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Analysis of China Great Wall's 2025 Loss Reduction: Support from Investment Income and Long-Term Sustainability Assessment

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January 19, 2026

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Based on collected data and in-depth analysis, I will systematically interpret the supporting role of investment income from divesting non-core assets in China Great Wall’s path to turning profitable against the backdrop of loss reduction.


I. Core Data Analysis of 2025 Annual Performance Forecast
1.1 Performance Overview

According to the performance forecast released by China Great Wall (000066.SZ) on January 19, 2026, the company expects to report a net loss attributable to shareholders of listed companies of

RMB 35 million to RMB 70 million
in 2025, compared to a substantial loss of
RMB 1.479 billion
in the same period of the previous year, representing a year-on-year sharp loss reduction of
95.27% to 97.63%
[1][2]. This loss reduction magnitude is a significant improvement among A-share listed companies.

From the perspective of net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, the company expects a loss of

RMB 630 million to RMB 740 million
in 2025, a 50.01% to 57.44% reduction from the same period last year[2]. This indicator better reflects the actual operating status of the company’s core business.

1.2 Comparison of Key Financial Indicators
Financial Indicator 2024 2025 Forecast Change Range
Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders -RMB 1.479 billion -RMB 35 million ~ -RMB 70 million 95.27% - 97.63% Loss Reduction
Net Profit After Deducting Non-Recurring Gains and Losses -RMB 1.480 billion -RMB 630 million ~ -RMB 740 million 50.01% - 57.44% Loss Reduction
Basic Earnings Per Share -RMB 0.459 -RMB 0.011 ~ -RMB 0.022 Significant Improvement
Non-Recurring Gains and Losses - RMB 595 million ~ RMB 670 million Mainly from Asset Disposal Gains

II. Analysis of Contribution from Investment Income of Divesting Non-Core Assets
2.1 Scale and Source of Investment Income

According to the performance forecast, the company’s non-recurring gains and losses attributable to shareholders of listed companies in 2025 are expected to be approximately

RMB 595 million to RMB 670 million
, mainly derived from
non-current asset disposal gains and government subsidies
[1][2]. This scale of gains is relatively high among listed companies.

Looking at H1 2025 data, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of

RMB 100 million to RMB 145 million
in H1 2025, turning profitable year-on-year, of which non-recurring gains and losses accounted for approximately
RMB 570 million to RMB 600 million
[3]. This indicates that although the core business still posted a loss in H2, asset disposal gains continued to contribute.

2.2 Supporting Role of Investment Income in Loss Reduction

Through calculation and analysis, investment income from divesting non-core assets has played a

decisive supporting role
in China Great Wall’s 2025 loss reduction:

Key Data Calculation:

  • Net loss after deducting non-recurring gains and losses (core business):
    RMB 630 million to RMB 740 million
  • Non-recurring gains and losses (investment income, etc.):
    RMB 595 million to RMB 670 million
  • Net loss attributable to shareholders:
    RMB 35 million to RMB 70 million

Coverage Ratio Analysis:

  • Minimum coverage of operating losses by investment income:
    80.4%
  • Maximum coverage of operating losses by investment income:
    106.3%

This means that, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, the company’s core business would still face a loss of

RMB 630 million to RMB 740 million
. Investment income almost fully covers the operating losses of the core business, serving as the core driver for the company’s significant loss reduction.


III. Can Investment Income Support the Company to Turn Profitable?
3.1 Short-Term Effect: Achieving Significant Loss Reduction

In the short term, investment income has effectively supported the improvement of the company’s performance:

  1. Loss reduction target basically achieved
    : The net loss dropped from RMB 1.479 billion to only RMB 35 million - RMB 70 million, with a loss reduction rate of over 95%, approaching the threshold of turning profitable.

  2. Profitable in H1 2025
    : The company achieved a profit of RMB 100 million - RMB 145 million in H1 2025, mainly supported by non-recurring gains and losses[3].

  3. Cash flow improvement
    : Cash inflows from asset disposal help improve the company’s financial condition and optimize its asset structure.

3.2 Long-Term Sustainability: Significant Concerns Exist

However, from the perspective of long-term sustainability, investment income

can hardly sustain the company’s real turnaround to profitability
:

First, the core business remains in loss, with no fundamental improvement in profitability.

  • The net loss after deducting non-recurring gains and losses remains RMB 630 million - RMB 740 million, indicating no fundamental improvement in the operating status of the core business.
  • According to the latest financial data, the company’s current ROE is
    -6.97%
    and net profit margin is
    -5.20%
    [4], remaining in a loss-making state.

Second, investment income is one-off and non-recurring in nature.

