Investment Value Analysis Report of Limin Co., Ltd. (002734.SZ)
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Based on the comprehensive data collected, I will provide you with an in-depth analysis report on Limin Co., Ltd. (002734.SZ):
According to public information [1][2], Li Ming, the actual controller of Limin Co., Ltd., cumulatively reduced his holdings of the company’s shares by
It is worth noting that this is not Li Ming’s first large-scale share sell-off:
- 2019: Li Ming reduced his holdings by 1.86% of the company’s shares, cashing out tens of millions of RMB [2]
- July 2025: A new share sell-off plan was disclosed, intending to reduce holdings by no more than 13.10 million shares (accounting for 3% of total share capital) [1]
- Shareholding After Sell-Off: Li Ming and his persons acting in concert (son Li Xinsheng, daughter Li Yuanyuan) still hold a total of approximately107.6 million shares, accounting for about 24.48% of the total share capital
| Time Node | Share Price | Increase from the Beginning of 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Beginning of 2024 | Approximately RMB 5 per share | Benchmark |
| June 2025 (Highest) | Over RMB 24 per share | +400%+ |
| October 2025 (During Sell-Off) | Approximately RMB 18-19 per share | +260-280% |
| January 12, 2026 | RMB 16.83 per share | +236% |
| Indicator | Value | Industry Comparison |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | 17.62 | The average for the pesticide industry is approximately 20-25x |
| P/B | 2.04 | Reasonable range |
| P/S | 1.65 | Relatively reasonable |
| Beta | 0.65 | Lower than the average market volatility |
Based on the professional valuation model [0], the intrinsic value assessment of Limin Co., Ltd. is as follows:
| Scenario | Intrinsic Value | Premium Over Current Share Price |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative Scenario | RMB 30.12 | +79.0% |
| Base Scenario | RMB 38.90 | +131.1% |
| Optimistic Scenario | RMB 76.48 | +354.4% |
Weighted Average Valuation |
RMB 48.50 |
+188.2% |
As the founder and actual controller of the company, Li Ming’s initial shareholding cost was extremely low (the company was restructured from a collective enterprise). Even if he sells his shares at the current price, he may still obtain dozens of times the book return. Cashing out through share sell-off is a normal wealth realization behavior.
- The sell-off occurred after the share price pulled back from its high (falling from RMB 24 to the range of RMB 18-19)
- After the sell-off was completed, the share price further dropped to RMB 16.83
- From the perspective of the time node, the sell-off decision may be based on the judgment that the short-term share price has reflected performance expectations
After the sell-off, the Li Ming family still holds approximately 24.48% of the equity, and there has been no substantive change in the company’s control right.
| Evaluation Dimension | Analysis Conclusion |
|---|---|
Valuation Perspective |
The current P/E is only 17.6x, DCF shows severe undervaluation, and the sell-off timing does not fully align with the high valuation level |
Performance Support |
Net profit increased year-on-year in 2024, and the volume and price of pesticide products rose simultaneously under environmental protection policies |
Sell-Off Scale |
The cash-out amount of RMB 217 million accounts for a limited proportion relative to the company’s market capitalization (RMB 73.9 billion) and the family’s shareholding market value (approximately over RMB 1.5 billion) |
Historical Behavior |
The company’s share price still fluctuated in the long term after the 2019 sell-off, and the sell-off did not change the company’s fundamentals |
Based on the financial analysis model [0]:
| Analysis Dimension | Rating | Key Indicators |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Attitude | Neutral | Accounting treatment is prudent, no aggressive or conservative operations |
| Revenue Quality | Good | Benefiting from the price increase of pesticide products |
| Cash Flow | Healthy | Free cash flow of RMB 276 million |
| Debt Risk | Medium | Leverage level is controllable |
- The company’s core products, mancozeb and chlorothalonil, are high-efficiency, low-toxicity fungicides, which are in line with the orientation of national environmental protection policies [2]
