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Analysis of the Impact of Delta Air Lines' Large-Scale Boeing 787 Order on Boeing and the Aerospace Manufacturing Industry

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January 14, 2026

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Analysis of the Impact of Delta Air Lines' Large-Scale Boeing 787 Order on Boeing and the Aerospace Manufacturing Industry

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Analysis of the Impact of Delta Air Lines’ Large-Scale Boeing 787 Order on Boeing and the Aerospace Manufacturing Industry
I. Transaction Overview

According to Boeing’s official announcement, Delta Air Lines announced an order for up to 60 Boeing 787-10 Dreamliners on January 13, 2026, marking Delta’s first direct widebody aircraft order from Boeing[1][2]. The specific order structure consists of

30 firm orders
plus
an additional 30 options
, which will make Delta Air Lines the last of the three major U.S. legacy airlines to operate the Boeing 787[1][3].


II. Impact on Boeing’s Order Revenue
2.1 Estimation of Direct Order Value

Based on published list price data, the list price of the Boeing 787-10 is

$338.4 million per aircraft
[4]. Calculated accordingly:

Order Type Quantity Estimated Value
Firm Orders 30 aircraft
Approximately $10.15 billion
Options 30 aircraft Approximately $10.15 billion
Potential Total Value
60 aircraft
Approximately $20.3 billion

It should be noted that actual transaction prices usually include significant discounts, with bulk purchase discounts for airlines typically ranging between 20%-40%. Even with a 30% discount, the actual contract value of this order could still reach the

$14 billion to $18 billion
range.

2.2 Contribution to Boeing’s 787 Program Order Backlog

As of November 2025, Boeing’s 787 program has received a total of

2,296 orders
, with
1,235 aircraft delivered
and
1,061 orders remaining to be delivered
[5]. Among them:

  • 787-10 variant
    : Total orders of 413 aircraft, 134 delivered, 279 remaining to be delivered[5]
  • 2025 Performance
    : The 787 program secured
    339 net orders
    in 2025, its strongest performance in recent years[5]

Delta Air Lines’ order will increase the 787-10’s undelivered orders by approximately 10%-20%, further consolidating the variant’s market position. It is worth noting that Delta previously operated a small number of 787 aircraft through leasing companies, but this is its first direct order from Boeing[1][3].

2.3 Potential Impact on Boeing’s Financial Situation

Boeing’s commercial aircraft business performed strongly in the third quarter of 2025:

  • Commercial Aircraft Backlog Value
    : $534.6 billion (as of September 30, 2025)[6]
  • Commercial Aircraft Division Revenue
    : $11.1 billion, a 49% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by higher deliveries including the 787[6]
  • 787 Program Production Capacity
    : Has stabilized at a production rate of 7 aircraft per month[6]
  • 787 Deliveries in the First Three Quarters of 2025
    : 61 aircraft, a 51% year-over-year increase[6]

This order will provide Boeing with a stable long-term revenue source and help improve its cash flow position. In the third quarter of 2025, Boeing achieved $1.1 billion in operating cash flow, its first positive quarterly operating cash flow in recent years[6].


III. Impact on the Competitive Landscape of the Aerospace Manufacturing Industry
3.1 Changes in Widebody Aircraft Market Share

Data for 2025 shows that the competitive dynamics between Boeing and Airbus in the widebody aircraft market have changed significantly:

Indicator Boeing Airbus
2025 Widebody Aircraft Orders Over 500 aircraft Approximately 250 aircraft[7]
Widebody Aircraft Utilization Share 787 leads with approximately 30% A330 at approximately 29%, A350 share growing[7]
Overall Commercial Aircraft Market Share Approximately 40% Approximately 60%[8]

As one of the largest airlines in the U.S., Delta’s move marks an important shift in the U.S. market—previously, Delta has favored an Airbus fleet for the past 15 years, centered around the A220, A320 family narrowbody aircraft, and A330, A350 widebody aircraft[2].