  • Asset disposal gains are essentially one-off transactions, which are difficult to replicate annually.
  • As divestible non-core assets decrease, such gains will gradually shrink in the future.

Third, H2 performance shows insufficient momentum for recovery.

  • The company posted a profit of RMB 100 million - RMB 145 million in H1, while H2 is expected to report a loss of approximately RMB 52 million (mid-point of full-year loss).
  • This indicates that after the marginal decline of investment income, the company’s performance still faces pressure.

Fourth, there is a risk of performance deterioration in 2026.

  • If large-scale asset disposal cannot be continued in 2026, the company’s performance may see a sharp widening of net loss.
  • The market needs to be alert to the unsustainable risk of the “profiting by selling assets” model.

IV. Positive Signals of Core Business Improvement

Although investment income plays a key supporting role, the company’s core business is also improving actively:

4.1 Initial Results of Focusing on Core Business Strategy

According to the announcement, the company

has anchored the strategic direction of core businesses, accurately seized market opportunity windows, and continuously optimized its business structure and product portfolio
[1]. This indicates that the company is:

  1. Business structure optimization
    : Focusing on two core businesses: computing industry and system equipment
  2. Product portfolio upgrade
    : Enhancing the competitiveness of independent and secure products
  3. Gross profit improvement
    : Achieving steady growth in operating revenue, driving year-on-year improvement in gross profit
4.2 Solid Foundation for Business Development Remains

As a core enterprise under China Electronics Information Industry Group, the company still has competitive advantages in the following areas:

  • Computing industry
    : The most complete and strongest independent and secure product line in China, covering PCs, laptops, servers, industry terminals, etc.
  • System equipment
    : Core supplier in communication, special computing, and marine informatization businesses
  • Indigenous Innovation (Xinchuang) Opportunities
    : Benefiting from the downward expansion of party and government indigenous innovation and the accelerated advancement of industry indigenous innovation in central SOEs and local SOEs

V. Investment Recommendations and Risk Warnings
5.1 Key Investment Focus Areas
  1. Short-term focus
    : Sustainability of non-recurring gains and losses and 2026 asset disposal plan
  2. Mid-term focus
    : Progress of gross profit margin improvement in core business and order acquisition status
  3. Long-term focus
    : Market competitiveness and technological breakthrough capability of the company’s independent computing products
5.2 Risk Warnings
  1. Performance fluctuation risk
    : Investment income is one-off in nature, and 2026 performance may fluctuate significantly
  2. Core business risk
    : Net loss after deducting non-recurring gains and losses remains, with no fundamental improvement in profitability
  3. Industry competition risk
    : Intensified competition in the indigenous innovation (Xinchuang) industry, putting pressure on product prices and gross profit margins
  4. Asset disposal risk
    : Limited divestible assets, making it difficult to sustain future gains

VI. Conclusion

Based on comprehensive analysis,

investment income from divesting non-core assets has effectively supported China Great Wall’s significant loss reduction in the short term, but it is difficult to sustain the company’s long-term sustainable turnaround to profitability
.

Key Judgments:

  • Short-term effectiveness
    : Investment income covers approximately 80% to 106% of operating losses, serving as the core driver of significant loss reduction in 2025
  • Long-term uncertainty
    : The core business remains in loss, and the one-off nature of investment income casts doubt on performance sustainability
  • ⚠️
    Focus on transition
    : Investors should focus on the progress of profitability improvement of the company’s core business in 2026

The company needs to continuously optimize its business structure and enhance core business profitability to achieve a truly sustainable turnaround to profitability, rather than relying on one-off asset disposal gains. At the current stage, the company is still in a critical period of strategic transformation, and its investment value requires cautious assessment.


References

[1] National Business Daily - China Great Wall: Expected Net Loss of RMB 35 Million ~ RMB 70 Million in 2025 (https://www.nbd.com.cn/articles/2026-01-19/4226588.html)

[2] Eastmoney - China Great Wall Expects Net Loss of RMB 35 Million to RMB 70 Million in 2025, with 95.27% to 97.63% Year-on-Year Loss Reduction (https://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202601193623529046.html)

[3] Sina Finance - China Great Wall: Expected Profit of RMB 100 Million - RMB 145 Million in H1 2025, Turning Profitable Year-on-Year (https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/relnews/cn/2025-07-14/doc-inffmyai6403140.shtml)

[4] Jinling AI - Company Profile and Financial Data of China Great Wall (000066.SZ) (API Data)

[5] Zheshang Securities Research Institute - Rebuilding the Great Wall of Independent Computing Industry (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202307071592079080_1.pdf)

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