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Analysis of Insiders' Form 144 Selling Plan for Campbell Soup Company (CPB)

#insider_trading #form_144 #sec_filings #campbell_soup #cpb #consumer_staples #stock_analysis
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US Stock
January 10, 2026

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Analysis of Insiders' Form 144 Selling Plan for Campbell Soup Company (CPB)

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Based on the collected data, I will provide you with a comprehensive analysis of the Form 144 selling plan by insiders of Campbell Soup Company (CPB).


I. Analysis of CPB’s Current Market Status and Background
1.1 Overview of Stock Price Performance

According to the latest trading data, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is currently trading at

$26.35
, down 0.42% from the previous trading day[0]. From a technical perspective, the stock is currently trading
near its 52-week low
(52-week range: $25.62-$43.85), with a year-to-date decline of
30.22%
and a three-year decline of as much as
52.93%
[0]. This sustained downward trend indicates that the company is facing severe fundamental challenges.

1.2 Financial Fundamentals

From a valuation perspective, CPB’s current P/E ratio is 13.58x, which is in the historical low range[0]. The company’s latest quarterly financial report (Q1 of FY2026, released on December 9, 2025) shows that earnings per share (EPS) reached $0.77, exceeding the market expectation of $0.73 with a surprise rate of 4.76%; revenue was $2.68 billion, slightly exceeding the expected $2.65 billion[0]. However, these better-than-expected results failed to halt the continuous decline in the stock price, reflecting the market’s concerns about the company’s future growth prospects.

The company’s product line composition shows that

Baked Snacks
contribute 41.3% of revenue ($1.11 billion),
Soups
account for 31.2% ($835 million), and
Beverages
make up 27.5% ($736 million)[0]. Despite a relatively high degree of product diversification, CPB’s growth momentum is clearly insufficient in the consumer staples industry.


II. Form 144: Definition and Regulatory Framework
2.1 The Nature of Form 144

Form 144 is a

“Notice of Proposed Sale of Securities”
required by the SEC under Rule 144 of the Securities Act of 1933[1][2]. This form must be filed when company insiders, affiliated parties, or major shareholders plan to sell
restricted securities
or
control securities
. Restricted securities typically refer to shares acquired directly in a private placement by the company or indirectly through an affiliated party, and such shares must meet certain holding period requirements before being sold in the public market[1].

2.2 Filing Thresholds and Validity Period

There are clear

quantitative thresholds
for filing Form 144: the form must be filed if the value of the proposed sale exceeds
$50,000
or involves more than
5,000 shares
[2]. It is important to note that filing Form 144 only indicates an
intent to sell
, not a commitment to an actual sale. The filer has the right (but not the obligation) to complete the sale within
90 days
after filing the document[1]. This means that Form 144 is essentially an “option” — insiders retain flexible discretion.

2.3 Value of Information Disclosure

Form 144 contains a number of implicit information valuable to investors. First,

Tables I and II
detail how the shares were acquired and sales activity over the past three months[1]. Second, the
broker information
included in the form is not available in Form 4, and can be used to analyze the execution channels of insider transactions[1]. In addition, for foreign issuers listed in the U.S., their executives are not required to file Form 4, making Form 144 the
only public source of information
for understanding changes in insider shareholdings[1].


III. Analysis of CPB Insider Trading Activities
3.1 Recent Insider Trading Events

According to market data, CPB insiders have engaged in relatively frequent trading activities over the past three months:

Date Trader Position Transaction Type Number of Shares Price
2025-12-29 Charles A. Brawley III Executive Vice President
Sell
11,550 $28.15
2025-10-31 Johnson May Diane Senior Executive
Sell
17,088 $30.29
2025-12-28 Multiple Insiders Directors/Senior Executives
Buy
~8 Transactions -

As can be seen from the trading data,

selling activities are concentrated at year-end
(October-December), while
buying activities are concentrated on December 28
. This temporal divergence is noteworthy: Brawley’s selling price on December 29 ($28.15) is only about 6.8% higher than the current stock price ($26.35), indicating that insiders did not choose to cash out when the stock price was higher.

3.2 Signal Interpretation of Form 144

The Form 144 filed by CPB insiders plans to sell shares on January 9, 2026[3]. Combining the above actual trading data, the following key information can be inferred:

First
, the filing of Form 144 reflects insiders’ intent to
lock in a selling window
. Since Form 144 is valid for 90 days, insiders may be waiting for a more favorable price, or preparing in advance for an upcoming sale[1].

Second
, combined with the stock price trend analysis, CPB is currently trading
near its 52-week low
. Filing a selling plan at this level may imply:

  • Insiders believe the current price still has
    certain profit-taking potential after a rebound
    , or
  • Insiders are
    cautious
    about a short-term stock price rebound and tend to reduce positions during a technical rebound.

Third
, according to TipRanks’ insider confidence signal, CPB’s
insider confidence rating is “Negative”
, with only 1 “informative” insider transaction in the past 3 months[4]. This further confirms insiders’ conservative attitude towards the company’s prospects.


IV. Investment Interpretation Framework for Insider Trading Signals
4.1 Distinguish Between “Intent” and “Action”

The

biggest limitation
of Form 144 is that it only represents an intent to sell, not the completion of an actual sale[1][5]. Investors should continue to track whether a Form 4 (Notice of Actual Transaction) is filed subsequently to confirm whether the sale is ultimately executed. If no actual sale occurs within 90 days after filing Form 144, the document may only reflect insiders’
passive filing obligation
or a mindset of
reserving an option
[5].

