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In-Depth Analysis of Zhixiang Jintai's GR1803 Bispecific Antibody Conditional Marketing Authorization: Reshaping the Valuation Logic of Innovative Drugs

#biopharma #innovative_drugs #bispecific_antibody #valuation_analysis #bd_deals #overseas_licensing #gr1803 #multiple_myeloma
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January 13, 2026

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In-Depth Analysis of Zhixiang Jintai's GR1803 Bispecific Antibody Conditional Marketing Authorization: Reshaping the Valuation Logic of Innovative Drugs

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Based on the latest data and market information I have collected, I will provide an in-depth analysis of Zhixiang Jintai’s GR1803 bispecific antibody conditional marketing authorization, as well as a study on the changes in the valuation logic of innovative drugs.


In-Depth Analysis of Zhixiang Jintai’s GR1803 Bispecific Antibody Conditional Marketing Authorization: Reshaping and Evolution of Innovative Drug Valuation Logic
I. Core Progress of Zhixiang Jintai’s GR1803 Bispecific Antibody Conditional Marketing Authorization
1.1 Major Breakthrough in Acceptance of Marketing Authorization Application

On January 8, 2026, Chongqing Zhixiang Jintai Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (Stock Code: 688443.SS) announced that the marketing authorization application for the domestic production of its self-developed bispecific antibody drug GR1803 Injection has been accepted by the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) (Acceptance No.: CXSS2600003). Notably, this application was subsequently included in the priority review list, marking a critical stage in the commercialization process of this innovative bispecific antibody drug[1][2].

Indication Positioning:
The indication applied for GR1803 is adult patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma (R/R MM) who have received at least three prior lines of therapy, including a proteasome inhibitor, an immunomodulatory agent, and an anti-CD38 monoclonal antibody. This indication selection precisely targets an advanced treatment area with urgent clinical needs, providing a new treatment option for patient populations unresponsive to standard treatment regimens[1].

1.2 Technical Advantages and Differentiating Features

As a BCMA×CD3 dual-target bispecific antibody, GR1803 has the following core technical advantages:

Innovative Molecular Design:
GR1803 adopts an asymmetric affinity design, with its affinity for BCMA (10^-10M) being two orders of magnitude higher than its affinity for CD3 (10^-8M). This sophisticated affinity configuration enables it to effectively recruit and activate T cells to kill tumor cells, while significantly reducing non-specific T cell activation caused by CD3 antibodies, thereby lowering toxic side effects and improving treatment safety[1][2].

Structural Advantages:
This drug is constructed based on a common light chain, and its structure is highly similar to that of normal monoclonal antibody molecules. This not only facilitates the development of preparation processes but also effectively reduces the risk of immunogenicity caused by structural differences, reflecting Zhixiang Jintai’s technical accumulation in the field of antibody engineering.

1.3 Regulatory Recognition and Milestone Events

Since its R&D initiation, GR1803 has continuously received high recognition from regulatory authorities, forming a clear timeline of milestone events:

Time Node Milestone Event Significance
August 2024 Included in Breakthrough Therapy Designation list Gained priority review access
June 2025 Reached BD transaction with Cullinan Major breakthrough in globalization strategy
January 2026 Conditional marketing authorization application accepted Critical step on the eve of commercialization

In June 2025, Zhixiang Jintai reached a business development (BD) transaction with Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc., granting Cullinan the rights to develop, produce, and commercialize GR1803 in regions outside the Greater China. According to the agreement, the total potential amount of upfront and milestone payments for this transaction is up to USD 712 million, including a USD 20 million upfront payment, cumulative development and registration milestone payments of no more than USD 292 million, cumulative net sales-based milestone payments of no more than USD 400 million, and tiered royalties of up to mid-double digits based on net sales[1][3].


