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In-Depth Research Report on SF Holding's Strategic Layout of Embodied Intelligent Robots

#logistics #embodied_ai #robotics #sf_express #autonomous_delivery #technology_innovation #valuation_analysis
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January 15, 2026

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In-Depth Research Report on SF Holding's Strategic Layout of Embodied Intelligent Robots

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Based on systematic data collection and analysis, we now present the

In-Depth Research Report on SF Holding’s Strategic Layout of Embodied Intelligent Robots
.


SF Holding (002352.SZ) Embodied Intelligence Strategy Analysis: Competitive Barriers and Long-Term Valuation Impact
I. Panorama of Strategic Layout
1.1 Core Cooperation: Xingdong Era Embodied Intelligent Robot Project

SF Holding has reached a strategic cooperation with Xingdong Era, which is a key layout in the field of embodied intelligence. Xingdong Era was founded in 2024 by Chen Jianyu, Assistant Professor of the Institute for Interdisciplinary Information Sciences at Tsinghua University, and focuses on the R&D of embodied intelligent robots. The company has completed a

nearly RMB 1 billion Series A+ financing round
, led by Geely Capital, with co-investments from BAIC Capital, Beijing Artificial Intelligence Industry Investment Fund, etc. [1][2]

Cooperation Dimension Details
Cooperation Form
In-depth cooperation agreement for joint R&D focusing on logistics scenarios such as express delivery and warehousing
Technical Solution
R&D and application promotion of embodied intelligent robot technical solutions
Commercial Implementation
The largest single order in the logistics industry worth nearly RMB 50 million; standardized solutions have been formed
Technical Products
Embodied Brain ERA-42, full-size bipedal humanoid robot Xingdong L7, five-finger dexterous hand, etc.

Xingdong Era’s Embodied Brain ERA-42 has achieved precise control of the whole body and five-finger dexterous hand of high-degree-of-freedom full-size bipedal humanoid robots. In the logistics field, it can complete

sorting and barcode scanning of pharmaceuticals, daily chemicals, and parcels
, with an efficiency of 70% in some scenarios currently [2][3].

1.2 End-to-End Layout of Autonomous Delivery

SF Holding has formed a complete layout of “

Shareholding + Independent R&D + Large-Scale Deployment
” in the autonomous delivery field:

Layout Dimension Progress
Shareholding Investment
Invested in White Rhino (a low-speed autonomous driving company) twice in August 2024 and May 2025 [4]
Deployment Scale
SF Holding has deployed
more than 800 unmanned vehicles
, and SF Instant has deployed approximately 200
Application Scenarios
Feeder transportation between transfer hubs and outlets, connection between outlets and collection/delivery areas, closed areas such as industrial parks and campuses
Coverage Network
SF Instant’s service network covers 38 major cities
1.3 Technological Accumulation of SF Technology

SF Technology has been deeply engaged in logistics technology since its establishment in 2009, and has received multiple industry recognitions:

  • Selected as one of the
    2025 Fortune China Top 50 Tech Companies
    [5]
  • 2025 Franz Edman Global Finals Award
    ,
    2024 Shenzhen Artificial Intelligence Science and Technology Progress Award
  • National Postdoctoral Research Workstation
    , certified by the Automatic Identification Technology R&D Center of the State Post Bureau
  • Self-developed logistics industry large models “
    Fengyu
    ”, “
    Fengzhi
    ” and “
    SF Super Brain
    ” system

II. Analysis of Pathways to Enhance Competitive Barriers
2.1 Short-Term Advantages (2025-2026): Cost Advantages Emerge

Core Driver: Large-Scale Deployment of Unmanned Vehicles

Cost Indicator Calculated Data
Monthly Cost Savings per Vehicle RMB 5,100/month
Annual Savings from 800 Vehicles in Operation RMB 49 million
Annual Savings After Full Replacement (100,000 Vehicles)
RMB 6.12 billion
After-Tax Profit Increase (25% Tax Rate)
RMB 4.59 billion

According to the research report of Sinolink Securities, the usage cost of unmanned vehicles (RMB 26,000/month) is significantly lower than that of traditional logistics vehicles (RMB 77,000/month), including vehicle depreciation, driver salaries, fuel costs, etc. [4]. If 100% replacement is achieved, SF Holding’s annual profit increase can reach

RMB 4.6 billion
, representing an increase of over 40% relative to its current net profit scale of approximately RMB 10 billion.

Policy Dividends Support
: In May 2025, the State Post Bureau issued the “Opinions on Accelerating the Scientific and Technological Development of the Postal Industry”, clearly stating that “we will deepen the promotion and application of artificial intelligence technologies and products in the industry, and accelerate the large-scale application of drones, unmanned vehicles, and intelligent cloud warehouses in the industry” [4].

