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Analysis of Buchang Pharmaceutical's Investment Losses and Goodwill Impairment Risks Related to POMDOCTOR LIMITED (PomDoctor)

#investment_loss #goodwill_impairment #pharmaceutical_industry #earnings #financial_risk #inventory_risk #business_transform
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January 13, 2026

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Analysis of Buchang Pharmaceutical's Investment Losses and Goodwill Impairment Risks Related to POMDOCTOR LIMITED (PomDoctor)

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Analysis of Buchang Pharmaceutical’s Investment Losses and Goodwill Impairment Risks Related to POMDOCTOR LIMITED (PomDoctor)
1. Overview of the PomDoctor Investment Incident

According to the announcement issued by Buchang Pharmaceutical on January 6, 2026, the company suffered significant losses from its investment in Guangzhou Qilekang Digital Health Medical Technology Co., Ltd. POMDOCTOR LIMITED (PomDoctor), the de facto holding company of this investment, was listed on the U.S. NASDAQ Stock Exchange via a VIE structure on October 8, 2025[1][2].

Core Data of Investment Losses:

Time Node Book Value/Share Price Amount/Price
September 30, 2025 (Pre-IPO) Book value of investment in Qilekang Digital Health RMB 326 million
October 8, 2025 PomDoctor IPO offering price US$4.00 per share
December 31, 2025 PomDoctor closing price US$0.2949 per share
December 31, 2025 Market value of shares held by Buchang Pharmaceutical (considering lock-up discount) RMB 33.0791 million
Expected Recognition Fair value change gain/loss
-RMB 293 million

In just less than 3 months, the share price plummeted by

92.63%
, resulting in an unrealized loss of nearly 90% for Buchang Pharmaceutical’s investment[1][2][3].

2. Current Status of RMB 620 Million Goodwill and Impairment Risk Assessment
Historical Formation and Impairment Process of Goodwill

Buchang Pharmaceutical’s goodwill issue stems from its aggressive expansion strategy during 2012-2015:

Period M&A Amount Recognized Goodwill Proportion of Total Assets at That Time
2012-2015 RMB 6.35 billion RMB 5 billion Approximately 1/3

However, with the tightening of policies in the pharmaceutical industry and the underperformance of acquired assets, the risk of goodwill impairment has erupted in a concentrated manner:

Year Goodwill Impairment Provision Proportion of Cumulative Impairment to Original Goodwill
2022-2024 Over RMB 4.5 billion Approximately 90%

As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, Buchang Pharmaceutical still has

RMB 620 million in goodwill
on its books[3][4].

Goodwill Impairment Risk Assessment

Risk Level: Medium-High

Risk Drivers:

  1. Profit Pressure on Acquired Assets
    : Core subsidiaries such as Jilin Tiancheng and Tonghua Guhong are facing pressure from centralized drug procurement and product competition, with their performance continuing to fall short of expectations
  2. Industry Policy Environment
    : The normalization of centralized volume-based drug procurement has compressed the profit margins of generic drugs and traditional Chinese medicines
  3. Historical Impairment Inertia
    : The continuous large-scale impairments from 2022 to 2024 indicate that goodwill impairment has become a “normalized” financial risk point
  4. Limitations of Valuation Methods
    : DCF valuation shows that the company’s intrinsic value is only US$10.26 under the conservative scenario, representing a 38.2% discount to the current share price, indicating that the market is cautious about the company’s future cash flows[0]
3. Financial Pressure Amid Overlapping Multiple Risks
Sustained Pressure on Main Business
Financial Indicator 2024 Data YoY Change
Operating Revenue RMB 11.006 billion -16.91%
Net Profit Attributable to Parent Company Shareholders -RMB 554 million -273.62%

Operating revenue in the first three quarters of 2025 was RMB 8.469 billion, down 0.54% year-on-year, indicating that the recovery of the main business is still weak[3][4].

Accumulating Inventory Risks

As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, the company’s inventory has swelled to

RMB 4.517 billion
, while the RMB 550 million orthopedic consumables involved in litigation account for only 12% of the total inventory, with nearly RMB 4 billion in hidden inventory risks beneath the surface[2][3][4].

