Zhitai New Materials (300986) Hits 4 Consecutive Limit Ups, Triggers Severe Abnormal Fluctuation Risk Warning
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| Item | Data |
|---|---|
Stock Ticker |
300986.SZ |
Company Name |
Jiangxi Zhitai New Materials Co., Ltd. |
Industry |
Industrials - Metal Products/Building Decoration |
Core Business |
Aluminum Formwork, Protection Platforms, Prefabricated Assemblies |
Current Price |
$27.82 |
Market Capitalization |
$7.18 Billion |
The core reason Zhitai New Materials has become a trending stock recently is its extreme trend of
- January 5 to 8, 2026: 4 consecutive closing limit-ups, with a cumulative deviation of over 100%
- Triggers Severe Abnormal Fluctuations: According to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Trading Rules, this falls under the category of severe abnormal stock trading fluctuations [1]
- 5-Day Gain: +126.00%
- 1-Month Gain: +169.57%
- YTD Gain: +107.30% [0]
According to survey data from Eastmoney users [3]:
- Bullish Sentiment: 81.08%
- Bearish Sentiment: 18.92%
As of January 8, 2026, the company’s stock closed at RMB23.18 per share, which still has considerable upside potential compared to the current price of $27.82.
On January 9, 2026, the
| Time Horizon | Price Change | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| 1-Day | +20.02% | Extreme Gain |
| 5-Day | +126.00% | Extremely Strong |
| 1-Month | +169.57% | Deviated from Fundamentals |
| 3-Month | +133.00% | Sustained Irrationality |
| 1-Year | +242.19% | Bubbly |
| Indicator | Value | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
20-Day Moving Average |
$12.64 | Current price is 2.2x the moving average, a severe deviation |
Daily Volatility |
8.00% | High-volatility stock |
Average Daily Trading Volume |
14.98 Million Shares | Significantly higher than normal levels |
Price Range |
$9.68 - $27.82 | 183.59% amplitude, extreme volatility |
| Price Level Type | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week Low | ~$9.68 |
| Limit-Up Price (January 9) | ~$27.82 |
| 20-Day Moving Average | $12.64 |
-
Valuation Seriously Deviates from Industry Levels:
- Company Trailing P/E Ratio: 72.22x
- Industry P/E Ratio: 35.60x (the company’s ratio is 2.03x the industry average) [1]
- Company P/B Ratio: 4.48x
- Industry P/B Ratio: 2.94x (the company’s ratio is 1.52x the industry average) [1]
-
No Major Changes in Fundamentals:
- The company clearly stated, “There have been no major changes in the company’s recent operating conditions or internal and external business environment” [1][2]
- “The company’s stock price has risen sharply in the short term, significantly deviating from the market index, and the cumulative increase has seriously deviated from fundamentals” [1]
-
Capital Flow:
- On January 5, single-day turnover reached RMB1.106 billion, with a turnover rate of 20.96% [3]
- Significant participation from institutional capital, but sustainability is questionable
- A survey on Eastmoney shows 81.08% of investors are bullish [3]
- However, note that such extreme optimism often appears at the top of a market rally
| Indicator | Value | Industry Comparison | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | 82.70x | Industry 35.60x | Seriously Overvalued |
| P/B | 5.13x | Industry 2.94x | Overvalued |
| ROE | 7.38% | - | Average Profitability |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.83% | - | Low |
| Current Ratio | 0.91 | - | Tight Liquidity |
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | - | Short-term Debt Repayment Pressure |
| Reporting Period | EPS | Revenue (in Millions) |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $0.11 | $723.66 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.10 | $556.07 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.06 | $721.20 |
| Q3 2024 | $0.21 | $670.91 |
- Accounting Conservatism: Conservative accounting policies, high depreciation/capital expenditure ratio
- Free Cash Flow: Negative at RMB172 million in the latest fiscal year
- Debt Risk: Classified as high-risk
- Core Business: R&D, production, and sales of aluminum formwork, protection platforms, prefabricated assemblies, and other products
- 2024 Revenue: RMB2.526 billion, net profit of RMB73.6951 million
- 2025 First Three Quarters Revenue: RMB2.023 billion, net profit of RMB118 million
| Risk Type | Details |
|---|---|
Valuation Bubble |
P/E is 2x the industry average, P/B is 1.5x the industry average; stock price seriously deviates from reasonable value |
Performance Divergence |
Net profit fell 47.6% year-on-year, yet stock price rose over 240% |
No Substantial Positive Catalysts |
The company clearly stated there have been no major changes in fundamentals |
Regulatory Attention |
Consecutive limit-ups have triggered exchange abnormal fluctuation monitoring |
Capital Flight Risk |
Huge pressure from profit-taking after a short-term surge |
Liquidity Risk |
No audit confirmation available before the 2024 annual report |
-
Official Company Warning: “The company’s stock price has risen sharply in the short term, significantly deviating from the market index, and the cumulative increase has seriously deviated from fundamentals, posing a risk of a sharp short-term pullback in the stock price” [1]
-
Market Manipulation Risk Warning: Be alert to market manipulation during abnormal fluctuations
-
Annual Report Risk: The 2025 annual report will be released on April 25, 2026, posing a high risk of performance invalidation
| Dimension | Judgment | Reason |
|---|---|---|
Momentum |
Extremely strong but fading | Strong technical adjustment demand after 4 consecutive limit-ups |
Fundamentals |
Severe divergence | Performance declined but stock price surged 2.4x |
Valuation |
Bubble Zone | P/E 82x vs industry 36x |
Sustainability |
Unsustainable |
The company has clearly warned of risks |
| Scenario | Probability | Trigger Condition |
|---|---|---|
Sharp Pullback |
High | Concentrated profit-taking leading to a return to reasonable valuation |
High-Range Volatility |
Medium | Hot money continuation, but increased volatility |
Continued Limit-Ups |
Low | Requires new major positive catalysts |
| Price Level Type | Price | Significance |
|---|---|---|
Support Level 1 |
20-Day Moving Average $12.64 | Strong support |
Support Level 2 |
Previous Platform $15-$18 | Medium-term support |
Resistance Level |
All-Time High $27.82 | Short-term pressure |
Zhitai New Materials (300986) currently belongs to a
✅
❌
⚠️
- This stock is currently a high-risk speculative target, unsuitable for conservative investors
- If participating, set strict stop-losses and control position sizes
- Monitor potential break of the limit-up streak and subsequent trends in January 2026
- Be alert to the risk of performance invalidation before the annual report release (April 25)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
