Analysis of Reddit's 'Black Friday Stock Sale List' and Associated Market Risks & Opportunities

This analysis is based on a Reddit post published on November22,2025 framing stocks down from ATH as a ‘Black Friday Sale List’ [0]. The post listed 8 stocks: ORCL (44% down from ATH), PLTR (30% down), META (27% down), TSLA (22% down), NFLX (22% down), AMZN (17% down), MSFT (19% down), and AVGO (15% down). Discussion included bearish views on ORCL (high debt) and PLTR (bloated valuation), bullish sentiment on AMZN, META, MSFT (potential to reach ATH), NFLX (strong growth/profitability), and skepticism about framing ATH drops as good deals [0].

Real-time data as of November24,2025 shows ORCL down an additional 5.66% in a day [0]. Valuation metrics reveal extreme P/E ratios for PLTR (334.16x) and TSLA (205.84x), aligning with bearish views on bloated valuations [0]. ORCL’s current ratio of 0.62 (current liabilities > current assets) supports debt concerns, indicating potential short-term liquidity issues [0]. Moderate P/E ratios for AMZN (31.17x), META (26.32x), and MSFT (33.56x) reflect more reasonable valuations relative to growth [0]. The Technology sector (including most listed stocks) was up 0.146% on November24, indicating mixed sector performance [0].

1. Valuation vs. Price Drops
   : The ‘Black Friday Sale’ framing ignores fundamental factors—PLTR’s 30% drop from ATH still leaves it at an extremely high valuation (334x P/E) [0,2].
2. Liquidity Risk Corroboration
   : ORCL’s low current ratio (0.62) validates the bearish debt concern highlighted in the Reddit discussion [0].
3. Bullish Stock Fundamentals
   : AMZN, META, and MSFT have diversified revenue streams and moderate valuations, making their ATH drops more potentially attractive [0].
4. Sector Context
   : Mixed performance in the Technology sector suggests selective opportunities rather than broad sector strength [0].

• PLTR Valuation Risk
  : PLTR’s 334x P/E ratio indicates a highly stretched valuation, which may lead to significant price corrections if growth slows [0].
• ORCL Liquidity Risk
  : ORCL’s current ratio of 0.62 raises short-term liquidity concerns, especially given its recent 5.66% daily drop [0].
• TSLA Valuation Risk
  : TSLA’s 205x P/E ratio is highly elevated, requiring strong earnings growth to justify its valuation [0].

• AMZN, META, MSFT
  : These stocks have moderate valuations and strong balance sheets, making their ATH drops more compelling for long-term investors [0].
• NFLX Growth
  : NFLX’s YTD growth of17.64% and 1Y growth of20.51% align with bullish views on continued growth [0].

The analysis reveals that while the Reddit post frames ATH drops as a ‘sale’, investors should not rely solely on price drops to determine value. Extreme valuation risks for PLTR and liquidity risks for ORCL warrant caution. Bullish opportunities exist in AMZN, META, and MSFT due to their fundamental strength. The data emphasizes the importance of combining price drop analysis with valuation, liquidity, and growth metrics to make informed decisions.

All ATH data is sourced from TradingView [1-8].