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Investment Value Analysis Report of Limin Co., Ltd. (002734.SZ)

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January 13, 2026

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Investment Value Analysis Report of Limin Co., Ltd. (002734.SZ)

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Based on the comprehensive data collected, I will provide you with an in-depth analysis report on Limin Co., Ltd. (002734.SZ):


Investment Value Analysis Report of Limin Co., Ltd. (002734.SZ)
I. Overview of Core Event: Actual Controller Cashes Out Over RMB 200 Million Through Share Sell-Offs

According to public information [1][2], Li Ming, the actual controller of Limin Co., Ltd., cumulatively reduced his holdings of the company’s shares by

11.63 million shares
through block trades and centralized bidding from August 15 to October 22, 2025, accounting for
2.64%
of the company’s total share capital, with a cash-out amount of approximately
RMB 217 million
. The average price of the share sell-off was approximately
RMB 18.4-19.1 per share
.

It is worth noting that this is not Li Ming’s first large-scale share sell-off:

  • 2019
    : Li Ming reduced his holdings by 1.86% of the company’s shares, cashing out tens of millions of RMB [2]
  • July 2025
    : A new share sell-off plan was disclosed, intending to reduce holdings by no more than 13.10 million shares (accounting for 3% of total share capital) [1]
  • Shareholding After Sell-Off
    : Li Ming and his persons acting in concert (son Li Xinsheng, daughter Li Yuanyuan) still hold a total of approximately
    107.6 million shares
    , accounting for about 24.48% of the total share capital

II. Share Price Performance and Valuation Analysis
Historical Share Price Performance
Time Node Share Price Increase from the Beginning of 2024
Beginning of 2024 Approximately RMB 5 per share Benchmark
June 2025 (Highest) Over RMB 24 per share +400%+
October 2025 (During Sell-Off) Approximately RMB 18-19 per share +260-280%
January 12, 2026 RMB 16.83 per share +236%
Current Valuation Level
Indicator Value Industry Comparison
P/E (TTM) 17.62 The average for the pesticide industry is approximately 20-25x
P/B 2.04 Reasonable range
P/S 1.65 Relatively reasonable
Beta 0.65 Lower than the average market volatility
DCF Intrinsic Value Assessment

Based on the professional valuation model [0], the intrinsic value assessment of Limin Co., Ltd. is as follows:

Scenario Intrinsic Value Premium Over Current Share Price
Conservative Scenario RMB 30.12 +79.0%
Base Scenario RMB 38.90 +131.1%
Optimistic Scenario RMB 76.48 +354.4%
Weighted Average Valuation
RMB 48.50
+188.2%

Key Finding
: The current share price of
RMB 16.83
is significantly lower than the DCF valuation range, suggesting that the share price may be undervalued by
more than 50%
.


III. In-Depth Interpretation of the Share Sell-Off Behavior
Rationality Analysis of the Share Sell-Off

1. From the Perspective of Historical Shareholding Cost

As the founder and actual controller of the company, Li Ming’s initial shareholding cost was extremely low (the company was restructured from a collective enterprise). Even if he sells his shares at the current price, he may still obtain dozens of times the book return. Cashing out through share sell-off is a normal wealth realization behavior.

2. Relationship Between Sell-Off Timing and Share Price

  • The sell-off occurred after the share price pulled back from its high (falling from RMB 24 to the range of RMB 18-19)
  • After the sell-off was completed, the share price further dropped to RMB 16.83
  • From the perspective of the time node, the sell-off decision may be based on the judgment that
    the short-term share price has reflected performance expectations

3. Shareholding Ratio Remains in a Controlling Position

After the sell-off, the Li Ming family still holds approximately 24.48% of the equity, and there has been no substantive change in the company’s control right.

Does the Share Sell-Off Suggest Overvalued Share Price?

Conclusion: The share sell-off does not necessarily mean the share price is overvalued; multiple factors need to be considered for judgment

Evaluation Dimension Analysis Conclusion
Valuation Perspective
The current P/E is only 17.6x, DCF shows severe undervaluation, and the sell-off timing does not fully align with the high valuation level
Performance Support
Net profit increased year-on-year in 2024, and the volume and price of pesticide products rose simultaneously under environmental protection policies
Sell-Off Scale
The cash-out amount of RMB 217 million accounts for a limited proportion relative to the company’s market capitalization (RMB 73.9 billion) and the family’s shareholding market value (approximately over RMB 1.5 billion)
Historical Behavior
The company’s share price still fluctuated in the long term after the 2019 sell-off, and the sell-off did not change the company’s fundamentals

Comprehensive Judgment
: The actual controller’s share sell-off is more a consideration of
personal wealth planning and risk diversification
rather than a clear signal of short-term overvalued share price. However, investors need to be alert to the factor of
information asymmetry
— the actual controller’s understanding of the company’s real operating conditions is inevitably better than that of ordinary investors.


