Analysis of Platform Value Competition Transformation Amid Stricter Regulation in the Food Delivery Industry
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Based on the latest industry dynamics and data, I have prepared this
The regulation of China’s food delivery industry has undergone a fundamental transformation from “lenient tolerance” to “strict standardization” [1]. This evolution can be divided into four key stages:
| Stage | Timeframe | Regulatory Focus | Intensity Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| Period of Clarifying Platform Responsibilities | 2018-2020 | Definition of Main Responsibilities of Platforms | 3/10 |
| Period of Antitrust Initiation | 2021 | Review of Concentrations of Undertakings | 5/10 |
| Period of Algorithm Standardization | 2022-2023 | Standardization of Algorithm-Based Delivery Time Limits | 6/10 |
| Period of Compliance Enhancement | 2024-2025 | Social Insurance for Delivery Riders, Transparent Fee Rates | 8/10 |
In December 2025, the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) of Hong Kong and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) jointly issued a rare letter to sponsors, pointing out issues such as low document quality, exaggerated data, and inadequate performance of duties by sponsors in recent IPO applications, marking a further tightening of regulation [1].
In early 2025, JD.com officially launched its food delivery business, breaking the relatively stable market pattern originally dominated by Meituan and Ele.me. In response to the competition, Alibaba integrated “Taobao Flash Sale” and “Ele.me”, elevating food delivery to the group’s strategic level, and a “three-way rivalry” centered on users, delivery riders, and merchants broke out [1].
- Alibaba: Sales expenses surged year-on-year, and operating profit plummeted by 85%
- Meituan: Its core local commerce business saw year-on-year quarterly revenue decline for the first time, with an operating loss of RMB 14.1 billion
- : The operating loss of new businesses (including food delivery) expanded to RMB 15.7 billion
More seriously,
- A large number of merchants faced the dilemma of “high order volume but no profit”, and the average order value was severely depressed
- Delivery riders faced extremely high work intensity, and faced fiercer competition after subsidies were reduced
- Consumers enjoyed subsidy dividends in the short term, but service quality may decline
As Wang Guoyu, founder of Nanchengxiang, frankly stated: Although store turnover increased during the food delivery war, dine-in revenue did not grow even declined; Jia Guolong, founder of Xibei, pointed out that the crazy subsidies for food delivery are not brand concessions, but “plunder” of merchants [1].
A price war is essentially a
| Platform | Core Local Business Performance | Impact on Operating Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Meituan | First year-on-year quarterly revenue decline | Operating loss of RMB 14.1 billion |
| Alibaba (Ele.me integrated) | Year-on-year surge in sales expenses | Operating profit plummeted by 85% |
| JD.com | Expansion of food delivery business | New business loss of RMB 15.7 billion |
Unregulated price wars have disrupted the normal ecology of the catering industry:
- Merchants: Formed a “low-price dependence” and lost pricing power; after subsidies were reduced, they faced declining order volumes and misaligned consumer price expectations
- Delivery Riders: Income fluctuated sharply, with poor occupational stability; the lack of social insurance led to the accumulation of social risks
- Consumers: “Grabbed benefits” in the short term, but service quality did not improve but declined in the long run
- Platforms: Trapped in a “subsidy prisoner’s dilemma”, whoever exits first will lose users
Against the backdrop of stricter regulation, compliance is no longer an “elective course”, but a “required course”. Platform enterprises need to achieve compliance in the following dimensions:
- Social Insurance Compliance: Gradually promote pilots of occupational injury protection for flexible employees
- Income Transparency: Disclose the composition of delivery fees through algorithms, and eliminate “dual pricing”
- Rational Working Hours: Fatigue prevention mechanisms, mandatory intervals between assigned orders
- Fee Rate Transparency: Clarify commission structures, and bid farewell to “unclear accounts”
- Traffic Fairness: Establish a transparent ranking mechanism, and eliminate the unspoken rule of “paid ranking”
- Operational Data Support: Provide value-added services such as sales forecasting and location analysis
- Data Reporting Obligations: Cooperate with regulatory authorities’ data access requirements
- Merger and Acquisition Review: Major investments require prior notification of concentrations of undertakings
Price wars compete on “who is more willing to burn money”, while value competition competes on “who can create more value”. Technological investment is the key to achieving value differentiation:
| Investment Direction | Core Value | Estimated Investment Ratio |
|---|---|---|
| Intelligent Dispatching System | Improve delivery efficiency, reduce empty driving rate | 85% |
| Delivery Rider Social Security | Compliant operation, reduce legal risks | 70% |
| Digital Empowerment for Merchants | Enhance merchant stickiness, create new revenue | 75% |
| Instant Retail Network | Expand business boundaries, increase average order value | 80% |
| Green Delivery System | Reduce operating costs, improve ESG rating | 60% |
- Intelligent Dispatching Algorithm: Optimize order allocation through AI, reduce rider waiting time, and improve on-time delivery rate
- Predictive Maintenance: Conduct predictive maintenance on delivery vehicles, insulated boxes and other equipment to reduce failure rates
- Personalized Recommendations: Provide precise recommendations based on users’ historical orders and preferences to improve conversion rates
