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In-Depth Analysis of the Hong Kong Stock Investment Value of Snack Discount Chain Model: Mingming Hen Mang vs. Wanchen Biology

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January 19, 2026

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In-Depth Analysis of the Hong Kong Stock Investment Value of Snack Discount Chain Model: Mingming Hen Mang vs. Wanchen Biology
I. Industry Overview and Market Structure
1. The Rise of the Warehouse-Style Snack Track

The warehouse-style snack industry has experienced explosive growth in China, forming a duopoly pattern of “Wanchen in the North, Mang in the South”. As the two leading players in the industry, Mingming Hen Mang and Wanchen Group respectively submitted listing applications to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2025, marking the official entry of this emerging retail format into the capitalization stage[1][2].

Industry Development Background:

  • In 2021, the financing amount in the snack industry reached RMB 3 billion, and further climbed to RMB 4.3 billion in 2023. Continuous capital inflow has promoted industry integration[3]
  • Warehouse-style snack stores, relying on the “hard discount” model (direct cooperation with manufacturers, no middlemen, cash procurement), have achieved a price advantage of approximately 25% lower than traditional supermarkets[4]
  • The industry’s inventory turnover days are only 11-12 days, significantly better than the 40-60 days of traditional supermarkets, reflecting extremely strong operational efficiency[5]
2. Scarcity of the “New Species” in the Hong Kong Stock Market

Against the backdrop of intensified valuation differentiation in the Hong Kong stock consumer sector, the listing of Mingming Hen Mang has filled the capital vacuum of the warehouse-style snack specialty retail format in the Hong Kong stock market[1]. Although there are catering, traditional supermarket, and branded consumer goods companies in the Hong Kong stock market before, there is a lack of pure “hard discount” retail targets, and the scarcity of Mingming Hen Mang is self-evident.


II. Core Financial Data and Business Performance of Mingming Hen Mang
1. Store Network and Scale Expansion
Indicator Data Industry Status
Number of Operating Stores (as of September 30, 2025) 19,517 The largest casual food and beverage chain retailer in China
Covered Provinces 28 Nationwide layout
Coverage Rate in County-Level Cities 66% (1,341/2,024 counties) The first warehouse-style snack brand to achieve “stores in every county”
Store Type 99.9% are franchise stores Asset-light operation model

Comparison of Expansion Speed:

  • Mingming Hen Mang: 7,809 net new stores in 2024, with an average of 21 new stores per day[6]
  • Wanchen Group: 15,365 stores as of the end of June 2025[7]
2. Financial Performance

Revenue and Profit Growth:

Period Revenue (in RMB 100 million) YoY Growth Adjusted Net Profit (in RMB 100 million) YoY Growth Gross Profit Margin Adjusted Net Profit Margin
2022 42.86 - 0.81 - 7.5% 1.9%
2024 393.44 203% (3-year CAGR) 9.13 234.6% (3-year CAGR) 7.6% 2.3%
First Three Quarters of 2025 463.71 75.2% 18.10 240.8% 9.7% 3.9%

Key Operational Indicators:

  • GMV (First Three Quarters of 2025): RMB 66.1 billion, YoY growth of 74.5%[8]
  • Inventory Turnover Days: 11.7 days (first half of 2025), better than the industry average[1]
  • Net Operating Cash Flow (First Three Quarters of 2025): RMB 2.190 billion[8]
3. Core Advantages of Business Model

Moat of the “Hard Discount” Model:

  1. Streamlined Supply Chain
    : The vast majority of products are supplied directly by manufacturers, simplifying intermediate links and compressing channel markup rates
  2. Scale Bargaining Power
    : The procurement scale of 19,517 stores endows strong bargaining power over upstream manufacturers
  3. Digital Operation
    : Has the largest digital team among domestic casual food and beverage specialty stores, building a full-link digital system[1]
  4. Advantages in Sinking Markets
    : Approximately 59% of stores are located in county towns and townships, avoiding fierce competition in first-tier cities

III. Analysis of the Development Logic of Wanchen Biology (300972.SZ)
1. Business Transformation History

Wanchen Biology originally started with edible fungus business and was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange of A-shares in 2021. It began to enter the warehouse-style snack business in 2022, forming the “Haoxianglai” brand matrix through acquisition and integration[9]:

