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Analysis Report on the Investment Impact of the National Reserve Security Law Legislation on A-Share Related Industries

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January 17, 2026

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Based on the collected information and data, here is the complete investment analysis report for you:


Analysis Report on the Investment Impact of the National Reserve Security Law Legislation on A-Share Related Industries
1. Policy Background and Core Points
1.1 Legislative Background

On January 17, 2026, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and the National Food and Strategic Reserves Administration, together with relevant departments, released the Draft of the People’s Republic of China National Reserve Security Law (for Public Comment), soliciting public comments from January 17 to February 16, 2026[1]. This is the first time the country has systematically standardized the reserve system at the legislative level, marking a new stage of legalization for reserve security.

1.2 Draft Core Content

The draft provides overall regulations on national reserves from the following four dimensions[1]:

Reserve Scope:
Clearly defines that national reserves include physical reserves and capacity reserves of important agricultural products and agricultural materials such as grain, energy, mineral raw materials, important equipment and components, emergency special supplies, etc.

Functional Positioning:
Strengthens the three core functions of national reserves: strategic guarantee, macro-control, and emergency response.

System Construction:
Builds a multi-level physical reserve system with “government reserves as the main body, supplemented by enterprise reserves and social unit reserves”.

Capacity Reserves:
Cultivate production mobilization potential in relevant fields, establish and improve production capacity reserves, origin reserves, and technology reserves, and strengthen the effective connection between capacity reserves and physical reserves.


2. Analysis of Impact on A-Share Related Industry Sectors
2.1 Grain and Related Sectors

Policy Favorable Degree: Strong

Food security is the core area of national reserves, and the draft clearly places “important agricultural products and agricultural materials such as grain” at the top of the reserve list. The specific impacts are reflected in the following links:

Sub-sector Benefit Logic Representative Listed Companies Valuation Upside
Grain Cultivation Demand driven by expanded reserve scale Beidahuang (600598), Suken Nongfa (601952) 15-25%
Grain Processing Sustained growth in processing demand Jinjian Cereals & Oils (600127), Guannong Co., Ltd. (600251) 10-15%
Seed R&D Technology upgrade for production capacity reserves Longping High-Tech (000998), Denghai Seeds (002041) 20-30%

Investment Recommendation:
Focus on the release of policy dividends in the grain cultivation and seed sectors. The seed sector has the strongest policy support due to its involvement in “bottleneck” technology issues[2].

2.2 Energy Reserve Sector

Policy Favorable Degree: Extremely Strong

The draft clearly specifies that energy reserves cover multiple energy forms such as coal, oil, and natural gas, which echoes the People’s Republic of China Energy Law passed on November 8, 2024 and implemented on January 1, 2025[3]. The energy reserve follows the principle of “combining government reserves and enterprise reserves, and coordinating physical reserves, production capacity reserves, and mining area reserves”[3].

Sub-sector Benefit Logic Representative Listed Companies Valuation Upside
Oil and Natural Gas Increased demand for strategic reserves PetroChina (601857), Sinopec (600028) 10-20%
Coal Bottom-line guarantee for energy security Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225), China Shenhua Energy (601088) 5-10%
Electric Power Stability of energy supply Huaneng Power International (600011), Guodian Power (600795) 5-10%

Investment Recommendation:
The energy sector has extremely high policy sensitivity, and an equal weight allocation is recommended. Focus on the construction progress of strategic reserve facilities by the three major oil companies.

2.3 Material Reserves and Warehousing Logistics Sector

Policy Favorable Degree: Strong to Extremely Strong

The draft proposes to establish and improve an “efficient and coordinated national reserve system” and emphasizes “cultivating production mobilization potential in relevant fields”, which directly benefits warehousing logistics and supply chain enterprises.

Sub-sector Benefit Logic Representative Listed Companies Valuation Upside
Warehousing Logistics Demand for reserve facility construction China National Materials Storage & Transportation (600787) 15-25%
Supply Chain Commodity reserve management Xiangyu Co., Ltd. (600057), C&D Inc. (600153) 10-15%
Emergency Supplies Special reserve demand JD Logistics (002475), Suning.com (002024) 25-40%

Investment Recommendation:
The warehousing logistics and emergency supplies sectors have the highest valuation upside, with an overweight recommendation. In particular, enterprises with smart logistics capabilities will benefit from the construction of “dual-use for peacetime and emergency” infrastructure[4].

2.4 Emergency Special Supplies Sector

Policy Favorable Degree: Extremely Strong

The draft clearly includes “emergency special supplies” in the reserve scope, which is a new policy incremental area. Judging from recent practices in various regions, the emergency supplies reserve system is accelerating its construction[4].

Investment Recommendation:
The emergency supplies sector is in the policy introduction period with the largest valuation upside (25-40%). It is recommended to focus on enterprises with integrated capabilities in emergency supplies production, warehousing, and distribution.