IV. Company Fundamental Analysis
Financial Status Evaluation

Based on the financial analysis model [0]:

Analysis Dimension Rating Key Indicators
Financial Attitude Neutral Accounting treatment is prudent, no aggressive or conservative operations
Revenue Quality Good Benefiting from the price increase of pesticide products
Cash Flow Healthy Free cash flow of RMB 276 million
Debt Risk Medium Leverage level is controllable
Core Competitiveness

1. Green Pesticide Concept

  • The company’s core products, mancozeb and chlorothalonil, are high-efficiency, low-toxicity fungicides, which are in line with the orientation of national environmental protection policies [2]
  • The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs continues to improve pesticide management regulations to promote green development of the industry

2. Pricing Power Advantage

The company raised product prices multiple times in 2025 [2]:

  • Mancozeb, abamectin, emamectin benzoate: increased by 5%
  • Difenoconazole: increased by 10%
  • Drove the gross profit margin up from 17.74% in the first half of 2024 to 26.45% in the first half of 2025

3. Scale Effect

  • In 2024, the output of agricultural fungicides reached 151,800 tons (2023: 119,600 tons) [2]
  • Revenue increased from RMB 1.16 billion in 2016 to over RMB 5 billion in 2022
Risk Warning
Risk Type Specific Content
Staff Optimization
Over 400 employees were laid off in 2024 (accounting for about 8% of the total employees), mainly concentrated in production and technical personnel
Management Salary Increase
The actual controller and management received a collective substantial salary increase in 2024 (Li Xinsheng’s salary increased by RMB 1.13 million to RMB 1.85 million; Li Yuanyuan’s salary increased by RMB 1.43 million to RMB 1.84 million) [2]
Performance Sustainability
There is uncertainty whether product price increases can continue to support performance
Share Price Volatility
Although the Beta value of 0.65 is lower than the market average, the chemical sector is highly cyclical

V. Technical Analysis

Based on technical analysis indicators [0]:

Indicator Status Interpretation
Trend Judgment
Sideways Consolidation No clear upward or downward trend
MACD
Bullish Crossover Medium-term momentum is bullish
KDJ
Bullish Signal K:64.4, D:63.8
RSI
Normal Range Not overbought
Support Level
RMB 16.20 Important short-term support
Resistance Level
RMB 17.06 Short-term resistance level

Technical Conclusion
: The share price is in a
range-bound oscillation pattern
. It is recommended to pay attention to the breakthrough direction of the RMB 16.20-17.06 range in the short term.


VI. Investment Recommendations and Conclusions
Comprehensive Assessment
Assessment Item Score (5-Point Scale)
Valuation Rationality 4.5 (Undervalued)
Fundamental Quality 3.5 (Good)
Actual Controller’s Behavior 3.0 (Needs Attention)
Technical Aspect 3.0 (Neutral)
Comprehensive Rating
3.5/5
Core Conclusions

1. Does the Actual Controller’s Share Sell-Off Suggest Overvalued Share Price?

The share sell-off behavior itself cannot be simply equated with a signal of overvalued share price
. Analysis from the following perspectives:

  • The P/E ratio corresponding to the average sell-off price of RMB 18-19 is approximately 19x, which is still lower than the average level of the pesticide industry
  • DCF valuation shows that the company’s intrinsic value is in the range of RMB 30-76, and the current share price has a significant discount
  • The family still maintains a controlling position after the sell-off, and the scale of the sell-off accounts for a limited proportion relative to the shareholding market value
  • The company’s share price did not experience a systemic decline after the 2019 historical sell-off

2. Judgment on Current Investment Value

  • Valuation Perspective
    : The current share price of
    RMB 16.83
    is significantly lower than the intrinsic value assessment (DCF weighted average of RMB 48.50), with an undervaluation range of approximately
    50%-80%
  • Fundamental Perspective
    : Benefiting from the tightening of environmental protection policies and the growth in demand for green pesticides, the company’s performance has certain support
  • Risk Warning
    : Need to pay attention to the information disclosure issue of simultaneous salary increases for management and staff layoffs, as well as the sustainability of product price increases
Operation Recommendations
Investor Type Recommendation
Value Investors
May consider accumulating positions on dips, with a stop-loss set below RMB 16
Short-Term Traders
Recommended to wait for a breakthrough in the RMB 16.20-17.06 range before following up
Risk Averse Investors
Recommended to pay attention to the subsequent shareholding dynamics of the actual controller and the company’s performance realization

Final Judgment
: The actual controller’s cash-out of RMB 200 million through share sell-off is more likely a consideration of
personal wealth planning and risk hedging
rather than a clear judgment of short-term overvalued share price. From the valuation perspective, the current share price may have
oversold
, but investors need to make decisions based on their own risk preferences and position management.


References

[1] Sina Finance - “Limin Co., Ltd.'s Actual Controller Li Ming Reduced Holdings by 11.63 Million Shares in Nearly 2 Months, Cashing Out RMB 217 Million” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2025-10-27/doc-infvinst0626046.shtml)

[2] Sina Finance - “Actual Controller and Management Received Collective Salary Increases, While Profit-Surging Limin Co., Ltd. Laid Off Staff” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2026-01-11/doc-inhfxvtm9136104.shtml)

[0] Jinling AI Financial Analysis Database - Real-time Market, Financial Analysis, Technical Analysis and DCF Valuation Data

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.