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Analysis of Furui Medical (300049.SZ)’s Hong Kong Listing and Market Opportunities in NASH Drugs

#赴港上市 #NASH药物 #肝病检测 #医疗设备 #国际化布局 #投资分析 #FibroScan
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January 11, 2026

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Analysis of Furui Medical (300049.SZ)’s Hong Kong Listing and Market Opportunities in NASH Drugs

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Based on the latest information I have collected, I will provide a detailed analysis of Furui Medical’s Hong Kong listing and its development opportunities in the NASH drug market.

I. Strategic Layout of Furui Medical’s Hong Kong Listing
1. Progress of the Listing Plan

According to the latest reports, Furui Medical (Inner Mongolia Furui Medical Technology Co., Ltd., Stock Code: 300049.SZ) has launched its Hong Kong listing plan[1]. Through holding companies such as France-based Echosens, the company has formed a global layout with Beijing as its management center and Paris, France as its R&D frontier.

The issuance of H shares is still subject to approval by the company’s shareholders’ meeting, filing with the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and approval by regulatory authorities such as the Hong Kong Stock Exchange
[1].

It is worth noting that this is not the company’s first attempt to spin off Echosens for a Hong Kong listing. As early as March 2017, Echosens submitted an application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with ICBC International as its sole sponsor[2]. Historically, Furui Medical made two attempts to spin off Echosens for overseas listing in 2013 and 2014, both of which ended in failure.

2. Foundation of International Business

Furui Medical has built a solid foundation for global business:

  • Its core product, the FibroScan device
    , has been deployed worldwide, diagnosing tens of millions of patients each year
  • The product has been recommended by multiple authoritative institutions including the
    World Health Organization (WHO), European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL), and American Diabetes Association (ADA)
  • More than
    5,400 peer-reviewed papers
    and
    over 200 international guidelines
    demonstrate the efficacy of FibroScan in the diagnosis and treatment of liver diseases
  • The product has obtained certifications such as
    EU CE, US FDA, and China NMPA
    [1]

II. Leading Position in Liver Disease Detection Devices
1. Technological Advantages of FibroScan

FibroScan is the world’s first non-invasive, real-time detection device that diagnoses and monitors liver conditions by quantifying liver stiffness values, adopting

Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography (VCTE) technology
[3]. This technology is the core of multiple patent families owned by Echosens, covering major markets including China, the United States, Germany, and France, with
patent protection valid until 2039
[4].

2. 2024 Business Performance
Indicator Value Year-over-Year Growth
Echosens Operating Revenue RMB 923 million 10.98%
Echosens Net Profit RMB 190.52 million 8.26%
Overall Medical Device Business Revenue RMB 482 million (First Half) 13.8%

The company adopts a

dual-drive model of “equipment sales + pay-per-test”
. As of the first half of 2025, a total of
977 pay-per-test devices (FibroScan Go, Box, Handy)
have been installed globally, with equipment sales accounting for 52.5% of revenue, and pay-per-test, leasing, and other income accounting for 47.5%[1][5].


III. Market Opportunities in NASH Drugs
1. Milestone: Approval of the First NASH Drug

In March 2024,

the FDA approved Resmetirom
(brand name: Rezdiffra), the first new NASH drug, for the treatment of NASH patients with liver fibrosis[6]. This is the first innovative NASH treatment approved by the FDA, marking a significant milestone.

More importantly,

the labeling of Resmetirom explicitly specifies the use of FibroScan for efficacy assessment
[4]. This means Furui Medical’s device has become a “traffic entry point” for NASH drug treatment.

2. Market Size Estimation

According to industry analysis, the expansion of the NASH drug market will significantly drive demand for detection devices:

Market Indicator Forecast Data
Global NASH Patients 300-400 million
Treated Patients in Europe and the US (in 3-5 years) Tens of millions
High-Risk Population (US) Approximately 100 million
High-Risk Population (Europe) Over 200 million
Annual Testing Demand per Treated Patient 3-4 times/year
Expected Annual Testing Demand Over 100 million tests

If all tests are charged on a pay-per-test basis, Echosens’ future revenue could reach

4 billion euros
, with a net profit of
1.6 billion euros
; under a conservative forecast where half of the tests are pay-per-test, the net profit will still reach
800 million euros
, with
400 million euros
attributable to parent company shareholders (Europe and US markets only)[4].