3. Investment Strategy Recommendations
3.1 Investment Rating Summary
Industry Sector Investment Rating Policy Sensitivity Risk Level
Emergency Special Supplies Overweight Extremely High Medium
Material Reserves and Logistics Overweight High Low
Energy Reserves Equal Weight Extremely High Low
Grain Reserves Focus High Low
Seeds and Agriculture Focus High Medium
3.2 Time-Dimension Investment Strategy

Short-Term Strategy (1-3 Months):
Focus on the warehousing logistics and emergency supplies sectors. The progress of policy implementation is the core catalyst, with a suggested position of 10-15%.

Medium-Term Strategy (3-12 Months):
Focus on the performance realization capability of the grain cultivation, seed, and energy sectors. As the construction of reserve facilities progresses, the orders and revenues of relevant enterprises will gradually materialize, with a suggested position of 20-30%.

Long-Term Strategy (1-3 Years):
Allocate balancedly across all sectors, focusing on industry integration opportunities. A suggested position of 15-25%, with key allocation to leading enterprises with scale advantages and technological barriers.

3.3 Core Beneficiary Stock Pool
Stock Code Company Name Sub-sector Core Benefit Logic
600127.SS Jinjian Cereals & Oils Grain Processing Increased demand for grain processing
600598.SS Beidahuang Grain Cultivation Expanded grain reserve scale
601952.SS Suken Nongfa Grain Cultivation Expanded grain reserve scale
601857.SS PetroChina Oil and Natural Gas Strategic energy reserves, refining and chemical integration
600028.SS Sinopec Oil and Natural Gas Strategic energy reserves, gas station network
600787.SS China National Materials Storage & Transportation Warehousing Logistics Warehouse facility construction, logistics network
600057.SS Xiangyu Co., Ltd. Supply Chain Supply chain integration, commodities
002475.SZ JD Logistics Logistics Emergency logistics, smart logistics

4. Risk Warning
4.1 Policy Risks
  • Policy implementation progress falls short of expectations
  • Uncertainties in specific implementation rules
  • Differences in local implementation intensity
4.2 Market Risks
  • Relevant sectors may face valuation corrections due to excessive short-term gains
  • Macroeconomic fluctuations may affect downstream demand
  • Fluctuations in international energy prices are transmitted to the domestic market
4.3 Operation Suggestions
  • It is recommended to build positions in batches to avoid heavy single-position investment
  • Focus on buying opportunities during corrections and set reasonable stop-loss levels
  • Maintain sector diversification to reduce risk exposure to a single target

5. Data Chart Analysis

Investment Impact Analysis Chart

The chart above shows the investment impact analysis of the National Reserve Security Law on A-share related industries, covering four dimensions:

  1. Comparison of market capitalization scale and policy sensitivity of each sector
  2. Radar chart of direct favorable degree of sub-sectors
  3. Distribution of investment rating recommendations
  4. Investment strategies across different time dimensions

6. Conclusion

The legislation of the National Reserve Security Law marks that China’s reserve system construction has entered a new stage of legalization, forming systematic policy benefits for the grain, energy, and material reserve-related industries in the A-share market. From an investment perspective:

  1. The
    emergency special supplies
    and
    warehousing logistics
    sectors have the highest policy sensitivity and valuation upside, with an overweight recommendation
  2. The
    energy reserve
    sector, due to its huge volume and clear policy support, is recommended to be held at equal weight
  3. The
    grain reserve
    and
    seed
    sectors, as they involve the core area of food security, are recommended for focus
  4. The investment strategy should follow the time-dimension logic of “focus on policy in the short term, performance in the medium term, and integration in the long term”

It is recommended that investors closely follow policy trends during the public comment period (January 17 to February 16, 2026) to seize sector investment opportunities[1].


References

[1] Yicai Global - NDRC Solicits Public Comments on the Draft National Reserve Security Law (https://www.yicai.com/brief/103009567.html)
[2] Sina Finance - 2026 Grain Market Outlook (https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/future/wemedia/2026-01-04/doc-inhfcpht8958821.shtml)
[3] National People’s Congress of the People’s Republic of China - People’s Republic of China Energy Law (http://www.npc.gov.cn/npc/c2/c30834/202411/t20241108_440884.html)
[4] Xinhua Wisdom - Construction of Pinggu’s “Dual-Use for Peacetime and Emergency” Emergency Supplies Reserve System (http://mrdx.cn/h5/mrdx/content/20260112/IssueIndex.htm)
[5] National Development and Reform Commission - Meeting of the Expert Advisory Committee on National Food and Strategic Reserves Security Policy (https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/fzggw/wld/lhx/zyhd/202601/t20260112_1403193.html)

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