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Analysis of the Contribution of CATL's Energy Storage Business to the Growth of Cathode Material Demand

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January 19, 2026

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Analysis of the Contribution of CATL’s Energy Storage Business to the Growth of Cathode Material Demand
I. Overview of Core Data

According to CATL’s 2024 Annual Report and industry data[0], the global energy storage battery market is showing a high-growth trend. In 2024, global energy storage battery shipments reached

301GWh, a year-on-year increase of 62.7%
. CATL has ranked first in global energy storage battery shipments for four consecutive years with a
36.5% global market share
[0][1].

In the cathode material sector, the total output of China’s ternary and lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode materials reached

3.027 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 59.7%
, among which the shipments of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) materials reached
2.427 million tons
[0][2]. Lithium iron phosphate batteries account for more than
90%
in the energy storage sector, with the proportion of lithium iron phosphate batteries in global energy storage batteries reaching as high as
92.5%
in 2024[3][4].


II. Direct Contribution of CATL’s Energy Storage Business to Cathode Materials
1. Incremental Contribution Analysis (2024 Data)
Indicator Value Description
Global Cathode Material Demand for Energy Storage Batteries
662,000 tons
Calculated at 2200 tons/GWh
Total Shipments of LFP Cathode Materials in China
2.427 million tons
Year-on-year increase of 48.2%
Contribution Rate of Energy Storage Increment to LFP Growth
32.3%
Energy storage contributes approximately 255,000 tons of increment
Cathode Materials Contributed by CATL’s Energy Storage Business
242,000 tons
Accounts for 36.6% of global energy storage demand

According to calculations, CATL’s energy storage business contributed approximately

88,000 tons
of cathode material increment in 2024, becoming one of the core drivers for the growth of cathode material demand[0][5].

2. Deeply Bound Supply Chain

CATL has locked in a large amount of cathode material production capacity through long-term agreements. It has currently locked in a lithium iron phosphate supply volume of

2.4 million tons per year
, which can support an annual battery production volume of approximately
1000GWh
based on industry-wide unit consumption calculations, a scale close to the national total lithium battery output in 2024 (1.17TWh)[6].

Summary of Long-Term Agreements with Key Suppliers:

Supplier Agreement Term Estimated Supply Volume Contract Amount
Rongbai Technology 2026-2031 3.05 million tons Over RMB 120 billion
Wanrun New Energy 2025-2030 1.3231 million tons Not disclosed
Longpan Technology 2025 Cap of RMB 7 billion RMB 7 billion
Dynanonic Ongoing cooperation Jointly planned 100,000 tons -
Fulin Precision Long-term cooperation 80% of production capacity purchased Advance payment of RMB 1.5 billion

Data Source: Company announcements and industry reports[6][7]


III. Market Position and Profitability of the Energy Storage Business
1. Dominant Market Position
  • Four Consecutive Global Titles
    : CATL has ranked first in global energy storage battery shipments for four consecutive years from 2021 to 2024
  • Significant Leading Edge
    : In 2024, its global market share reached 36.5%,
    23.3 percentage points higher than the second-ranked player
    [0][1]
  • Strong Orders in 2025
    : CATL has secured over
    300GWh
    of energy storage battery-related orders globally[6]
2. Profitability Performance

CATL’s energy storage business has demonstrated excellent profitability:

Indicator Energy Storage Batteries Power Batteries Difference
Gross Profit Margin (2025H1)
25.52%
22.41%
+3.11pct
Shipments (2025H1) 55-60GWh 215GWh -
Year-on-Year Growth Rate Approximately 30% Over 30% Similar growth rates

The gross profit margin of energy storage batteries is significantly higher than that of the power battery business, making it an important profit contributor for the company[5][8].


IV. Promotion of Cathode Material Demand by Technological Iteration
1. Application of High-Density Lithium Iron Phosphate Cathode Materials
  • Shenxing Battery Series
    : Has developed to the 4th generation of high-density lithium iron phosphate technology
  • Market Penetration
    : In 2024, Shenxing batteries and Qilin batteries together accounted for
    30-40% of power battery sales
    , and the proportion is expected to rise to
    60-70%
    in 2025[9]
2. Upscaling of Energy Storage Cells
Cell Specification Launch Time Technical Features Impact on Cathode Material Demand
280Ah Mainstream Standard specification Lays the foundation for demand
314Ah 2024 High-density lithium iron phosphate, penetration rate of approximately 40%
Strengthened demand for high-density lithium iron phosphate
587Ah Mass production in June 2025 20% reduction in system components, 15% cost reduction Drives the application of materials with higher compaction density

The trend of upscaling energy storage cells has formed a continuous pull on the demand for high-density lithium iron phosphate cathode materials[9].


V. Future Growth Forecast (2025-2030)
Year Shipments of LFP Cathode Materials in China (10,000 tons) Proportion of Energy Storage Demand (%) Contribution by CATL (10,000 tons)
2025 289.0 32 34.1
2026 320.0 35 42.0
2027 360.0 38 52.0
2028 400.0 40 62.0
2029 440.0 42 72.0
2030 480.0 45 85.0

With the continuous high-speed growth of the energy storage market, CATL’s contribution to cathode materials is expected to grow from

242,000 tons
in 2024 to
850,000 tons
in 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately
23%
.


VI. Conclusion

The contribution of CATL’s energy storage business to the growth of cathode material demand can be summarized into the following four aspects:

  1. Incremental Driver
    : In 2024, the increment of cathode materials in the energy storage sector contributed 32.3% to the overall growth of LFP, with CATL contributing approximately 88,000 tons of increment
  2. Supply Chain Control
    : By locking in a supply of 2.4 million tons of cathode materials per year through long-term agreements, it ensures raw material supply security and forms an industrial ecological alliance
  3. Technological Leadership
    : Through high-density lithium iron phosphate and the upscaling of energy storage cells, it continuously promotes technological iteration and demand upgrading of cathode materials
  4. Profit Support
    : The gross profit margin of the energy storage business is 3.11 percentage points higher than that of power batteries, and its strong profitability supports continuous expansion

With the continuous high-speed growth of the global energy storage market, as an industry leader, CATL’s energy storage business will further expand its contribution to cathode material demand, and is expected to contribute approximately

850,000 tons
of cathode materials in 2030.


References

[0] CATL 2024 Annual Report (https://www.catl.com/uploads/1/file/public/202503/20250317094543_6ig9e0mwng.pdf)
[1] SNE Research Global Energy Storage Battery Statistics
[2] SMM 2024 Cathode Material Output Statistics
[3] Loading Volume Data from China Automotive Power Battery Industry Innovation Alliance
[4] EVTank Global Energy Storage Battery Market Report
[5] CATL 2025 Interim Report Review (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202508011719454461_1.pdf)
[6] Expert Talk on Energy Storage: CATL Increases Investment in Energy Storage Supply Guarantee (https://www.eet-china.com/mp/a468036.html)
[7] Securities Times: Rongbai Technology Signs a Mega Lithium Iron Phosphate Order with CATL (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3594308.html)
[8] Energy Storage Headlines: 2025 H1 Energy Storage Rankings
[9] Minmetals Securities: Four Key Focus Areas for the Lithium Battery Industry in 2026 (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202512311811875727_1.pdf)

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