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Weekly Recap & Weekend Outlook - November 21, 2025

#weekly_recap #market_outlook #sector_performance #geopolitical_risks #options_expiry #thanksgiving_week #fed_policy #earnings #mixed_sentiment
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November 25, 2025

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Weekly Recap & Weekend Outlook - November 21, 2025

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Weekly Recap & Weekend Outlook - November 21, 2025
Executive Summary

The US stock market closed a volatile week (Nov17–21) with mixed results: major indices (S&P500, Nasdaq, Dow) declined slightly, while small-caps (Russell2000) outperformed. Defensive sectors (Healthcare) and Energy led gains, driven by Nvidia’s earnings, Fed policy uncertainty, and post-government shutdown economic data [0,3,6].

Market Performance
Indices
  • S&P500
    : Closed at6603.80 (-1.03% weekly)
  • Nasdaq
    : Closed at22273.08 (-1.91% weekly)
  • Dow Jones
    : Closed at46245.42 (-0.74% weekly)
  • Russell2000
    : Closed at2369.59 (+1.2% weekly)
  • VIX
    : Closed at23.74 (+6.08% weekly)
    [0]
Sectors
  • Top Performers
    : Healthcare (+3.6%), Energy (+2.53%)
  • Worst Performers
    : Consumer Cyclicals (-2.6%), Communication Services (-1.45%)
    [3]
Breadth & Sentiment
  • Decliners outnumbered advancers on NYSE by3.25:1 on Nov20 [1]
  • VIX rise signals investor caution [0]
Key Catalysts & Developments
  1. Nvidia Earnings
    : Released Nov19; Oracle (ORCL) fell 5.83% amid competitive pressures [4,6]
  2. Fed FOMC Minutes
    : Nov19 release showed policy uncertainty; December rate cut odds declined below50% [5]
  3. Post-Shutdown Data
    : US Existing Home Sales hit8-month high [2]
  4. Sector Rotation
    : Defensive/commodity-linked sectors gained favor [3]
Notable Movers
  • Top Gainers
    : ALGN (+7.96%), ROST (+8.25%), PODD (+6.64%) [4]
  • Top Losers
    : ORCL (-5.83%), CRWD (-1.46%) [4]
  • After Hours
    : INTU (+3% on Q1 beat), VEEV (-6.7% post-earnings) [7,8]
Looking Ahead
Weekend Risks
  • Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, US-China) [9,10]
  • Commodity volatility risks [9]
Next Week (Nov24–28)
  • Thanksgiving-shortened week (closed Nov27, early Nov28) [11]
  • Post-reopening economic data releases [12]
  • Limited major earnings/Fed events [11]
Positioning & Technicals
  • Post-Nov21 options expiry portfolio rebalancing [13]
  • Monitor USD/CHF breakouts & gold correction [14]

Disclaimer
: This is not investment advice; for informational purposes only.

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.