Week Ahead of December FOMC: Market Rebound, NVDA Volatility, and Bitcoin Resistance Analysis

Seeking Alpha [49]
2025-11-29

• Markets rebounded amid concerns of an AI bubble scare, with Nvidia earnings cited as a stabilizing factor
• Cryptocurrencies showed a timid bounce, with Bitcoin briefly regaining the $92,000 level before rejecting it in early afternoon trading
• The report previews market expectations ahead of the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting

Contrary to the article’s claim that Nvidia earnings “saved the trend,” Nvidia (NVDA) stock closed down 1.12% on November 28 [0]. However, broader market indices posted gains that day:

• S&P 500: +0.39% [1]
• NASDAQ Composite: +0.32% [1]
• Dow Jones Industrial: +0.49% [1]

The tech sector, which includes Nvidia, recorded a 0.53% gain on November 28, though it was outperformed by Energy (+1.14%) and Consumer Defensive (+0.89%) sectors [4]. This suggests a partial rotation toward value and defensive stocks ahead of the FOMC meeting.

Bitcoin’s price action aligned with the article’s description: it approached $92,000 on November 28 but failed to sustain this level [3]. This follows a recent recovery from a drop toward $80,000, driven by short-covering, ETF inflows, and bargain-hunting [3].

• Volatility:
  NVDA experienced significant swings, including a 7.81% drop on November 20 and a 1.70% gain on November 24 [0]
• Volume:
  Highest trading volume occurred on November 25 (320.6M shares), coinciding with a 1.66% price increase [0]
• Price Trend:
  NVDA’s price remained range-bound between $176.50 and $183.50 in the 6-day period [0]

• S&P 500:
  Recovered 4.75% from its November 20 low ($6,538.77) to November 28 close ($6,849.08) [1]
• NASDAQ:
  Rebounded 5.83% from November 20 low ($22,078.05) to November 28 close ($23,365.69) [1]

• Leadership Shift:
  Energy sector outperformed tech on November 28, indicating rotation toward commodity-linked stocks [4]
• Defensive Strength:
  Consumer Defensive sector ranked second, suggesting investor caution ahead of the FOMC meeting [4]

1. Nvidia Earnings Details:
   The article references Nvidia earnings but does not specify the exact release date or key metrics (e.g., revenue, EPS). Further investigation is needed to confirm if earnings exceeded expectations and the impact on market sentiment [2].
2. AI Bubble Scare:
   The article mentions an “AI-Bubble scare” but lacks context on its triggers (e.g., valuation concerns, regulatory news). Additional research into recent AI sector developments would clarify this narrative.
3. Bitcoin Rejection Drivers:
   The article notes Bitcoin’s rejection at $92,000 but does not explain the specific factors (e.g., profit-taking, regulatory news) behind this price action [3].

1. NVDA Volatility Risk:
   Users should be aware that NVDA’s recent significant price swings (including a 7.81% drop on November 20) may indicate heightened volatility that could impact investment decisions [0].
2. Bitcoin Resistance:
   Bitcoin’s failure to sustain $92,000 suggests short-term resistance at this level. Historical patterns indicate such rejections often lead to consolidation or further downside, which crypto investors should factor into their analysis [3].
3. FOMC Meeting Impact:
   Both equity and crypto markets are sensitive to Federal Reserve policy. The upcoming December FOMC meeting could trigger volatility if rate decisions differ from market expectations [3].
4. Sector Rotation:
   The shift from tech to energy leadership may signal changing investor priorities. Monitoring sector performance trends will be critical for portfolio allocation decisions [4].

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All data is based on available sources as of the analysis date. Market conditions may change rapidly.