  • 2022: Established Nanjing Wanxing Chain and acquired Jiangsu Snack Workshop
  • September 2023: Merged four of its brands into “Haoxianglai Brand Snacks”
  • October 2023: Acquired Zhejiang snack brand Laopo Daren
  • 2024: Revenue from warehouse-style snack business reached RMB 31.790 billion, with a YoY growth of 262.94%[9]
2. Comparison of Financial Performance
Indicator Wanchen Group Mingming Hen Mang Difference Analysis
Revenue in First Three Quarters of 2025 RMB 36.562 billion RMB 46.371 billion Mingming Hen Mang leads by 21%
Net Profit in First Three Quarters of 2025 RMB 0.855 billion RMB 1.810 billion (adjusted) Mingming Hen Mang leads by 112%
Gross Profit Margin in First Three Quarters of 2025 11.69% 9.7% Wanchen Group is 2 percentage points higher
Number of Stores (June 2025) 15,365 16,783 Mingming Hen Mang leads by 9%
3. Development Strategy of Wanchen Group

Differentiated Path:

  • High Gross Profit Strategy
    : Pursues slightly higher single-transaction profit, with a gross profit margin of 11.4% in the first half of 2025, 2.1 percentage points higher than that of Mingming Hen Mang[6]
  • Full Category Expansion
    : Launched “Laiyoupin Discount Supermarket” and “Haoxianglai Full Food Selection”, adding categories such as bakery, frozen food, and daily chemicals[7]
  • Deep Cultivation in East China
    : Takes East China as the core market, with revenue/store number accounting for 62%/58% respectively in 2024[9]

IV. Comparison of Development Logics: Can Mingming Hen Mang Replicate Wanchen Biology’s Path?
1. Differences in Strategic Positioning
Dimension Mingming Hen Mang Wanchen Group
Core Strategy
Efficiency-driven, turnover-prioritized Profit-prioritized, equal emphasis on scale
Gross Profit Margin Positioning
7.5%-9.7% (lower) 9.3%-11.7% (higher)
Operational Philosophy
“Exchange volume for profit” “Balance between volume and profit”
Expansion Model
Sinking market priority (59% in county towns/townships) Balanced nationwide layout (62% in East China)
2. Analysis of Replicability

Feasibility of Mingming Hen Mang Replicating Wanchen’s Logic:

Replicable Parts:

  • Category Expansion
    : Mingming Hen Mang has launched version 3.0 store model and “Zhao Yiming Discount Supermarket”, adding categories such as general merchandise, daily chemicals, bakery, and frozen food[6]
  • Supply Chain Integration
    : Improves gross profit margin through customized cooperation with manufacturers (34% of SKUs are customized products)[3]
  • Digital Construction
    : The intelligent retail middle platform system is already in place, which can support multi-category operations

Hard-to-Replicate Parts:

  • Gene Differences
    : Mingming Hen Mang started in the county market of Hunan, with the “sinking” gene deeply rooted; Wanchen Group originated from East China and is more adapted to operations in high-tier cities
  • Franchisee Structure
    : Almost 100% of Mingming Hen Mang’s stores are franchise stores, and transformation requires coordinating the willingness of a large number of franchisees
  • Brand Positioning
    : Consumers have formed the perception of “ultimate cost-effectiveness”, and price increases or category expansion may dilute brand perception
3. Unique Advantages of Mingming Hen Mang
  1. First-mover Scale Advantage
    : Leads Wanchen by approximately 4,000 stores, and has formed network effects
  2. Barriers in Sinking Markets
    : 66% coverage rate in county-level cities, building channel barriers that are difficult for competitors to enter
  3. Digital Capability
    : Data assets transformed from 2.1 billion consumer behavior records[1]
  4. Cornerstone Investor Endorsement
    : Participation of Tencent Holdings, Fidelity International, and Temasek brings dual support in brand and capital[1]

V. Investment Value Evaluation
1. Core Investment Highlights

(1) Track Growth Potential

  • The scale of China’s casual food market continues to expand, and there is still room for improvement in the penetration rate of warehouse-style snack channels
  • According to a research report from CITIC Securities, leading warehouse-style snack companies still have more than 50% room for store expansion in the future[7]

(2) Sustainability of Business Model

  • The formula “Return on Investment = Profit Margin × Turnover Rate” is verified in this industry
  • The inventory turnover days of 11.7 days are significantly better than traditional retail, reflecting extremely strong operational efficiency

(3) Scarcity Premium

  • The “first warehouse-style snack stock” in Hong Kong stocks, filling the market gap
  • Endorsement from top institutions such as Tencent and Temasek boosts market confidence
2. Risk Warnings