- The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs continues to improve pesticide management regulations to promote green development of the industry
The company raised product prices multiple times in 2025 [2]:
- Mancozeb, abamectin, emamectin benzoate: increased by 5%
- Difenoconazole: increased by 10%
- Drove the gross profit margin up from 17.74% in the first half of 2024 to 26.45% in the first half of 2025
- In 2024, the output of agricultural fungicides reached 151,800 tons (2023: 119,600 tons) [2]
- Revenue increased from RMB 1.16 billion in 2016 to over RMB 5 billion in 2022
| Risk Type | Specific Content |
|---|---|
Staff Optimization |
Over 400 employees were laid off in 2024 (accounting for about 8% of the total employees), mainly concentrated in production and technical personnel |
Management Salary Increase |
The actual controller and management received a collective substantial salary increase in 2024 (Li Xinsheng’s salary increased by RMB 1.13 million to RMB 1.85 million; Li Yuanyuan’s salary increased by RMB 1.43 million to RMB 1.84 million) [2] |
Performance Sustainability |
There is uncertainty whether product price increases can continue to support performance |
Share Price Volatility |
Although the Beta value of 0.65 is lower than the market average, the chemical sector is highly cyclical |
Based on technical analysis indicators [0]:
| Indicator | Status | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
Trend Judgment |
Sideways Consolidation | No clear upward or downward trend |
MACD |
Bullish Crossover | Medium-term momentum is bullish |
KDJ |
Bullish Signal | K:64.4, D:63.8 |
RSI |
Normal Range | Not overbought |
Support Level |
RMB 16.20 | Important short-term support |
Resistance Level |
RMB 17.06 | Short-term resistance level |
| Assessment Item | Score (5-Point Scale) |
|---|---|
| Valuation Rationality | 4.5 (Undervalued) |
| Fundamental Quality | 3.5 (Good) |
| Actual Controller’s Behavior | 3.0 (Needs Attention) |
| Technical Aspect | 3.0 (Neutral) |
Comprehensive Rating |
3.5/5 |
- The P/E ratio corresponding to the average sell-off price of RMB 18-19 is approximately 19x, which is still lower than the average level of the pesticide industry
- DCF valuation shows that the company’s intrinsic value is in the range of RMB 30-76, and the current share price has a significant discount
- The family still maintains a controlling position after the sell-off, and the scale of the sell-off accounts for a limited proportion relative to the shareholding market value
- The company’s share price did not experience a systemic decline after the 2019 historical sell-off
- Valuation Perspective: The current share price ofRMB 16.83is significantly lower than the intrinsic value assessment (DCF weighted average of RMB 48.50), with an undervaluation range of approximately50%-80%
- Fundamental Perspective: Benefiting from the tightening of environmental protection policies and the growth in demand for green pesticides, the company’s performance has certain support
- Risk Warning: Need to pay attention to the information disclosure issue of simultaneous salary increases for management and staff layoffs, as well as the sustainability of product price increases
| Investor Type | Recommendation |
|---|---|
Value Investors |
May consider accumulating positions on dips, with a stop-loss set below RMB 16 |
Short-Term Traders |
Recommended to wait for a breakthrough in the RMB 16.20-17.06 range before following up |
Risk Averse Investors |
Recommended to pay attention to the subsequent shareholding dynamics of the actual controller and the company’s performance realization |
[1] Sina Finance - “Limin Co., Ltd.'s Actual Controller Li Ming Reduced Holdings by 11.63 Million Shares in Nearly 2 Months, Cashing Out RMB 217 Million” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2025-10-27/doc-infvinst0626046.shtml)
[2] Sina Finance - “Actual Controller and Management Received Collective Salary Increases, While Profit-Surging Limin Co., Ltd. Laid Off Staff” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2026-01-11/doc-inhfxvtm9136104.shtml)
[0] Jinling AI Financial Analysis Database - Real-time Market, Financial Analysis, Technical Analysis and DCF Valuation Data
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
