Analysis of Reddit Post: MES Futures Trading Mistake Due to Greed and Weekend Anxiety

This analysis is based on a Reddit post [0] dated Nov15,2025 about MES futures trading on Nov14 (since Nov15 is a Saturday with no active trading). The trader executed a limit buy at the day’s low (~6670.50) [1], then raised profit targets to ~6790 (close to the day’s high of6795.50). A reversal driven by Fed signals delaying rate cuts [2] erased gains, leading the trader to hold over the weekend with anxiety. Market context: S&P500 faces worst Nov since 2008 [3] due to tariffs, inflation, and slow hiring.

1. Trading psychology (greed) overrides risk management: Raising targets without partial profits led to loss of gains.
2. Weekend gap risk is amplified in volatile markets: Holding futures over weekends exposes traders to unexpected price gaps (especially in Nov2025’s bearish context).
3. Market news impact: Fed signals on rate cuts can trigger sharp reversals in MES prices [2].

• Risks
  : Weekend gap risk (high in volatile markets), failure to implement profit-taking strategies (trailing stops), ignoring market news triggers.
• Opportunities
  : Learning from psychological mistakes to improve risk management, monitoring Fed policy for MES price action cues.

• MES Nov14 data: Low=6670.50, High=6795.50, Last=6765.00 [1].
• MES specs: $5 per point, $1.25 per 0.25 tick [4,5].
• Affected instruments: MES (direct), SPY (indirect) [3].