3.2 Supply Chain Diversification Strategy

Delta Air Lines CEO Ed Bastian clearly stated that this order reflects the airline’s strategic intention to

reduce reliance on a single manufacturer
[2]. The background to this decision includes:

  1. Supply Stability
    : Reduce supply chain risks through diversified suppliers
  2. Bargaining Power
    : A multi-supplier structure helps secure more favorable procurement terms
  3. Operational Flexibility
    : A combination of different aircraft types can better match the needs of different routes
3.3 Competitive Dynamics Between the 787-10 and A350

The main competitor of the 787-10 is the Airbus A350-900. According to Delta Air Lines’ official statement, the key considerations for choosing the 787-10 over larger widebody aircraft include[2]:

  • Operating Cost Advantage
    : On medium-haul international routes (transatlantic, South America), the 787-10 is more cost-effective than larger widebody aircraft such as the A350
  • Route Matching
    : The 787-10’s range (6,430 nautical miles) perfectly matches Delta’s core international route network
  • Fuel Efficiency
    : The 787-10 reduces fuel consumption by 25% compared to the older aircraft it replaces, and has the lowest per-seat operating cost among widebody aircraft[Original Text]

IV. Industry Trends and Strategic Implications
4.1 Widebody Aircraft Market Recovery

2025 was a year of strong recovery for the widebody aircraft market. Data shows that overall widebody aircraft utilization has approached pre-pandemic 2019 levels, with a gap of less than 2%[7]. The 787’s utilization share rose from 22% in 2019 to approximately 30% in 2025, making it the leader in the widebody aircraft market[7].

4.2 Important Milestone for Boeing’s 787 Program

Delta Air Lines’ order has multiple strategic implications for Boeing’s 787 program:

  1. Market Confidence Endorsement
    : All three major U.S. legacy airlines (United Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines) now operate 787 fleets
  2. Production Capacity Utilization Guarantee
    : Provides order support for capacity expansion at Boeing’s South Carolina factory
  3. Brand Image Enhancement
    : As Boeing’s flagship widebody aircraft, the 787 has received recognition from one of the largest airlines in the U.S.
4.3 Impact on Airbus

This order has put certain pressure on Airbus:

  • Delta Air Lines is an important customer of Airbus, and its widebody fleet was previously almost entirely composed of Airbus A330/A350 aircraft
  • Delta’s choice indicates that Boeing still has the ability to secure orders even in Airbus’ traditionally strong markets
  • In the future, Airbus may need to offer price discounts or service upgrades to maintain customer loyalty

V. Conclusions and Outlook
5.1 Core Conclusions
  1. Financial Impact
    : Delta Air Lines’ order brings Boeing
    at least $10 billion
    in firm order revenue, and if all options are exercised, the total value could reach the
    $20 billion
    range
  2. Competitive Impact
    : This order marks an important shift in the U.S. aviation market, indicating a rebound in Boeing’s competitiveness in the widebody aircraft market
  3. Strategic Significance
    : Reflects the trend of airline supplier diversification, which will have a far-reaching impact on the long-term competitive landscape of the aerospace manufacturing industry
5.2 Future Outlook
  • Boeing is expected to continue increasing 787 production capacity, targeting a production rate of
    10 aircraft per month
    [5]
  • Competition in the widebody aircraft market will continue to intensify, especially against the backdrop of growing demand in emerging markets in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific
  • The delay of Boeing’s 777X program (expected to enter service in 2028) may further enhance the 787’s strategic position in Boeing’s product portfolio

References

[1] Boeing Investor Relations - Delta Air Lines Orders up to 60 Boeing 787 Dreamliners (https://investors.boeing.com/investors/news/press-release-details/2026/Delta-Air-Lines-Orders-up-to-60-Boeing-787-Dreamliners-to-Grow-Modernize-Widebody-Fleet/default.aspx)

[2] Reuters - Delta forecasts earnings growth on premium travel demand, places Boeing 787 order (https://www.reuters.com/business/delta-bets-premium-travel-demand-with-upbeat-outlook-boeing-787-order-2026-01-13/)

[3] Simple Flying - Delta Adds 30 Boeing 787-10 Dreamliners To Order Book (https://simpleflying.com/delta-air-lines-boeing-787-10-order/)

[4] AXON Aviation - Aircraft Pricing (https://www.axonaviation.com/commercial-aircraft/aircraft-data/aircraft-pricing)

[5] Wikipedia - List of Boeing 787 orders and deliveries (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Boeing_787_orders_and_deliveries)

[6] Boeing Investor Relations - Boeing Reports Third Quarter Results (https://investors.boeing.com/investors/news/press-release-details/2025/Boeing-Reports-Third-Quarter-Results/default.aspx)

[7] Aviation Week - Flight Friday: Widebodies Soar In 2025 As Utilization Patterns Shift (https://aviationweek.com/aerospace/aircraft-propulsion/flight-friday-widebodies-soar-2025-utilization-patterns-shift)

[8] WhatJobs - Airbus vs Boeing Market Dominance 2025 (https://www.whatjobs.com/news/wj-material/uploads/2025/06/Powerful-Shift-Airbus-vs-Boeing-Market-Dominance-2025—Why-Airbus-Is-Winning.webp)

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