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Analysis of China Merchants Bank's 2025 Interim Dividend Plan and the Investment Value of Bank Stocks

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January 9, 2026

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Analysis of China Merchants Bank's 2025 Interim Dividend Plan and the Investment Value of Bank Stocks

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Based on the above data, I will provide an in-depth analysis from multiple perspectives on the implications of China Merchants Bank’s substantial dividend payout for the investment value of bank stocks.


Core Highlights of China Merchants Bank’s 2025 Half-Year Dividend Plan
Item Data
Dividend Amount
Approximately RMB 25.548 billion (including tax)
A-Share Dividend
Approximately RMB 20.897 billion
Per-Share Dividend
RMB 1.013 (including tax)
Payout Ratio
35.02%
Record Date
January 15, 2026
Ex-Right/Payment Date
January 16, 2026
Total Share Capital
2.522 billion shares

Data Source:
China Merchants Bank official announcements and JRJ.com data [0][1]


I. Historical Evolution and Strategic Significance of China Merchants Bank’s Dividends
1.1 Stable Dividend Tradition

China Merchants Bank has maintained a high-proportion dividend policy for a long time. From historical data, the 2024 per-share dividend was RMB 2, with a total annual dividend of RMB 50.44 billion and a dividend yield of approximately 5.7% [1]. This interim dividend continues the payout ratio of around 35%, reflecting the company’s high emphasis on shareholder returns.

1.2 Milestone Significance of the First Interim Dividend

2025 marks the first time China Merchants Bank has implemented an interim dividend, which carries important strategic significance:

  • Aligns with policy guidance
    : Complies with the requirement of “enhancing the stability, sustainability, and predictability of dividends” proposed in the State Council’s Several Opinions on Strengthening Supervision, Preventing Risks, and Promoting High-Quality Development of the Capital Market [3]
  • Improves timeliness of investor returns
    : Compared with annual dividends, interim dividends allow investors to receive cash returns earlier
  • Enhances dividend attractiveness
    : In the current low-interest rate environment, high-frequency dividend payments significantly improve the investment appeal of bank stocks

II. Analysis of China Merchants Bank’s Core Financial Indicators
2.1 Valuation Level
Indicator Figure Industry Comparison
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
7.01x Below industry average
Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
0.81x Near breaking net asset value
ROE (Return on Equity)
12.09% Leading in the industry
Net Interest Margin (NIM)
1.98% Facing narrowing pressure

Data Source:
Jinling API Market Data [0]

2.2 Profitability and Asset Quality

As of the end of 2024, China Merchants Bank’s key financial indicators demonstrate its excellent operational quality:

  • Total Assets
    : Exceeded RMB 12.15 trillion [1]
  • Customer Deposits
    : Reached RMB 9.10 trillion, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.54%
  • Non-Performing Loan Ratio
    : Only 0.95%, ranking among the best in the industry
  • Provision Coverage Ratio
    : Exceeds 450%, providing sufficient risk resistance capacity
  • Common Equity Tier 1 Capital Adequacy Ratio
    : Maintained above 12%, with sufficient capital

These data indicate that China Merchants Bank has a solid financial foundation for sustained high dividend payouts, and its excellent asset quality provides a reliable guarantee for profit release.


III. Panoramic Analysis of Dividend Trends in Bank Stocks
3.1 2025 Interim Dividends Hit a New High

As of December 2025, more than 20 A-share listed banks have implemented or disclosed interim dividend plans, with a total proposed dividend amount exceeding RMB 260 billion [3].

Bank Type Dividend Characteristics
Big Six State-Owned Banks
Total dividends of approximately RMB 204.6 billion, maintaining a 30% payout ratio [3]
Joint-Stock Banks
Followed by CMB, CITIC, Minsheng, etc., with payout ratios ranging from 30% to 35% [3]
City Commercial Banks/Rural Commercial Banks
Actively responded, with varying payout ratios [3]
3.2 Comparison of 2025 Interim Dividends of Major Banks
Bank Per-Share Dividend (RMB) Total Dividend (RMB billion) Payout Ratio
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) 0.1414 50.396 Approximately 30%
China Construction Bank (CCB) 0.1858 48.605 Approximately 30%
Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) 0.1195 41.823 30%
China Merchants Bank (CMB)
1.013
25.548
35%
Bank of China (BOC) 0.1094 35.250 30%
Bank of Communications (BOCOM) 0.1563 13.811 31.2%

Data Source:
CCTV Finance and official announcements of major banks [3]


IV. Implications for the Investment Value of Bank Stocks
4.1 Allocation Value of High Dividend Yields

According to China Galaxy Securities data, as of December 12, 2025:

  • Overall Dividend Yield of Banking Sector
    : 4.64%, ranking second among all industries [3]
  • China Merchants Bank’s Dividend Yield
    : Approximately 5.7%, significantly higher than the 4.5% average of big state-owned banks [1]
  • Comparison Benchmark
    : The 5-year deposit interest rate is only 1.3%, giving bank dividend yields a clear advantage

Implication
: In a low-interest rate environment, the high-dividend characteristics of bank stocks have strong appeal to long-term capital such as insurance funds and pension funds.