II. Profound Transformation of Innovative Drug Valuation Logic
2.1 Evolution from Single Domestic Pricing to Dual-Track Pricing System

China’s innovative drug industry is undergoing a fundamental restructuring of its valuation logic. Traditionally, the valuation of innovative drugs mainly relied on domestic medical insurance negotiation pricing and domestic market size estimation. However, a series of BD transaction data in 2025 indicates that this valuation framework has undergone a fundamental shift.

Limitations of Traditional Valuation Logic:
Early-stage innovative drug valuation mainly considered indicators such as domestic medical insurance payment price, patient population size, and penetration rate, with a relatively clear valuation ceiling. This “domestically focused” valuation logic has led to long-term undervaluation of China’s innovative drugs.

Establishment of the New Dual-Track Pricing System:
Currently, the valuation of innovative drugs has formed a dual-track pricing model of “domestic + overseas expansion”. The amount of overseas BD transactions has become a new valuation anchor, and the international market space provides significant room for valuation improvement for drug pipelines.

2.2 2025 China Innovative Drug BD Transactions Hit a Record High

According to the Pharmcube NextPharma database, as of December 31, 2025, the total annual transaction value of China’s innovative drug overseas licensing BD transactions reached

USD 135.655 billion
, with upfront payments of
USD 7 billion
, and a total of
157 transactions
, with all metrics hitting record highs[4][5].

Innovative Drug BD Transaction Trend

Comparative Analysis of Transaction Data:

Indicator 2024 2025 YoY Growth
Transaction Value USD 51.9 billion USD 135.7 billion +161%
Number of Transactions 94 157 +67%
Upfront Payment - USD 7 billion -

More importantly, in December 2025 alone, 15 overseas licensing transactions with a potential total value exceeding USD 16 billion were completed, reflecting the sustained enthusiasm for China’s innovative drugs to expand overseas[4].

2.3 MNC Acquisition Pricing Differences Reveal Value Reassessment

Through Pharmcube data, Zhongtai Securities systematically sorted out 2025 transactions where the TOP 20 multinational pharmaceutical corporations (MNCs) acquired innovative drugs from China and overseas, and found significant pricing differences[3]:

Acquisition Source Average Total Deal Value Average Upfront Payment Average Milestone Payment
Acquired from China USD 2.756 billion USD 236 million USD 2.978 billion
Acquired from Overseas USD 1.289 billion USD 153 million USD 1.174 billion

This data clearly shows that multinational pharmaceutical corporations are willing to pay a higher premium for Chinese innovative assets, with the average total deal value being approximately

114%
higher than that of overseas sources, and the average milestone payment being approximately
154%
higher. This reflects a significant improvement in the status of China’s innovative drug assets in the global innovation landscape, as well as a revaluation of China’s innovative capabilities by the international market[3].

2.4 The Arrival of the Milestone Payment Era

2025 marks the entry of China’s innovative drug BD transactions into the era of “both upfront and milestone payments”. According to incomplete statistics from Pharmcube, in 2025, milestone payments for 4 overseas licensing transactions were received one after another, involving pharmaceutical companies such as BioLander Therapeutics, China Biopharmaceuticals, Hutchison China MediTech, and ImmuneOnco Biopharma[4].

Significance of Milestone Payments:

  1. Value Validation:
    The triggering of milestone payments proves the clinical progress and development value of the product, eliminating market concerns that “BD transactions are only one-time monetization”
  2. Cash Flow Supplement:
    Milestone payments effectively supplement the cash flow of pharmaceutical companies, alleviating the financial pressure of R&D investment
  3. Proof of Innovation Efficiency:
    Most of these milestone payments are triggered within one to two years after the transaction is reached, reflecting the R&D efficiency of China’s innovative drugs

For example, after receiving an USD 800 million upfront payment in March 2024 for the collaboration between BioLander Therapeutics and Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS) on BL-B01D1 (EGFR×HER3 bispecific antibody ADC), milestone payments were successively triggered in 2025, fully verifying the continuous value creation capability of China’s innovative drugs[4].