2.2 Mid-Term Advantages (2027-2030): Data Barrier Construction

SF Holding possesses

massive logistics scenario data
, which serves as a natural testbed for embodied intelligence training. The cooperation with Xingdong Era has formed a positive “
Scenario-Data-Model
” flywheel:

Rich Scenarios → Data Accumulation → Model Iteration → Capacity Enhancement → More Scenarios

Technology Iteration Path
:

  • Continuous upgrade of Embodied Brain ERA-42 (one of the world’s four major frequency-divided VLA players, alongside Figure Helix, Tesla Grok, NVIDIA GR00T) [2]
  • Self-developed hardware accounts for over 95%, achieving vertical integration of the supply chain
  • Logistics scenario data forms a differentiated competitive barrier
2.3 Long-Term Advantages (After 2030): Ecological Barrier Formation
Barrier Dimension Construction Path
Technological Moat
Full-stack self-development of integrated software and hardware, with independent and controllable core algorithms
Ecological Synergy
Dual-drive of developer ecosystem + industry solutions
First-Mover Advantage in Internationalization
Xingdong Era’s overseas business accounts for 50%, covering North America, Europe, the Middle East, Japan and South Korea
Scenario Network
Physical network composed of over 10,000 outlets and over 100,000 end-delivery vehicles across the country

III. Assessment of Long-Term Valuation Impact
3.1 Logic of Valuation Reconstruction

SF Holding’s current valuation system is still dominated by

traditional logistics
(PE around 18x), but its strategic layout of embodied intelligence will drive the valuation logic to switch to
tech-enabled logistics
:

Valuation System PE Range Valuation Midpoint
Traditional Logistics 15-20x 17x
Tech-Enabled Logistics 25-35x 30x
Valuation Upside
+30%-50%
-
3.2 Valuation Drivers

Positive Drivers
:

  1. Profit Growth from Cost Savings
    : Annual profit increase of approximately RMB 4.6 billion after full replacement, corresponding to an EPS increase of approximately RMB 0.9
  2. Valuation Premium for Tech Attributes
    : SF Technology is selected as one of the Fortune China Top 50 Tech Companies, with continuous increase in R&D investment
  3. Revaluation of Data Asset Value
    : Logistics scenario data barriers become a new valuation anchor
  4. Certainty of Policy Support
    : National strategy supports intelligent transformation, with continuous release of policy dividends
  5. First-Mover Advantage
    : In-depth cooperation with Xingdong Era seizes the first opportunity in the commercialization of humanoid robots

Risk Factors
:

  1. Short-Term Profit Pressure
    : Increase in early-stage R&D investment and capital expenditure
  2. Uncertainty in Technology Implementation
    : Embodied intelligence technology is still in the early stage of development
  3. Intensified Industry Competition
    : JD Logistics, Cainiao, etc. are also accelerating their layout of autonomous delivery
  4. Fluctuations in Macroeconomic Environment
    : May affect capital expenditure capacity and expansion pace
3.3 Adjustments to Financial Forecasts
Indicator 2024A 2025E 2026E 2027E
Operating Revenue (RMB 100 million) 2,844 3,197 3,528 3,898
Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders (RMB 100 million) 102 110 128 150
Contribution from Robot Business (RMB 100 million) - 0.5 3 10
Expected PE 18x 17x 16x 15x
PE with Tech Premium (Considering AI Valuation)
18x 20x 24x 28x

IV. Competitive Landscape and Investment Recommendations
4.1 Industry Competitive Landscape
Enterprise Robot Investment Technology Maturity Competitive Advantage
SF Holding (Direct Operation)
85 75 Scenario Data + Technical Cooperation
JD Logistics (E-Commerce Ecosystem) 70 80 E-Commerce Scenarios + Independent R&D Capability
Cainiao (Alibaba Ecosystem) 65 60 Platform Resources + Data Advantages
Tongda System (Franchise Model) 40 35 Cost Control + Network Coverage

SF Holding’s competitive advantages lie in its

independent third-party positioning
(not controlled by any e-commerce platform) and
massive differentiated scenario data
. The in-depth cooperation with Xingdong Era makes up for its shortcomings in embodied intelligent hardware and algorithms.

4.2 Investment Rating and Risk Warnings

Core Conclusions
:

SF Holding’s strategic layout of embodied intelligent robots will enhance the company’s value from three dimensions:

  1. Short-Term (1-2 Years)
    : Large-scale deployment of unmanned vehicles brings cost savings, with annual profit growth potential of up to RMB 4.6 billion
  2. Mid-Term (3-5 Years)
    : Accumulation of scenario data forms technological barriers, and valuation logic switches to that of a tech company
  3. Long-Term (Over 5 Years)
    : Ecological barriers are built, establishing a leading position in intelligent logistics

Risk Warnings
:

  • Technology implementation progress falls short of expectations
  • Intensified industry competition puts pressure on gross profit margin
  • Increase in capital expenditure affects short-term cash flow
  • Macroeconomic fluctuations affect demand

References

[1] Xingdong Era Secures Nearly RMB 1 Billion in Series A+ Financing - Securities Times Network

[2] Xingdong Era Secures Nearly RMB 1 Billion in Series A+ Financing - QbitAI

[3] Geely Capital Leads Nearly RMB 1 Billion New Financing for Xingdong Era - Southern Metropolis Daily

[4] Special Research on Transportation Industry - Sinolink Securities Research Institute

[5] SF Technology Selected as 2025 Fortune China Top 50 Tech Company - China Daily Website

[6] SF Holding Co., Ltd. 2025 Third Quarter Report - SF Holding

[7] Follow the Trend, Build the Foundation of Long-Term Value - Minsheng Securities Research Institute

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.