- Unmanned Delivery Technology: Pilot unmanned delivery in specific scenarios (such as campuses, industrial parks) to reduce labor costs
Shifting from “price sensitivity” to “value sensitivity” is the core of value competition. Platforms need to establish multi-dimensional service differentiation:
- Price-Sensitive Users: Provide cost-effective “basic delivery” services
- Quality-Sensitive Users: Provide value-added services such as “exclusive rider delivery” and “fresh-keeping delivery”
- Time-Sensitive Users: Provide time-effective products such as “express delivery” and “scheduled delivery”
- Food Delivery: Upgrade from “delivering meals” to “delivering meals + dine-in traffic diversion”
- Fresh E-Commerce: Upgrade from “delivery” to “cold chain + fresh-keeping + cooking suggestions”
- Instant Retail: Upgrade from “delivering goods” to “30-minute living circle”
- Basic Benefits: Free delivery fees, exclusive customer service
- Advanced Benefits: Priority order assignment, exclusive red envelopes, interconnection with merchant memberships
- Premium Benefits: Private chefs, healthy diet management, VIP exclusive delivery
Price wars are “stock games”, while value competition is “incremental creation”. Platforms need to build a positive ecosystem to achieve win-win results for all parties:
| Stakeholder | Value Competition Model | Key to Transformation |
|---|---|---|
Users |
High-quality service experience, personalized recommendations, on-time and reliable service | Optimize algorithms to improve experience, increase technological investment |
Merchants |
Digital empowerment, reduce operating costs, improve efficiency | Provide operational data tools, supply chain support |
Delivery Riders |
Income guarantee system, career development channels, comprehensive benefits | Compliance with social insurance, vocational training system |
Society |
Green delivery network, promote employment, rural revitalization | Replace with environmentally friendly vehicles, reduce packaging |
Based on regulatory requirements and market competition trends, it is recommended that platform enterprises promote transformation according to the following path:
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ Value Competition Transformation Path Map │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ Phase 1: Regulatory Compliance Period (2024-2025) │
│ • Compliance with Delivery Rider Social Insurance • Improved Algorithm Transparency • Transparent Merchant Fee Rates │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ Phase 2: Model Adjustment Period (2025-2026) │
│ • Optimized Intelligent Dispatching • Service Quality Differentiation • Membership System Upgrade │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ Phase 3: Value Deepening Period (2026-2027) │
│ • Expanded Instant Retail • Digitalized Supply Chain • Local Life Services │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ Phase 4: Ecosystem Construction Period (2027+) │
│ • Ecosystem Construction • Industrial Belt Empowerment • Green Low-Carbon Delivery │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
To ensure the implementation of transformation, it is recommended to establish the following KPI system:
| Dimension | Indicator | Current Level | Target Level | Deadline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| User Experience | On-Time Delivery Rate | 85% | 95% | 2026Q2 |
| Delivery Rider Protection | Social Insurance Coverage Rate | 30% | 80% | 2026Q4 |
| Merchant Empowerment | Digital Tool Utilization Rate | 40% | 75% | 2026Q4 |
| Service Differentiation | Proportion of Value-Added Service Revenue | 10% | 30% | 2027Q4 |
| Green Delivery | Proportion of Electric Delivery Vehicles | 50% | 90% | 2027Q4 |
-
Short-Term (Within 2025)
- Complete the pilot of compliance with delivery rider social insurance
- Optimize algorithm transparency, and establish a user complaint mechanism
- Establish a transparent merchant fee rate system
-
Medium-Term (2026-2027)
- Increase investment in intelligent dispatching technology
- Expand high-value-added businesses such as instant retail and fresh e-commerce
- Build differentiated competition through membership systems
-
Long-Term (After 2027)
- Build a local life service ecosystem
- Achieve full coverage of green delivery
- Explore commercialization of unmanned delivery
| Risk Type | Specific Performance | Response Strategy |
|---|---|---|
Compliance Risk |
Regulatory penalties, litigation risks | Proactive compliance, establish a compliance management system |
Competition Risk |
Loss of market share | Service differentiation, rather than price wars |
Technological Risk |
Algorithm failure, data leakage | Increase technological investment, strengthen security protection |
Social Risk |
Public opinion crises, group incidents | Improve delivery rider protection, actively respond to social concerns |
Stricter regulation in the food delivery industry is an
Looking to the future, platform enterprises need to achieve three shifts:
- From traffic-centric thinking to value-centric thinking: No longer simply pursue the number of users, but increase the lifetime value of individual users
- From platform-centric thinking to ecosystem-centric thinking: No longer simply collect commissions, but empower merchants, serve users, and protect delivery riders
- From competition-centric thinking to symbiosis-centric thinking: No longer engage in inward-looking price wars, but jointly expand the market pie
As the industry insiders said: “With the arrival of autumn and winter, this war has finally come to an end, and it may be difficult to repeat in the future. Because everyone has clearly seen that a war with no real winners will ultimately consume the future of the entire industry.” [1]
[1] Tencent News - “2025: Comprehensive Summary of the Catering Industry” (https://news.qq.com/rain/a/20260105A06QO700)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