4.2 Evaluate Sale Scale and Frequency

The

scale and frequency
of trading activities are important indicators for judging signal strength:

  • Concentrated Selling
    : If multiple insiders file Form 144 during the same period, or the scale of a single sale accounts for a high proportion of their holdings, it may reflect
    systemic concerns about the company’s short-term trend
    [5].
  • Scattered Selling
    : If it is only a small-scale selling intent by individual insiders with no subsequent actual action, it may be due to
    personal capital needs
    (such as tax planning, education expenses, etc.)[5].

For CPB, recent activities are mainly executive-level sales (rather than large-scale Form 144 filings), and both buying and selling coexist, indicating that the signal leans neutral.

4.3 Combine with Company Fundamentals and Environment

The interpretation of insider trading signals

must be placed within the context of the company’s fundamentals and the macro environment
:

  • Selling during a period of declining performance
    : The negative signal is stronger[5]
  • Selling when the stock price is high
    : It may be
    profit-taking
    , with a neutral signal
  • Selling during restructuring/transformation
    : It may reflect
    uncertainty during strategic adjustment

CPB’s current core challenges include: weak demand in the consumer staples industry, consumers shifting to healthier alternatives, fluctuations in raw material costs, etc. Against this backdrop, insiders’ cautious attitude is understandable.

4.4 Reference 10b5-1 Plans

The SEC’s

10b5-1 plans
allow insiders to pre-set trading plans in advance to avoid suspicion of insider trading[1]. If Form 144 is related to a 10b5-1 plan, such sales are
pre-planned
compliant transactions, with a relatively weak negative signal[5]. Investors should pay attention to whether information about an associated 10b5-1 plan is noted in Form 144.

4.5 Track Subsequent Developments

During the

90-day validity period of Form 144
, investors should continuously monitor the following signals:

  • Whether there are
    actual sale records in Form 4
  • The
    actual price and timing
    of the sale
  • Whether there are
    buying actions by other insiders
  • Whether the company has
    major events
    (such as earnings announcements, mergers and acquisitions, etc.)

V. Strategic Recommendations for CPB Investors
5.1 Short-Term Perspective

Considering the following factors, CPB may face

selling pressure
in the short term:

  • The
    signal effect
    of insiders’ selling intent may trigger follow-up selling
  • The current stock price is in an
    oversold region
    , which may attract technical buying, but the overall trend is weak
  • The analyst consensus is
    Hold (HOLD)
    , with a consensus target price of $30.00 implying upside potential of approximately 13.9%[0]

Operational Recommendations
: If holding CPB, consider reducing positions moderately during a
technical rebound
; if planning to build a position, it is recommended to
enter in batches
to reduce timing risk.

5.2 Medium-Term Perspective

CPB’s

next earnings report
will be released on March 4, 2026 (Q2 of FY2026), with a market expected EPS of $0.57[0]. Before then, signals from insider trading will continue to affect market sentiment. Investors should pay attention to:

  • Whether the company can revitalize growth through
    cost reduction
    or
    product innovation
  • Integration progress after the
    acquisition of Sovos Brands
    (completed in 2023)
  • Adjustments to management’s
    earnings guidance
5.3 Long-Term Perspective

From a valuation perspective, CPB’s P/E ratio (13.58x) is lower than the industry average, reflecting the market’s pricing of slow growth. If the company can:

  • Successfully transform to a
    healthier
    product portfolio
  • Achieve a breakthrough in the
    snack business
    (accounting for 41% of revenue)
  • Improve
    operational efficiency
    and profit margins

Then the current stock price may constitute a

long-term value investment opportunity
. However, the prospects of these strategic transformations are still unclear.


VI. Conclusion

Insiders of Campbell Soup Company have filed a Form 144 selling plan. Against the backdrop of the current stock price being near its 52-week low, the

signal implication leans cautious
. The document itself only represents an intent to sell, not an actual sale action, so it should not be regarded as a purely bearish signal. However, combining CPB’s recent insider trading pattern (concentrated selling at year-end) and overall stock performance (year-to-date decline of over 30%), investors should remain vigilant about the company’s short-term prospects.

Summary of Key Points
:

  1. Form 144 is a
    statement of intent
    , not a confirmation of actual sale
  2. CPB’s insider trading
    frequency is low
    , with limited signal strength
  3. Comprehensive judgment must be made by combining
    company fundamentals
    and
    macro environment
  4. Continuously track
    subsequent trading dynamics
    to verify signal validity

References

[0] Jinling API Market Data - CPB Real-Time Quotes, Company Profile and Financial Indicators

[1] Washington Service - Form 144 Insights & FAQs (https://washingtonservice.com/insights-faqs/form-144/)

[2] DFIN - What is a Form 144 SEC Filing? (https://www.dfinsolutions.com/knowledge-hub/knowledge-resources/what-is-form-144-filing)

[3] DCF Modeling - Campbell Soup Company CPB Valuation Report (https://dcfmodeling.com/)

[4] TipRanks - CPB Stock Insider Trading Activity (https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/cpb/insider-trading)

[5] Iris Carbon - Essential Insights into Form 144 Filings and Filing Requirements (https://iriscarbon.com/essential-insights-into-form-144-filings-and-filing-requirements/)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.