Analysis of Reddit Bearish Claims on NVDA & PLTR: Earnings vs Market Sentiment

On November 18, 2025 (EST), a Reddit post [1] argued NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings are less critical than guidance, predicting further downside due to waning AI enthusiasm, elevated credit risk, and unsustainable debt among tech peers. The post disclosed a bearish position: 25 PLTR 11/21 162.5 put options.

Contrary to the post’s claims, NVDA reported record Q3 2025 earnings with $35.1B revenue (+94% YoY) and “staggering” demand for Blackwell GPUs [0]. Short-term market data shows NVDA closed at $186.60 on November17, 2025, with a 1.88% 1-day drop and a 2.33% 5-day decline [5]. PLTR’s price fell 11% from $193.61 (Nov10) to $171.25 (Nov17) [2], aligning with the post’s bearish bet. The Technology sector declined by 0.31% on Nov18 [3], while the S&P500 (-0.61%) and NASDAQ (-0.35%) closed lower on Nov17 [4].

NVDA’s guidance indicates continued growth: Blackwell supply will exceed initial estimates, and gross margins are expected to rise from low-70s to mid-70s in H2 2026 [0], contradicting the post’s claim of waning AI enthusiasm.

1. Contrast Between Sentiment and Fundamentals
   : The Reddit post’s bearish view on NVDA clashes with strong corporate earnings and guidance, highlighting the gap between user-generated sentiment and actual performance metrics [0][1].
2. PLTR’s Price Volatility
   : PLTR’s recent 11% price drop warrants deeper investigation into its financial health, as the post’s bearish position lacks supporting fundamental data [2].
3. NVDA’s Valuation vs Growth
   : NVDA’s high P/E ratio (52.5x) [5] suggests potential volatility if growth slows, but current demand for Blackwell GPUs signals long-term growth opportunities [0].

• NVDA Valuation Risk
  : A P/E ratio of52.5x may lead to short-term volatility if growth does not meet market expectations [5].
• PLTR Downside Risk
  : Recent price decline (11% in7 days) raises concerns about underlying issues, though no concrete financial data is available to validate the post’s claims [2].
• Unverified Credit Risk
  : The post’s claim of unsustainable debt among tech peers requires verification of debt-to-equity ratios for companies like AMD and Intel [1].

• NVDA’s AI Growth
  : Strong demand for Blackwell GPUs and positive guidance indicate continued growth in the AI sector [0].
• Market Sentiment Gaps
  : Discrepancies between user-generated sentiment and fundamentals may present opportunities for data-driven investors.

• NVDA
  : Q32025 revenue of $35.1B (+94% YoY), market cap of $4.54T, P/E ratio of52.5x [0][5].
• PLTR
  :11% price drop from Nov10 to Nov17 [2].
• Sector Performance
  : Technology sector down by0.31% on Nov18 [3].
• Market Indices
  : S&P500 (-0.61%) and NASDAQ (-0.35%) closed lower on Nov17 [4].