SGBX Short Squeeze Potential Analysis: Extreme Short Interest & Volatility Risks

: 2025-11-18 02:37 EST

---

##1. Event Summary
A Reddit post (2025-11-18 EST) [0] highlights Safe & Green Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:SGBX) as a potential short squeeze candidate, citing:

• Micro-float:1.44–2.09 million shares
• High short interest:~67–100% of float
• Zero borrow availability and480–500% borrow fees
• Recent70% price gain on rising volume

The post invites community input on data accuracy and squeeze likelihood.

---

##2. Market Impact Analysis
SGBX has seen extreme price and volume movements amid short squeeze speculation:

• Price Surge
  : $2.39 (Nov12 close) →$3.03 (after-hours, Nov12) (+26.78% post-close) [2]. Year-to-date return:89.52% (outperforming S&P500’s13.44% YTD) [3].
• Volume Spikes
  :20.51 million shares traded (current) vs. average7.08 million (+290%) [1];19.97 million vs. average4.02 million (+397%) [3].
• Short Interest Extremes
  :1.42 million shares short (Oct31), representing
  341.03% of public float
  —a1173% increase from prior month [1].

While SGBX operates in metal fabrication [3], its microcap size ($1.2–1.6M market cap) limits sector-wide impact [2,3]. However, its extreme short metrics make it a trader focal point.

---

##3. Key Data Interpretation

Metric	Value	Source
Short Interest	1.42M shares	MarketBeat [1]
Short % of Float	341.03%	MarketBeat [1]
Days to Cover	0.2	MarketBeat [1]
Nov12 Close	$2.39	StockAnalysis [2]
Nov12 After-Hours	$3.03	StockAnalysis [2]
YTD Return	89.52%	Yahoo Finance [3]
Current Volume	20.51M	MarketBeat [1]
Average Volume	7.08M	MarketBeat [1]
Market Cap	$1.2M–$1.62M	[2,3]
Current Ratio	0.16 (poor liquidity)	StockAnalysis [2]
Net Cash	-$9.74M	StockAnalysis [2]

---

##4. Information Gaps & Context
Critical gaps for decision-makers:
a)

: No public data confirms Reddit’s claim of zero borrow availability/480–500% fees (Oct31 data only) [1].
b) : MarketBeat reports480k outstanding shares [1], conflicting with Reddit’s1.44–2.09M float estimate (need to distinguish public float vs. outstanding shares).
c) :1173% short interest surge (Oct vs prior month) lacks context (corporate news/earnings misses?) [1].
d) : Nov18 post-event price/volume data is missing to assess Reddit’s impact.
e) : No recent SEC/exchange notices on short positions or trading activity.

---

##5. Risk Considerations

• Extreme Volatility
  :52-week range ($1.81–$122.88) indicates rapid gain reversals—users should exercise caution [3].
• Regulatory Risk
  :341% short float may signal naked short selling (illegal), attracting scrutiny/trading halts [1].
• Financial Instability
  : Weak liquidity (current ratio=0.16) and negative net cash (-$9.74M) raise long-term viability concerns [2].
• Manipulation Risk
  : Microcap stocks like SGBX are prone to price manipulation—high-volume spikes may not reflect fundamental value [2,3].
• Squeeze Uncertainty
  :0.2-day cover ratio allows shorts to exit quickly—no guarantee of sustained squeeze [1].

: Real-time borrow fees, regulatory announcements, corporate news, and volume trends.

---

This analysis is for informational purposes only and not investment advice. Always conduct independent research before trading.

: SGBX is a high-risk microcap with extreme volatility and regulatory risks—proceed with extreme caution.

---