Analysis Report: Hotchkis & Wiley's Anti-AI Value Strategy Impact Assessment

Related Stocks
On November 26, 2025, Forbes published an article highlighting David Green’s $767 million Hotchkis & Wiley Value Opportunities Fund (HWAIX) as an “anti-AI trade” [1]. The fund, rooted in 45-year value investing principles, targets undervalued companies abandoned by investors chasing AI boom stocks. Key holdings include enterprise software maker Workday (WDAY), telecom equipment giant Ericsson (ERIC), and moving/storage leader U-Haul (UHAL) — all with dominant market positions, strong balance sheets, and depressed valuations [1].
- Sector Performance Alignment: Non-tech sectors led gains on November26, with Healthcare (+1.44%), Industrials (+1.24%), and Consumer Cyclical (+1.23%) outperforming Technology (+0.78%) [0]. This reflects investor interest in value-focused sectors.
- Stock Price Reactions: The three highlighted holdings saw positive movements post-publication:
- Workday (WDAY): +3.11%
- Ericsson (ERIC): +1.06%
- U-Haul (UHAL): +2.42%
These gains suggest market validation of the fund’s contrarian thesis [0].
- Fund Performance Context: HWAIX delivered 12.5% annualized returns since inception (outperforming Russell3000 Value by ~3pp) but trails the S&P500’s 15.3% YTD gain due to AI dominance [1][0][2].
| Metric | Workday (WDAY) | Ericsson (ERIC) | U-Haul (UHAL) | HWAIX Fund |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closing Price (Nov26) | $233.69 (+3.11%) | $9.50 (+1.06%) | $51.73 (+2.42%) | $40.99 (0%) |
| Market Cap | $62.4B | $31.66B | $9.83B | $785.82M |
| P/E Ratio | 99.02 | 12.34 | 51.73 | N/A |
| YTD Return | N/A | N/A | N/A | 9.7% |
| S&P500 YTD Comparison | N/A | N/A | N/A | 15.3% |
Sources: [0][1][2]
- Directly Impacted: Workday (WDAY), Ericsson (ERIC), U-Haul (UHAL), Hotchkis & Wiley Value Opportunities Fund (HWAIX).
- Related Sectors: Enterprise Software (WDAY), Telecom Infrastructure (ERIC), Consumer Storage (UHAL).
- Value Investing Ecosystem: Contrarian funds and undervalued stocks outside the AI bubble.
- Information Gaps: Investors should verify:
- Historical valuation trends of WDAY/ERIC/UHAL relative to sector peers.
- HWAIX’s performance during prior tech booms (e.g., 2020-2021).
- AI disruption risks to Workday’s HR software dominance.
- Multi-Perspective View: Green’s strategy emphasizes:
- WDAY’s recurring revenue (churn <2%) and deep enterprise integration.
- ERIC’s global leadership in 5G infrastructure (1.1x EV/Sales).
- UHAL’s unmatched scale (24k+ locations) and self-storage margin potential [1].
- Key Monitoring Factors:
- AI sector rotation (shift to value stocks).
- UHAL’s self-storage lease-up rates and mobility trends.
- Workday’s AI adoption in its platform to counter competitive threats.
- Underperformance Risk: HWAIX’s 9.7% YTD return trails the S&P500’s 15.3% gain. Continued AI dominance may prolong this gap [1][2].
- Temporary Headwinds: UHAL faces elevated depreciation (peak Covid truck purchases), self-storage expansion losses, and low mobility due to high mortgage rates [1].
- Valuation Concerns: Workday’s high P/E (99x) contrasts with Green’s value thesis; investors should assess if growth justifies the multiple [0].
[0] Internal Analytical Tools (sector performance, stock quotes) [internal]
[1] Forbes, “Finding Bargain Stocks In AI’s Shadow” (Nov26,2025): https://www.forbes.com/sites/sergeiklebnikov/2025/11/26/finding-bargain-stocks-in-ais-shadow/
[2] Yahoo Finance, HWAIX Performance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/HWAIX/
This analysis is for informational purposes only and not investment advice.
All data as of November26,2025, subject to market fluctuations.
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