III. Implications of GR1803 for Innovative Drug Valuation Logic
3.1 Clinical Value Becomes the Core Valuation Anchor

The

89.5% Objective Response Rate (ORR)
demonstrated by GR1803 in clinical trials provides the most solid support for its valuation. A comparison with globally marketed competing products is as follows:

Product Developer Target ORR
GR1803 Zhixiang Jintai BCMA×CD3 89.5%
Teclistamab Johnson & Johnson BCMA×CD3 63%
Talquetamab Johnson & Johnson GPRC5D×CD3 73%
Elranatamab Pfizer BCMA×CD3 61%

This comparative data shows that GR1803 has significant efficacy advantages, which lays a solid foundation for its domestic marketing pricing and overseas commercial value.

3.2 Globalization Capabilities Reshape Valuation Boundaries

The BD transaction between Zhixiang Jintai and Cullinan not only brings potential revenue of USD 712 million, but more importantly, it proves that Zhixiang Jintai has the ability to bring innovative achievements to the global market. This

internationalization capability
is becoming a new dimension in innovative drug valuation:

  • Global Clinical Development Capability:
    Collaborating with MNCs means that the product will be reviewed by major global regulatory authorities such as the FDA and EMA
  • Global Commercialization Network:
    The global commercialization network of MNCs provides broad market coverage for the product
  • Recognition of Technology Platform Value:
    The success of the BD transaction indicates that Zhixiang Jintai’s technology platform has gained international recognition
3.3 Competitive Landscape Determines Valuation Premium Space

Mao Dingding, Fund Manager of Invesco Great Wall Global Medical and Biological Fund, pointed out that when evaluating the commercial value of a new drug, the most important factor to focus on is the

competitive landscape
. An analysis of GR1803’s competitive landscape is as follows:

Advantageous Factors:

  • Relatively moderate competition in domestic bispecific antibody market, with large room for differentiation
  • Limited treatment options for relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma, with unmet clinical needs
  • First-mover advantage (leading R&D progress) is expected to be converted into market advantage

Challenging Factors:

  • Three BCMA×CD3 bispecific antibodies have been marketed globally
  • Price competition and medical insurance negotiation pressure continue to exist

IV. Zhixiang Jintai’s Commercial Layout and Valuation Outlook
4.1 Accelerated Commercialization Progress

Zhixiang Jintai is transitioning from a pure R&D-oriented enterprise to a commercialization stage, with multiple product lines advancing simultaneously:

Product Indication Progress Commercial Value
Saiqilimab Psoriasis and other indications Launched + Included in National Medical Insurance Catalog Cash Flow Contribution
GR1803 Relapsed or Refractory Multiple Myeloma Conditional Marketing Authorization Application Accepted Short-Term Growth Driver
Sileweimab - Registration Application Stage Pipeline Reserve
Weikangdutamab - Registration Application Stage Pipeline Reserve
Tailiqibaimab - Registration Application Stage Pipeline Reserve

Notably, Saiqilimab has recently been included in the National Medical Insurance Catalog, and the new version of the catalog will take effect on January 1, 2026, which is expected to accelerate product sales volume and contribute stable cash flow to the company[1].

4.2 Valuation Framework Restructuring: From Pipeline Value to Platform Value

The case of Zhixiang Jintai shows that innovative drug valuation is shifting from single-pipeline valuation to

platform-based valuation
:

Traditional Pipeline Valuation Logic:

  • Evaluate each product individually, calculate the rNPV (risk-adjusted net present value) of each pipeline
  • Valuation mainly depends on peak sales forecast of individual products

New Platform-Based Valuation Logic:

  • The continuous innovation capability of the technology platform becomes the core of valuation
  • BD transaction capability proves the convertibility of platform value
  • Commercialization capability verifies the integrated value of the platform

Zhixiang Jintai’s technical accumulation in the field of bispecific antibodies, BD cooperation with Cullinan, and successful commercialization of Saiqilimab together form a complete value closed-loop, providing support for platform-based valuation.