(1) Intensified Industry Competition

  • Price wars among leading enterprises continue, with meager profits for some products
  • Increased store density leads to same-store sales decline (same-store sales in the industry generally fell in the first half of 2025)[3]

(2) Profit Pressure on Franchisees

  • The payback period has extended from 1 year in the early stage to an average of 29 months[2]
  • The average profit per store has dropped from tens of thousands of yuan per month in the early stage to approximately RMB 5,500 per month[3]

(3) Valuation Pressure

  • The warehouse-style snack industry belongs to the “heavy asset, light profit” model, and the valuation logic of the capital market remains to be verified
  • Need to pay attention to IPO pricing and subsequent market performance
3. Valuation Reference

Based on the valuation model of Wanchen Group by TF Securities (0.69x PEG in 2025, target price of RMB 184.01)[9], combined with Mingming Hen Mang’s higher growth rate and larger scale, it is expected that Mingming Hen Mang will obtain a similar valuation level. However, it should be noted that:

  • Mingming Hen Mang’s lower gross profit margin may affect the valuation multiple
  • The same-store pressure brought by increased store density takes time to digest

VI. Conclusions and Investment Recommendations
Core Conclusions
  1. The snack discount chain model has investment value in Hong Kong stocks
    , but careful evaluation is required:

    • Mingming Hen Mang has demonstrated the scalability feasibility of the “hard discount” model
    • Profitability continues to improve (net profit margin increased from 1.9% to 3.9%)
    • Positive operating cash flow, with good financial health
  2. Mingming Hen Mang can hardly fully replicate the development logic of Wanchen Biology
    :

    • There are fundamental differences in the strategic positioning of the two companies
    • Mingming Hen Mang’s “efficiency-first” model and Wanchen’s “profit-first” model have their own advantages and disadvantages
    • Blind transformation may damage existing competitive barriers
  3. Key Indicators to Focus On
    :

    • Same-store sales growth rate (reflects store density saturation)
    • Franchisee churn rate (reflects the stability of the franchise system)
    • Effectiveness of category expansion (reflects the cultivation progress of the second growth curve)
Investment Recommendations
Investment Dimension Rating Remarks
Track Growth Potential ★★★★☆ There is still room for improvement in the penetration rate of warehouse-style snack channels
Company Competitiveness ★★★★★ Leading scale, strong digital capabilities, institutional endorsement
Profitability ★★★☆☆ Relatively low profit margin, but continuing to improve
Valuation Rationality ★★★☆☆ Need to evaluate after IPO pricing
Risk-Return Ratio ★★★★☆ Clear leading position, but industry competition is intensifying

References

[1] China Securities Journal - “Mingming Hen Mang Passes Listing Hearing, Hong Kong Stocks Welcomes a ‘New Species’” (https://www.cs.com.cn/gppd/ggzx/202601/t20260113_6533081.html)

[2] Nanfang Plus - “One Step Away, Mingming Hen Mang May Become the ‘First Warehouse-Style Snack Stock’ in Hong Kong Stocks” (https://www.nfnews.com/content/EynGXlpd3Z.html)

[3] CBNData - “2025 Retail Industry Review: The Industry Breakout War Begins, Where Will Warehouse-Style Snack Stores Go?” (https://www.cbndata.com/information/294876)

[4] Futu News - “County Snack Stores Brave Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou” (https://news.futunn.com/post/67431647)

[5] Securities Times - “Mingming Hen Mang Passes HKEX Listing Hearing, New Pattern Emerges in Warehouse-Style Snack Track” (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3585488.html)

[6] Sina Finance - “Mingming Hen Mang vs. Wanchen Group: Duel of ‘Turnover Rate’ and ‘Profit Margin’ Between Two Warehouse-Style Snack Giants” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/stockzmt/2025-11-03/doc-infwcefv1408600.shtml)

[7] Eastmoney - “Mingming Hen Mang Passes HKEX Listing Hearing, Net Profit in First Three Quarters of 2025 Surges YoY” (https://biz.eastmoney.com/a/202601063610545547.html)

[8] The Time Weekly - “Research Report on Wanchen Group (300972)” (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202508241733556472_1.pdf)

[9] Post Securities - “Wanchen Group (300972) Outstanding Q4 Performance, Parallel Store Expansion and Format Upgrade in Warehouse-Style Snacks” (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202504221660588782_1.pdf)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.