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Investment Value Analysis of Hydrogen-Carbon Coproduction Technology in Q1 2026

#hydrogen_energy #investment_analysis #hydrogen_carbon_coproduction #green_hydrogen #carbon_neutrality #energy_technology #carbon_materials #market_outlook
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January 18, 2026

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Investment Value Analysis Report on Hydrogen-Carbon Coproduction Technology in Q1 2026
I. Technological Breakthroughs and Industrialization Progress
1.1 Core Technological Breakthroughs

The team led by Researcher Yu Qingkai from the Shanghai Institute of Microsystem and Information Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences has made a major breakthrough in the field of hydrogen-carbon coproduction technology. Its developed

Natural Gas Cracking Hydrogen-Carbon Coproduction Technology
has received support from the National Key R&D Program, becoming an important path for green hydrogen and carbon production[1]. The core innovations of this technology include:

  • Zero-Emission Operation
    : Compared to traditional high-pollution hydrogen and carbon production processes, this technology operates under nearly zero-pollution conditions, completely avoiding greenhouse gas emissions
  • Coproduction Model
    : Can simultaneously produce
    high-purity hydrogen
    and
    high-purity graphite
    , realizing green and high-value utilization of methane resources
  • Distributed Application Advantages
    : Has significant cost and efficiency advantages over traditional processes in distributed scenarios such as chemical plants and hydrogen refueling stations
1.2 Technological R&D Progress

Currently, the team is focusing on overcoming technical bottlenecks such as

continuous operation of cracking reactors
, with the goal of increasing the stable continuous operation time from the current level to
one month
[1]. The breakthrough of this technical indicator is crucial for commercialization, because:

  • Continuous operation time directly affects the capacity utilization rate and production cost of equipment
  • Achieving one month of stable operation marks a key step toward industrialization of the technology
  • Lays a process foundation for subsequent large-scale production
1.3 Industrialization Roadmap
Time Node Milestone Goal Strategic Significance
2021 Establishment of Shanghai Qingtian New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. Landing of the commercialization entity for the technology
2026 Demonstration Application in Sichuan Province Verification of technical feasibility and economic viability
Next 2 Years Industrialization Implementation Large-scale production and promotion
II. Market Size and Growth Forecast
2.1 Overall Scale of the Hydrogen Energy Industry

China’s hydrogen energy industry is in a period of rapid development. According to data from the Zhongshang Industrial Research Institute[2]:

Indicator 2024 2025(E) 2026(E) Growth Rate
Hydrogen Production (10,000 tonnes) 3,650 3,750 3,981 6.2%
Hydrogen Fuel Cell Market Size (CNY 100 million) 59.9 68 70+ 8.5%
Number of Hydrogen Refueling Stations (units) 497 536 569 6.2%
2.2 Market Potential of the Hydrogen-Carbon Coproduction Segment

Natural gas cracking hydrogen production technology has unique advantages compared to traditional hydrogen production methods:

  1. Cost Advantage
    : Avoids CO₂ capture costs, and is economically viable in regions with moderate raw material prices
  2. High-Value Products
    : The coproduced graphite/carbon materials are high-value-added products
  3. Carbon Emission Advantage
    : Aligns with the “Dual Carbon” strategy and enjoys policy support
2.3 Long-Term Market Outlook

According to the forecast of the Global Hydrogen Energy Market Research Report[3]:

  • 2030
    : China’s green hydrogen production target is 3.5-5 million tonnes/year
  • 2035
    : China’s green hydrogen production target is 15-20 million tonnes/year
  • Global Market
    : The global hydrogen energy market size will reach USD 850 billion in 2035, with a compound annual growth rate of 25%
III. Analysis of Industrial Chain Investment Targets
3.1 Targets Directly Related to Hydrogen-Carbon Coproduction
Stock Code Company Name Business Relevance Investment Rationale
000723 Meijin Energy
Extremely High
Integrated coal-coke-hydrogen industrial chain, “hydrogen-carbon synergy” development model
600516 Fangda Carbon
High
Leader in graphite/carbon materials, application of by-products from hydrogen-carbon coproduction
600740 Shanxi Coking
Medium
Hydrogen production from coke oven gas, abundant by-product hydrogen resources
600989 Baofeng Energy
Medium
Active layout of green hydrogen production, coupling with coal chemical industry
3.2 Supporting Equipment Enterprises in the Industrial Chain
Stock Code Company Name Business Segment Investment Highlights
300471 Hopewell Science & Technology Hydrogen Refueling Station Equipment Leader in hydrogen refueling equipment, benefiting from accelerated construction of hydrogen refueling stations
002074 Guoxuan High-Tech Hydrogen Energy Materials Dual-drive development of lithium power batteries and hydrogen energy materials
002210 Feizhou Electronics Electrical Equipment Supplier of hydrogen energy electrical equipment
3.3 In-Depth Analysis of Key Target Companies
Meijin Energy (000723)
  • Industrial Chain Layout
    : Has completed the full industrial chain layout of hydrogen energy “production-storage-transportation-refueling-utilization”
  • Core Advantages
    : Relying on coal coking industry resources, has cost advantages
  • Development Strategy
    : Promotes the “hydrogen-carbon synergy” development model, exploring synergistic applications of hydrogen energy with existing industrial systems
  • Regional Layout
    : Has launched and operated hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in Chongqing, Guangzhou and other regions[4]
Fangda Carbon (600516)
  • Industry Position
    : Leader in the graphite electrode industry, with leading technology in the carbon materials field
  • Business Synergy
    : Graphite produced from hydrogen-carbon coproduction can be directly applied to the company’s existing businesses
  • R&D Strength
    : Continuous R&D investment in high-end carbon materials
IV. Policy Environment and Regional Development Opportunities
4.1 National Policy Support
  1. “15th Five-Year Plan”
    : Hydrogen energy is regarded as a future energy technology requiring forward-looking layout
  2. “Dual Carbon” Strategy
    : Hydrogen energy will become a core sector of energy transformation
  3. Industrial Policies
    : Central enterprise-led demonstration projects account for over 60%, with significant policy-driven effects[2]
4.2 Local Policy Benefits