Risk Interpretation:
Against the backdrop of normalized centralized procurement and reshaped price systems, inventory risks have escalated from “price decline risks” to “demand mismatch risks”. If the original pricing, channel, and turnover logic were based on high gross margins and stable volume growth, then once centralized procurement reduces prices and channels are adjusted, inventory will no longer be an asset but a liability that occupies cash[4].

Questionable Business Model
Indicator Industry Level Buchang Pharmaceutical Assessment
Sales Expense Ratio Approximately 30% 39.45% Relatively High
R&D Expense Ratio Approximately 5-8% 1.81% Severely Low

More notably, the company’s R&D capitalization rate rose from 26% in 2020 to 52% in 2024. Although this accounting technique can beautify profits in the short term, it cannot cover up the truth of insufficient substantive investment in innovation[3][4].

4. Comprehensive Assessment of Investment Risks
Short-Term Risks (2025-2026)
Risk Item Impact Amount Certainty
Fair value change of PomDoctor investment -RMB 293 million Confirmed
Inventory impairment provision (litigation-related portion) Approximately RMB 550 million Uncertain
Goodwill impairment (remaining balance of RMB 620 million) To be provided for Uncertain
Medium-to-Long-Term Risk Factors
  1. Sluggish Main Business Growth
    : Operating revenue has declined for 4 consecutive years, and transformation has not yet formed effective support
  2. Heavy Historical Burdens
    : Multiple risk factors such as goodwill, inventory, and litigation are intertwined
  3. Bearish Valuation
    : DCF valuation shows that the current share price has a 2.4% discount to intrinsic value, and the discount reaches 38.2% under the conservative scenario[0]
5. Conclusions and Investment Recommendations

Core Conclusions:

  1. PomDoctor Investment Losses Are Inevitable
    : The RMB 293 million fair value change loss will directly reduce the company’s 2025 net profit attributable to parent company shareholders. This is a non-recurring gain/loss and does not affect the net profit after deducting non-recurring items, but it reflects major errors in the company’s due diligence and risk control for external investments[1][2].
  2. High Impairment Risk of RMB 620 Million Goodwill
    : Considering that the company has accumulated goodwill impairment provisions of over RMB 4.5 billion in history, and it still faces pressure from centralized procurement and declining performance of acquired assets, the remaining goodwill is highly likely to continue to be impaired.
  3. The Company Faces Systematic Financial Pressure
    : RMB 4.5 billion in inventory, RMB 620 million in goodwill, and RMB 293 million in investment losses form the “Three Big Mountains”. Coupled with the continuous decline of the main business, the company’s financial risks cannot be ignored.

Risk Warning:
The case of Buchang Pharmaceutical reveals the deep-seated predicament of traditional pharmaceutical companies in conducting aggressive expansion and cross-border transformation under the “heavy marketing, light R&D” model. If the company cannot fundamentally reflect on its “heavy capital, light operation” development logic, the path to solving the problems will still be long.


References

[1] Dahe Net - “Unrealized Loss of 90% in Just 3 Months! Buchang Pharmaceutical ‘Steps on a Mine’ with Nearly RMB 300 Million Loss in U.S. Stocks” (http://finance.ce.cn/stock/gsgdbd/202601/t20260108_2690168.shtml)
[2] Xinmin Weekly - “Transformation Pains of Buchang Pharmaceutical: RMB 600 Million Inventory Litigation on One Hand, RMB 300 Million Suspended Investment on the Other” (http://finance.ce.cn/stock/gsgdbd/202601/t20260112_2696053.shtml)
[3] China Business Journal - “Behind the RMB 650 Million Sky-High Litigation, Buchang Pharmaceutical’s Transformation ‘Scars’ Are Exposed” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/wbstock/2026-01-05/doc-inhffwpt6584628.shtml)
[4] Sina Finance - “Buchang Pharmaceutical Burdened with RMB 4.5 Billion Inventory, Suffers RMB 293 Million Unrealized Loss in 3 Months from U.S. Stock Investment in PomDoctor” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2026-01-09/doc-inhfswxp2976688.shtml)
[0] Jinling API Financial Database

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