerns?
3. Trend Sustainability
   : Will the risk-on rotation continue, or is this a short-term rebound?

• Volatility Risk
  : Users should be aware that the extreme sentiment shift (fear to optimism in two weeks) indicates high market volatility, which may lead to sudden reversals [0].
• AI Momentum Risk
  : This development raises concerns about potential AI momentum stalls (as NVDA was the only major tech loser), which could impact tech and growth stock performance [0].

1. NVDA’s Performance
   : Track NVDA’s price action to gauge AI sector health.
2. Sector Rotation
   : Watch if defensive sectors rebound or cyclicals continue to lead.
3. Macroeconomic Data
   : Monitor upcoming inflation and employment reports for Fed policy clues.

[0] Crawl Tool: Seeking Alpha Article (URL: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4848759-the-1-minute-market-report-november-30-2025)
[1] get_market_indices Tool: ^GSPC and ^RUT Data (Nov24–28,2025)
[2] get_sector_performance Tool: Sector Data (Nov28,2025)
[3] get_stock_daily_prices Tool: COIN Data (Nov24–28,2025)
[5] get_stock_daily_prices Tool: GLD Data (Nov24–28,2025)
[7] get_stock_daily_prices Tool: XLE Data (Nov24–28,2025)
[8] get_stock_daily_prices Tool: DBA Data (Nov24–28,2025)
[4] get_stock_daily_prices Tool: MSTR Data (Nov24–28,2025)
[6] get_stock_daily_prices Tool: GOLD Data (No Data Available)
Note: Tool IDs 4 and6 are included for completeness even if not used in the main analysis.