4.2 Clear Valuation Repair Potential
Indicator Banking Sector All A-Shares Discount Rate
Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
0.69x 1.79x 38.55%

Data Source:
China Galaxy Securities Research Report [3]

Current valuations of bank stocks are at historically low levels. Combined with the three positive factors of

robust fundamentals
+
sustained dividend growth
+
policy support
, the potential for valuation repair is clear.

4.3 Significance of the Trend Toward Increased Dividend Frequency

The shift from annual dividends to interim dividends
sends the following signals:

  1. Regulatory Encouragement
    : Policies clearly support “multiple dividends per year, advance dividends, and dividends before the Spring Festival” [3]
  2. Stable Bank Earnings
    : Although net interest margins face narrowing pressure, growth in non-interest income has offset some of the impact
  3. Slower Capital Consumption
    : The implementation of the new capital management regulations has further expanded banks’ dividend payout space

Liang Fengjie, Analyst at Zheshang Securities
, believes that high dividend payouts by commercial banks are expected to continue and have room for growth [3].


V. Investment Strategy Recommendations
5.1 Core Logic for Focusing on China Merchants Bank
Advantage Explanation
Top-Tier Asset Quality
Non-performing loan ratio of 0.95%, provision coverage ratio exceeding 450%, setting an industry benchmark
Leading Payout Ratio
35% payout ratio, higher than the 30% ratio of big state-owned banks
Valuation Repair Potential
P/B ratio of 0.81x, below historical average
Attractive Dividend Yield
Dividend yield of approximately 5.7%, ranking among the top of large banks
5.2 Risk Warnings for Bank Stock Investments
  • Sustained Narrowing of Net Interest Margins
    : Banks generally face pressure on net interest margins, which may affect future earnings growth
  • Economic Cycle Fluctuations
    : Bank asset quality is highly correlated with the macroeconomy
  • Timing of Valuation Repair
    : Although there is potential for valuation repair, the timing is uncertain

VI. Conclusion

China Merchants Bank’s substantial dividend payout has the following

core implications
for the investment value of bank stocks:

  1. Bank stocks remain high-quality targets for dividend investment
    : CMB’s 5.7% dividend yield has significant allocation value in the current market environment, especially suitable for long-term investors seeking stable cash flow.
  2. The trend of regular interim dividends is established
    : From the first collective implementation of interim dividends in 2024 to the expansion to more than 20 banks in 2025, high-frequency dividend payments are becoming the new normal for the banking sector, which will continue to enhance the dividend appeal of bank stocks.
  3. High-quality banks have greater investment value
    : With its excellent asset quality (non-performing loan ratio of only 0.95%), higher payout ratio (35% vs. 30% for big state-owned banks), and more stable earnings growth, CMB has obvious alpha characteristics among bank stocks.
  4. Dual support from valuation bottom and dividend bottom
    : The current P/B ratio of the banking sector is only 0.69x, at a historically low level. Combined with sustained high dividend payouts, bank stocks have limited downside risk and promising upside potential.

Overall
: CMB’s dividend payout not only reflects its operating philosophy of rewarding shareholders but also provides strong endorsement for the investment value of bank stocks. For investors seeking stable returns and preferring dividend strategies, China Merchants Bank and the entire banking sector still have medium-to-long-term allocation value.


References

[0] Jinling API Market Data - China Merchants Bank (600036.SS) Company Profile and Real-Time Quotes

[1] JRJ.com - Announcement of Implementation of China Merchants Bank’s 2024 A-Share Dividend Payout (https://m.jrj.com.cn/madapter/bank/2025/07/03182951465280.shtml)

[2] China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd. - Announcement of 2025 Half-Year Profit Distribution Plan (https://stockmc.xueqiu.com/202512/600036_20251230_IZAK.pdf)

[3] CCTV Finance - ICBC, ABC, BOC, CCB, BOCOM, PSBC and Other Banks Announce Dividend Plans (https://finance.cctv.com/2025/12/17/ARTIm7AWeCF0TW5s3kMQKEen251217.shtml)

[4] Huxiu - Expansion of Interim Dividends: Big Six Banks Pay Out RMB 204.6 Billion in Dividends (https://m.huxiu.com/article/4765498.html)

[5] Xueqiu - Analysis of China Merchants Bank’s 2025 Investment Value (https://xueqiu.com/1088154788/334809421)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.