3. Pharmaceutical Company Ecosystem Cooperation

Furui Medical has established cooperative relationships with multiple international pharmaceutical companies:

  • Novo Nordisk
    : The NASH indication for semaglutide was submitted for approval in the first quarter of 2025, and approval is expected by the end of September 2025. Large-scale screening will begin in the third quarter of 2025
  • Eli Lilly, Boehringer Ingelheim
    : Over
    90% of their in-development NASH drugs use FibroScan for efficacy testing
    [4]
  • Other pharmaceutical companies including
    Inventiva (France) and Zydus (India)
    [3]

In August 2025, Novo Nordisk obtained FDA approval for Wegovy for the treatment of MASH patients with moderate to severe liver fibrosis. At the same time,

the FDA confirmed its acceptance of the Letter of Intent (LOI) from Echosens regarding the use of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) based on VCTE as a surrogate endpoint for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) clinical trials
[7].


IV. Technical Analysis
1. Stock Price Performance
Indicator Value
Current Stock Price RMB 81.24
1-Year Increase 176.33%
6-Month Increase 115.78%
Market Capitalization USD 21.553 billion
P/E (TTM) 172.59x
2. Technical Indicators

Based on the latest technical analysis[8]:

  • Trend Status
    : Upward trend (to be confirmed)
  • Buy Signal
    : 01/07
  • Support Level
    : RMB 75.14
  • Resistance Level
    : RMB 82.63
  • Next Target
    : RMB 86.16
  • Beta Coefficient
    : -0.37 (low correlation with the market)

Furui Medical Stock Price Technical Analysis


V. Investment Recommendations and Risk Warnings
1. Core Growth Logic
  1. NASH drug approvals drive explosive demand for testing
    — The first drug has been approved, and more drugs are pending approval
  2. Expansion of pay-per-test model
    — The 2025 target is to install an additional 2,400 devices, representing a significant increase from the current installed base
  3. Advancement of internationalization strategy
    — The Hong Kong listing will enhance international brand influence and attract global capital
  4. Strong patent barriers
    — Patent protection in European and US markets lasts until 2039, granting exclusive rights
2. Risk Factors
  • Uncertainty in listing process
    : The H share issuance is still subject to multiple approvals
  • Industry competition
    : New competitors may emerge in the liver disease detection sector
  • Policy risks
    : Changes in pharmaceutical industry policies may affect business operations
  • High valuation
    : The current P/E ratio is 172x, which is at a historical high
3. Performance Forecast

According to the assessment targets of the company’s equity incentive plan[5]:

  • Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses in 2024 will be no less than RMB 200 million
  • Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses in 2025 will be no less than RMB 300 million
  • Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses in 2026 will be no less than RMB 400 million

References

[1] Eastmoney - Furui Medical Plans Hong Kong Listing, Re-launches International Layout (https://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202512183595605140.html)

[2] Zhitong Finance - After Two Failed Spin-off Listings, A-Share Listed Furui Medical Sends Its Subsidiary Echosens to Hong Kong Again (https://www.sohu.com/a/130240074_323087)

[3] Great Wall Securities - In-Depth Report on Furui Medical (300049.SZ) (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202308141594348059_1.pdf)

[4] EET China - Earn 4 Billion Euros Easily? A Study on the Correlation Between Furui Medical and the NASH New Drug Market (https://www.eet-china.com/mp/a405856.html)

[5] Furui Medical 2024 Annual Report (https://www.fu-rui.com/uploads/upload/files/20250516/d288de73293f9b47f71fa8f29b542f96.pdf)

[6] Great Wall Guorui Securities - Industry Weekly Report (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202403191627130376_1.pdf)

[7] Soochow Securities - Insight into Global Cutting-Edge Technologies, Deeply Cultivating Innovative Drugs and Their Industrial Chains (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202511041774909764_1.pdf)

[8] Jinling AI Technical Analysis System - Technical Indicator Data for 300049.SZ

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.