4.3 2026 Innovative Drug Investment Outlook

Pacific Securities pointed out that the main investment themes for innovative drugs in 2026 will focus on three directions[3]:

  1. Cutting-Edge Technology Breakthroughs:
    Focus on PD-(L)1 bispecific antibodies, ADCs, and small nucleic acid drugs
  2. Key Catalyst Fulfillment:
    Focus on key data readouts of core pipelines, clinical advancement efficiency, and regulatory approval decisions
  3. Commercial Value Realization:
    Focus on sales volume growth of marketed major products and continuous fulfillment of BD milestones

Galaxy Securities believes that after a long period of valuation adjustment, the pharmaceutical sector has shown a significant structural recovery trend, but the heavy holding level of public funds is still lower than the historical average. In 2026, against the background of policies supporting and guiding the development of commercial health insurance, the payment side is expected to improve marginally, and innovative drugs and devices are expected to continue to benefit[6].


V. Conclusions and Investment Implications
5.1 Core Conclusions
  1. The acceptance of GR1803’s conditional marketing authorization is a key milestone for Zhixiang Jintai’s transition from R&D to commercialization
    , with the 89.5% ORR data providing strong support for its commercial value.
  2. China’s innovative drug valuation logic is undergoing a fundamental transformation
    , shifting from single domestic pricing to a “domestic + overseas” dual-track pricing system, with overseas BD transactions becoming a new valuation anchor.
  3. In 2025, China’s innovative drug BD transactions hit a record high (USD 135.7 billion), and MNCs are willing to pay a higher premium for Chinese innovative assets
    , which marks a significant improvement in the status of China’s innovative drug assets in the global innovation landscape.
  4. The arrival of the milestone payment era verifies the continuous value creation capability of China’s innovative drugs
    , which helps reshape the global market’s trust system in Chinese innovation.
5.2 Summary of Key Changes in Valuation Logic
Valuation Dimension Traditional Logic Emerging Logic
Pricing Anchor Domestic Medical Insurance Negotiation Domestic Medical Insurance + Overseas BD Dual-Track
Valuation Driver Single Pipeline Value Platform Capabilities + Pipeline Matrix
Competitive Advantage Domestic Market Share Global Competitiveness + Differentiation
Value Validation Sales Data BD Transactions + Milestone Fulfillment
Risk Assessment R&D Failure Risk Full-Life Cycle Risk
5.3 Risk Warnings
  1. Regulatory Risk:
    The marketing authorization application for GR1803 still needs to go through multiple procedures such as review, on-site inspection, and approval, with uncertainties remaining
  2. Commercialization Risk:
    Even after marketing, sales volume growth will still be affected by factors such as market competition and pricing
  3. R&D Risk:
    Other products in development may face the risk of clinical failure
  4. Policy Risk:
    The intensity of medical insurance cost control may exceed expectations

References

[1] China.org.cn Finance - Zhixiang Jintai’s GR1803 Conditional Marketing Authorization Application Accepted, Commercialization Puzzle Accelerates (https://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202601083612917479.html)

[2] CS.com.cn - Zhixiang Jintai’s GR1803 Conditional Marketing Authorization Application Accepted (https://www.cs.com.cn/ssgs/gsxw/202601/t20260109_6532511.html)

[3] Eastmoney.com - Innovative Drugs Surge in Afternoon Trading! Myeloma Injection Receives Marketing Approval (https://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202601093614111231.html)

[4] Sina Finance - USD 135.7 Billion! 2025 China Innovative Drug Overseas BD Transactions Hit Record High (https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/relnews/hk/2026-01-04/doc-inhfctqp2857071.shtml)

[5] Jiemian News - 2025 BD Transactions Exceed USD 130 Billion (https://stcn.com/article/detail/3545954.html)

[6] Securities Times - Institutions: Pharmaceutical Sector Valuation Has Shown Significant Structural Recovery Trend (https://stcn.com/article/detail/3545954.html)


Disclaimer:
This report is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should make prudent decisions based on their own risk tolerance.

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