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Analysis Report on Cost Control of New Hope's Swine Breeding Business

#种猪业务 #养殖成本 #成本控制 #生猪养殖 #新希望 #行业分析 #PSY指标
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January 19, 2026

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Based on professional materials and data analysis obtained through research, the following is a systematic analysis report on the role of New Hope’s swine breeding business in breeding cost control.


1. Overview of New Hope’s Swine Breeding Business
1.1 Evolution of Swine Breeding System

As a leading domestic pig breeding enterprise, New Hope has established a relatively complete swine breeding system after years of development. The company

launched the construction of a backcross pig production and management system in mid-2023
, which was
basically completed in the first half of 2024
[1][2]. Currently, the company has formed a
“Pyramid + Backcross” dual swine breeding system
, and the backcross reserve pool uniformly managed and dispatched by the Pig Industry Business Group has stabilized at a reasonable scale[2].

In terms of swine breeding renewal, the company continues to replace high-quality purebred sows with high-quality binary sows.

In 2024, the company focused on completing the replacement of high-quality boars
. Through efficient utilization and optimized management, the number of boar stations in 2024
decreased by nearly 50%
compared to the end of last year, effectively reducing boar costs[2].

1.2 Core Production Indicators Continue to Optimize
Indicator 2021 2022 2023 2024 Change Range
PSY (Heads) 21.5 22.3 23.0 24.7 +3.2 (+14.9%)
Average Number of Weaned Pigs per Litter (Heads) 9.8 10.1 10.5 10.8 +1.0 (+10.2%)
Fattening Survival Rate (%) 85 87 89 92 +7 percentage points
Feed Conversion Ratio 2.82 2.78 2.79 2.67 -0.15
Weaning Cost (RMB/Head) 450 400 380 290 -160 (-35.6%)
Fattening Cost (RMB/kg) 16.5 15.8 14.8 13.0 -3.5 (-21.2%)

Data Source: Company Annual Report, CCXI Credit Rating Report[1][2]


2. Mechanism of Swine Breeding Business in Controlling Breeding Costs
2.1 Reducing Weaned Piglet Costs

The improvement of swine breeding efficiency directly reduces the cost of each weaned piglet.

In 2024, the company’s annual average weaning cost was RMB 290 per head, a decrease of RMB 90 per year compared to the previous year, and a decrease of RMB 160 compared to 2021, with a decline rate of 35.6%
[2].

The main paths of cost reduction include:

  1. Optimized Breeding Management of Reserve Pigs
    : The average age at which reserve pigs are transferred to fixed groups has been reduced from 250 days to 220 days, a decrease of nearly 30 days, effectively reducing the breeding cost of reserve pigs[2]

  2. Precision Feeding of Pregnant Sows
    : By optimizing the feeding management of pregnant sows, feed waste is reduced, significantly lowering the weaning cost of piglets[2]

  3. Improved Boar Management System
    : The replacement of high-quality boars and integration of boar stations have significantly reduced boar costs[2]

2.2 Improving Efficiency in the Fattening Stage

The quality of breeding pigs directly affects the performance of various indicators in the subsequent fattening stage:

  • Increased Fattening Survival Rate
    : Increased from 85% to 92%, a 7 percentage point increase, directly reducing losses from mortality and culling[2]

  • Improved Feed Conversion Ratio (FCR)
    : Reduced from 2.82 to 2.67, a decrease of 0.15, significantly improving feed conversion efficiency[2]

  • Enhanced Epidemic Prevention Capability
    : In the winter of 2024, through positive pressure ventilation transformation and optimized epidemic prevention procedures, the incidence rate of pigs decreased by more than 70% year-on-year, significantly reducing losses from mortality and culling[2]

2.3 Scale Effect and Cost Amortization

According to the CCXI Credit Rating Report, the company has realized a self-breeding system with good resource control capabilities.

As of the end of March 2025, the company’s pig breeding capacity reached 38 million heads per year
[1]. A high proportion of in-house self-breeding (compared to purchasing piglets from outside) has obvious cost advantages:

  • Under the self-breeding and self-raising model, piglet costs are fully internalized
  • Integrated breeding reduces intermediate transaction links
  • Facilitates the implementation of refined management and epidemic prevention and control

3. Quantitative Analysis of Cost Control Effects
3.1 Significant Reduction in Breeding Costs
Time Node Total Fattening Cost (RMB/kg) Remarks
Q1 2024 15.4
End of March 2025 13.0 Decreased by RMB 2.4 per kg compared to the beginning of 2024
Q2 2025 13.0 Average of normally operating farms
July 2025 Approximately 12.5 Some excellent farms can reduce it to below RMB 12 per kg

