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Customer Concentration Risk Assessment Report for Zhipu AI

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January 14, 2026

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Customer Concentration Risk Assessment Report for Zhipu AI

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Based on the prospectus and market data, I will conduct a systematic customer concentration risk assessment for you.


Customer Concentration Risk Assessment Report for Zhipu AI
1. Core Risk Indicators

Based on data disclosed in Zhipu AI’s post-hearing materials for Hong Kong Stock Exchange listing[1], customer concentration exhibits the following characteristics:

Indicator 2024 Data H1 2025 Data Risk Rating
Revenue Share of Largest Customer
19% Over 10% ⚠️ Medium-High Risk
Revenue Share of Top 5 Customers
45.5% Consistently Over 40% 🔴 High Risk
Total Number of Institutional Customers
- 3,156 (65x growth from 2022) 📈 Improving
Customer Concentration Ratio (CR5)
45.5% >40% Above Industry Average

2. Analysis of Customer Structure Evolution

Revenue Share Trend by Customer Type
[1][2]:

Customer Type          2022    2023    2024    H1 2025
─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Internet & Technology      55.2%     67.6%     49.6%     38.3%
Public Services          Declining Trend  Continuous Growth  ~30%   ~30%
Telecom Industry          Stable      Stable      Stable      13.6%
Others              -         -         -         -

Key Findings
:

  1. Key Customer Dependency Risk
    : The top 5 customers contribute 45.5% of revenue, meaning
    the loss of any major customer could cause severe revenue volatility
    [1]

  2. High Customer Turnover
    : The prospectus shows that
    there is almost no overlap in the list of top 5 customers
    , reflecting the issue with one-time delivery models - revenue is unsustainable, requiring constant acquisition of new customers[1]

  3. Customer Structure Transformation Pressure
    : The revenue share of internet and technology customers has continued to decline (from 67.6% to 38.3%), and these customers have the strongest willingness and most mature technical capabilities to develop their own models[2]


3. Correlation Between Revenue Model and Concentration

Zhipu AI adopts the

MaaS (Model-as-a-Service) model
, which is specifically divided into[3]:

Delivery Model Revenue Share (H1 2025) Customer Characteristics Impact on Concentration
On-Premises Deployment
~85% Large Enterprises, Government Agencies High Customer Value, High Customization
Cloud Deployment
15.2% SMEs, Developers Low Customer Value, High Frequency

Analysis of Model Disadvantages
:

  • On-premises deployment has a long expansion cycle and high degree of customization
  • Difficult to achieve explosive growth in the short term[1]
  • Gross margin of cloud deployment business has turned from positive to negative (-0.4%), with ongoing price war pressure[3]

4. Industry Benchmarking and Risk Assessment

Comparison with major players in the large AI model industry:

Company Customer Concentration Characteristics Business Model Risk Differences
Zhipu AI
Top 5 Customers: 45%+ B2B Focused (MaaS) High Concentration
MiniMax
Relatively Dispersed C2C Focused (Subscription) Dispersed
Baidu/Aliyun
Relatively Dispersed Platform-Based Low

Industry Background
: In 2024, the size of China’s large language model market reached RMB 5.3 billion, with institutional customers contributing RMB 4.7 billion (89%) and individual customers only RMB 0.6 billion[3]. Zhipu’s choice of a B2B strategy aligns with the market structure, but it faces the inherent customer concentration challenges of the B2B sector.


5. Risk Mitigation Factors
Positive Factors Analysis
Rapid Growth in Customer Base Number of institutional customers increased from 48 in 2022 to 3,156[2], with concentration dispersion improving
Optimization of Customer Structure Increased revenue share from public services and telecom customers, diversifying customer sources
Overseas Business Expansion Overseas revenue accounted for 11.6% in H1 2025[1], reducing reliance on a single market
MaaS Platform Advantages API platform has over 2.9 million developer users, forming a long-tail effect[3]

6. Comprehensive Risk Assessment
Risk Dimension Rating Explanation
Concentration Risk
🔴 High Top 5 Customers: >40%, single dependency on largest customer
Customer Churn Risk
🔴 High High annual customer turnover rate, one-time delivery model
Bargaining Power Risk
🟡 Medium Major customers have strong bargaining power
Decentralization Progress
🟢 Improving Rapid growth in customer base, ongoing structure optimization

Overall Rating
:
Medium-High Risk
⚠️

Zhipu AI’s customer concentration risk requires continuous attention. Although the number of customers is growing rapidly (65x growth in the previous two years), revenue remains highly concentrated among a small number of major customers. If key customers churn or reduce their budgets, it will have a significant impact on the company’s revenue.


7. Investment/Cooperation Recommendations
  1. Key Monitoring Indicators
    : Changes in top 5 customers, number of new/churned customers and their revenue contributions, customer retention rate
  2. Focus on Inflection Points
    : When CR5 drops below 30% and annual customer overlap rate increases, the risk will decrease significantly
  3. Risk Hedging
    : Pay attention to the company’s cloud business expansion and overseas market growth to reduce reliance on B2B concentration

References

[1] Yicai Global - “Going Overseas, Going Public: China’s First Batch of Large Models Finally Break Through” (https://m.cbndata.com/information/294851)

[2] 36Kr - “At the IPO Door, China’s Large Models Finally Settle the Books” (https://m.36kr.com/p/3617797772461057)

[3] QbitAI - “Urgent Analysis of Zhipu AI’s Prospectus: Annual Revenue of RMB 300 Million with 130% Growth Rate” (https://www.qbitai.com/2025/12/362256.html)

[4] Caixin - “Zhipu AI Switches to Hong Kong Stock Exchange Listing and Passes Hearing; H1 Revenue RMB 191 Million, Net Loss RMB 2.3 Billion” (https://companies.caixin.com/2025-12-20/102395298.html)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.