As a key region for the demonstration application of hydrogen-carbon coproduction technology, Sichuan Province has issued the Medium- and Long-Term Development Plan for the Hydrogen Energy Industry in Sichuan Province (2025—2035) and the Action Plan for Further Promoting the Full-Industrial Chain Development and Application of Hydrogen Energy in Sichuan Province (2024—2027)[5], with key support directions including:

  • Creating typical application scenarios
  • Reducing comprehensive application costs
  • Accelerating major technological breakthroughs
  • Promoting integrated development of hydrogen energy with multiple energy sources
4.3 Regional Investment Opportunities
Region Advantages Key Development Directions
Sichuan Abundant natural gas resources Hydrogen-carbon coproduction demonstration projects
Inner Mongolia Abundant green power resources Large-scale green hydrogen production
Shandong Abundant industrial by-product hydrogen Hydrogen energy heavy-duty truck applications
Guangdong Leading hydrogen energy industry policies Hydrogen refueling station network construction
V. Investment Risks and Strategic Recommendations
5.1 Main Risk Factors
  1. Technological Risks
    : The stability of continuous operation of cracking reactors has not been fully verified
  2. Industrialization Risks
    : It still takes time to move from demonstration applications to large-scale production
  3. Market Risks
    : Fluctuations in hydrogen prices, changes in supply and demand in the carbon materials market
  4. Policy Risks
    : Expectations of subsidy policy withdrawal, changes in industry standards
5.2 Investment Strategic Recommendations
Short-Term Strategy (Q1 2026)
  • Track Demonstration Project Progress
    : Monitor the implementation of the Sichuan demonstration project
  • Allocate to Leading Enterprises
    : Full-industry-chain leaders such as Meijin Energy (000723)
  • Prioritize Equipment Enterprises
    : Hydrogen refueling station equipment suppliers such as Hopewell Science & Technology (300471)
Medium-Term Strategy (Full Year 2026)
  • Benefit from Technology Diffusion
    : Focus on equipment demand brought by the diffusion of hydrogen-carbon coproduction technology
  • Regional Layout Opportunities
    : Resource-rich regions such as Sichuan and Inner Mongolia
  • Layout on the Materials Side
    : Graphite/carbon materials enterprises benefit from the coproduction model
Long-Term Layout (2027-2030)
  • Core Technology Enterprises
    : Focus on technology leaders with independent intellectual property rights
  • Large-Scale Production
    : Economies of scale brought by capacity expansion
  • International Expansion
    : Overseas market expansion opportunities
5.3 Investment Portfolio Recommendations
Allocation Ratio Target Type Representative Company
40% Full-Industrial-Chain Leader Meijin Energy (000723)
25% Equipment Supplier Hopewell Science & Technology (300471)
20% Carbon Materials Enterprise Fangda Carbon (600516)
15% Themed ETF New Energy Themed Fund
VI. Conclusion

In Q1 2026, hydrogen-carbon coproduction technology is at a critical juncture from laboratory to industrialization. The technological breakthrough by the Chinese Academy of Sciences team has laid a solid foundation for the development of this field, and the planned implementation of the Sichuan demonstration project will verify the commercial feasibility of the technology[1].

Core Investment Views
:

  1. Technology Aspect
    : Natural gas cracking hydrogen-carbon coproduction technology has notable advantages such as zero emissions and high added value, aligning with the “Dual Carbon” strategic direction
  2. Market Aspect
    : China’s hydrogen production ranks first globally, with an expected output of 39.81 million tonnes in 2026, providing broad market space
  3. Policy Aspect
    : Hydrogen energy is listed as a forward-looking future energy technology during the “15th Five-Year Plan” period, with continuous policy support
  4. Investment Aspect
    : It is recommended to focus on full-industry-chain leaders such as Meijin Energy (000723) and equipment suppliers such as Hopewell Science & Technology (300471)

Risk Warning
: Risks such as slower-than-expected technology industrialization process, weakened policy support, and intensified market competition require close attention.


References

[1] China News Service - Chinese Scientists Break Through in Hydrogen-Carbon Coproduction Technology: Zero-Emission Hydrogen Production Facilitates Energy Transition (https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2026/01-18/10554059.shtml)

[2] Zhongshang Industrial Research Institute - 2025 China Hydrogen Energy Industry Chain Map and Investment Layout Analysis (https://m.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_32286878)

[3] Beijing Yanjing Biz Consulting - 2025-2035 Global Hydrogen Energy Market Trend Judgment and Investment Decision-Making Research Report (https://m.yjbzr.com/reports/18168.html)

[4] Securities Times - Meijin Energy Investor Q&A (https://www.stcn.com/quotes/index/sz000723.html)

[5] Securities Times - Institution: Hydrogen Energy is Expected to Gradually Enter the Industrialization Stage (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3559643.html)

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