Data Source: CCXI Credit Rating Report, Company Announcements[1][2][3]

3.2 Economic Benefit Calculation

Calculated based on 2024 data:

  • Annual Slaughter Volume
    : 16.5249 million heads (13.5229 million fattening pigs + 3.0020 million piglets)[2]
  • Fattening Cost Reduction
    : RMB 3.5 per kg (from RMB 16.5 per kg to RMB 13.0 per kg)
  • Average Slaughter Weight
    : Approximately 120 kg per head

Annual Cost Savings = Slaughter Volume × Cost Reduction Range × Average Slaughter Weight

= 16.5249 million heads × RMB 3.5 per kg × 120 kg ≈ RMB 6.94 billion

3.3 Comparison with the Industry
Enterprise Total Cost (RMB/kg) PSY Cost Ranking
Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. 13.1 29.0 1
New Hope 13.0 24.7 2
Wen’s Group Co., Ltd. 13.4 27.0 3
Tecon Bio Co., Ltd. 13.3 27.0 4
Shennong Group Co., Ltd. 13.5 28.0 5
Giant Star Agriculture & Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd. 13.5 28.5 6

Data Source: Announcements of Listed Companies, Industry Statistics[3][4]

Although New Hope’s PSY indicator (24.7 heads) is at a medium level among leading enterprises, through refined management and optimization of the swine breeding system,

the cost gap with Muyuan Foods’ self-breeding, self-raising integrated breeding model has gradually narrowed
[1].


4. Latest Developments and Outlook in 2025
4.1 Operating Results in the First Half of the Year

According to the September 2025 Investor Relations Activity Record, the company’s production indicators have been further optimized[3]:

Indicator 2024 H1 2025 Change
Average Number of Piglets per Litter 10.8 heads 11.2 heads +0.4 heads
Average PSY 24.7 heads 25.4 heads +0.7 heads
Average Weaning Cost 290 RMB/head Approximately 260 RMB/head -30 RMB/head
Average Fattening Survival Rate 92% 94% +2 percentage points
Average Feed Conversion Ratio 2.67 2.66 -0.01
4.2 Future Cost Control Plans

The company will continue to reduce breeding costs through the following measures:

  1. Continue to Optimize the Proportion of Self-Raising
    : The proportion of self-raised fattening pigs to outsourced fattening pigs in stock at the end of the year will be approximately 35:65, and the proportion of self-raising has increased compared to the end of 2023[2]

  2. Improve Breeding Indicators such as PSY
    : With the continuous improvement of the high-quality swine breeding system, PSY is expected to further increase[1]

  3. Introduce High-Quality Breeding Stock
    : By introducing excellent swine genes, continuously improve reproductive performance[1]

  4. Control Capital Expenditure
    : Further control capital expenditure to expand profit margins and reduce financial pressure[1]


5. Conclusions and Investment Highlights
Core Conclusions
  1. Swine breeding business has a significant effect on controlling breeding costs
    : By building a complete “Pyramid + Backcross” dual swine breeding system, New Hope increased its PSY by 14.9%, reduced weaning costs by 35.6%, and lowered fattening costs by 21.2% from 2021 to 2024.

  2. Cost control effect is at the leading level in the industry
    : In 2024, the total fattening cost dropped to RMB 13.0 per kg, the gap with industry leader Muyuan Foods has gradually narrowed, and New Hope ranks among the top in cost performance among leading pig breeding enterprises.

  3. Optimization of the swine breeding system brings continuous improvement momentum
    : The implementation of measures such as replacement of high-quality boars, integration of boar stations, and precision feeding management has laid a solid foundation for the improvement of production indicators of subsequent breeding groups.

Risk Warnings
  • Need to continue to pay attention to the impact of
    live pig price trends
    on the company’s performance improvement[1]
  • The effectiveness of breeding efficiency improvement and cost reduction still needs to be observed[1]
  • The cost gap among leading pig breeding enterprises is small, and competition is still fierce

References

[1] China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co., Ltd. (2025). 2025 Credit Rating Report on New Hope Group Co., Ltd. http://qxb-pdf-osscache.qixin.com/AnBaseinfo/4ac5108d64d2a73e79ce511b88279b9e.pdf

[2] New Hope Liuhe Co., Ltd. (2025). 2024 Annual Report Summary. https://file.finance.qq.com/finance/hs/pdf/2025/04/26/1223314073.PDF

[3] New Hope Liuhe Co., Ltd. (2025). Investor Relations Activity Record. https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_31530703

[4] Sina Finance. (2025). Latest Live Pig Costs of 13 Listed Pig Breeding Enterprises including Muyuan, Wen’s, and New Hope. https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/relnews/cn/2025-01-06/doc-inecyvzz1931969.shtml

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