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Market Analysis Report: UBS's McCartney Calls Recent Pullback a 'Buying Gift'

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November 25, 2025

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Market Analysis Report: UBS's McCartney Calls Recent Pullback a 'Buying Gift'

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Market Analysis Report: UBS’s McCartney Calls Recent Pullback a “Buying Gift”
Event Summary

On November 24, 2025 (EST), Alli McCartney, UBS Managing Director-Wealth Management, appeared on CNBC’s Squawk on the Street and described the previous week’s market pullback as a “buying gift” [3]. The pullback occurred on November 20, 2025, when major U.S. indices dropped sharply due to AI valuation concerns and a mixed delayed jobs report [1]. McCartney’s comment came amid an ongoing market recovery from those lows.

Market Impact Assessment
Short-Term Impact

The market was in a recovery phase when McCartney spoke. Key indices rebounded from their November 20 lows:

  • S&P 500
    : +2.57% (6,538.77 → 6,707.02)
  • NASDAQ
    : +3.6% (22,078.05 → 22,872.86)
  • Dow Jones
    : +1.57% (45,752.25 → 46,472.03) [0]

Sector performance on November 24 reflected a mix of growth and defensive sentiment:

  • Technology
    : +2.12% (AI-related recovery)
  • Utilities
    : +2.65% (defensive play) [0]
Long-Term Context

McCartney’s bullish stance aligned with Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson, who stated the pullback was near its end [2]. However, recovery was not uniform—Microsoft lagged due to a Rothschild downgrade citing AI spending concerns [2].

Key Data Extraction
Indices Performance
Index Nov 20 Close Nov 24 Close Rebound %
S&P 500 6,538.77 6,707.02 +2.57
NASDAQ 22,078.05 22,872.86 +3.6
Dow Jones 45,752.25 46,472.03 +1.57
Stock Performance
  • Apple
    : +3.99% (266.25 → 276.87) from Nov 20 low
  • Microsoft
    : -0.92% (478.43 → 474.00) due to Rothschild downgrade [0,2]
Sector Performance

Top performers on November 24:

  • Utilities (+2.65%)
  • Technology (+2.12%) [0]
Affected Instruments
  1. Direct
    : U.S. major indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones) [0]
  2. Related Sectors
    : Technology (AI recovery), Utilities (defensive) [0]
  3. Companies
    : Apple (strong rebound), Microsoft (lagged due to downgrade) [0]
Context for Decision-Makers
Information Gaps
  • McCartney did not specify which sectors/stocks to buy; further research into UBS’s latest sector reports is needed [3].
  • Long-term sustainability of AI spending (a key pullback driver) requires monitoring upcoming tech earnings [1].
Multi-Perspective Analysis
  • Bullish
    : McCartney (UBS) and Wilson (Morgan Stanley) view the pullback as a buying opportunity [2,3].
  • Cautious
    : RBC’s Lori Calvasina believes a short-term pullback was long overdue [3].
Key Factors to Monitor
  1. Fed rate decision (Dec 9-10): 75% probability of a cut [1]
  2. Tech earnings reports (validate AI spending sustainability) [1]
  3. UBS’s sector-specific recommendations [3]
  4. Microsoft’s response to the Rothschild downgrade [2]
Risk Considerations
  • AI Valuation Risk
    : Microsoft’s lagging performance highlights ongoing concerns about AI spending sustainability. Users should be aware that not all tech stocks will rebound equally [2].
  • Fed Policy Risk
    : Any deviation from the expected rate cut could impact market sentiment. Monitor Fed communications closely [1].
  • Market Divide
    : Cautious views from strategists like Calvasina indicate potential for further volatility [3].
References

[0] Ginlix Analytical Database (market indices, sector performance, Apple/MSFT stock data)
[1] WSJ: Stock Market News, Nov. 20, 2025 (https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/jobs-report-bls-september-stock-market-today-11-20-2025…)
[2] Investopedia: Markets News, Nov. 19, 2025 (https://www.investopedia.com/dow-jones-today-11192025-11852440…)
[3] Investopedia: 5 Things to Know Before the Stock Market Opens (https://www.investopedia.com/5-things-to-know-before-the-stock-market-opens-november-24-2025-11855517…)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.