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Impact Analysis of Bloomage Biotech's Approval of Exclusive Distribution Rights for Botulinum Toxin

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January 9, 2026

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Impact Analysis of Bloomage Biotech's Approval of Exclusive Distribution Rights for Botulinum Toxin

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Based on systematically collected data and analysis, below is a comprehensive impact analysis of Bloomage Biotech’s acquisition of exclusive distribution rights for botulinum toxin:


I. Transaction Overview and Background
1.1 Core Transaction Information

On January 8, 2026, Bloomage Biotech (300896.SZ) issued an announcement stating that the injectable botulinum toxin type A product introduced from South Korea’s Huons BP has obtained the “Drug Registration Certificate” approved and issued by the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA), securing exclusive distribution rights in China (including Macau and Hong Kong)[1]. This is the seventh botulinum toxin product approved in China.

This transaction can be traced back to June 2021, when Bloomage Biotech made an equity investment of approximately RMB 886 million in Huons BP, holding a total of 25.4% of its shares[1]. In May 2022, the two parties signed a distribution agreement to establish an exclusive agency relationship. After nearly 4 years of registration and approval, the product has finally been approved for launch.

1.2 Current Challenges Facing the Company
Financial Indicator 2024 Performance Trend
Revenue Growth Rate Lowest since IPO
Net Profit 31.1% year-on-year decline in the first three quarters of 2025 ↓↓
Stock Price Performance 15.40% drop in the past year
Dependence on Core Products Hiti accounts for 58.9% of revenue Risk of Single Product Dependency

The company is currently facing pressure from declining performance, and its traditional hyaluronic acid business is experiencing market diversion from new materials such as collagen[2]. Against this backdrop, the approval of the botulinum toxin product is of important strategic significance.


II. Competitive Landscape Analysis
2.1 Evolution of China’s Botulinum Toxin Market

Approved Product Evolution:

Approval Date Brand Manufacturer Estimated Current Market Share
2012 Hengli Lanzhou Institute of Biological Products 25%
2017 Botox Allergan (US) 40%
2020 Dysport Ipsen (France) 12%
2021 Letybo Hugel (South Korea) 10%
March 2024 Siaomei Merz Aesthetics (Germany) 6%
September 2024 Daxifei Revance (US) 5%
January 2026
Huons BP
Huons BP (South Korea)
2% (Target)
2.2 Judgment on Market Competition Trend

“Six-way Split” Pattern Broken:
With the addition of Huons BP, the market has officially entered the “Seven Competitors” stage. Notably, the number of newly approved products increased significantly in 2024 (Siaomei, Daxifei, Huons BP), indicating accelerated regulatory approval and further intensified competition in the industry[1].

Market Concentration Analysis:

  • Botox and Hengli together account for 65% of the market share, forming a duopoly pattern
  • Latecomers face challenges such as low brand awareness and intense price competition
  • The market is expected to show characteristics of “stable top players, reshuffling of mid-tier players” in the short term

III. Strategic Value Assessment
3.1 Product Synergy Effect

Bloomage Biotech’s core advantage lies in its market position in the hyaluronic acid filler segment. The introduction of the botulinum toxin product enables a

“Filling + Wrinkle Removal” integrated solution
:

Synergy Dimension Specific Performance
Product Portfolio Hyaluronic Acid (Filling & Shaping) + Botulinum Toxin (Dynamic Wrinkle Removal)
Channel Sharing Reuse of sales network covering over 3,000 medical aesthetic institutions
Customer Value Increase customer lifetime value and achieve cross-selling
Physician Training Integrated training programs enhance customer stickiness
3.2 Growth Potential Analysis

Market Size Comparison:

Product Category 2024 Market Size 2024 Growth Rate 2026E Market Size
Hyaluronic Acid RMB 26.9 billion 12% RMB 31.5 billion
Botulinum Toxin RMB 10 billion
25%
RMB 15.5 billion
Collagen RMB 6 billion 45% RMB 11.5 billion

Potential Calculation of Bloomage Biotech’s Botulinum Toxin Business:

  • If it captures 5-8% of the market share (conservative estimate)
  • Corresponding revenue scale:
    RMB 500 million to 1.2 billion per year
  • Compared to the 2024 revenue of RMB 1.657 billion, it can contribute a
    30-72% revenue increment
3.3 Competitive Advantages
  1. Supply Chain Stability:
    Holds 25.4% equity in Huons BP, ensuring supply security
  2. Product Validation:
    Huons BP’s Hutox (brand name Liztox in South Korea) was approved in South Korea in 2019 and has performed well in the market
  3. First-mover Channel Advantage:
    Relies on existing hyaluronic acid channels for rapid distribution
  4. Time Window:
    Easy to build brand awareness during the exclusive distribution period

IV. Risk Factors
4.1 Market Competition Risk
  • Price War Risk:
    With 7 products competing, terminal prices may decline
  • Brand Awareness:
    Latecomers need time to build consumer trust
  • Channel Competition:
    All products are competing for high-quality medical aesthetic institution resources
4.2 Policy and Compliance Risks
  • As a toxic drug, botulinum toxin is subject to strict regulation
  • High compliance costs and high risk of non-compliance
  • Long approval cycle and high uncertainty
4.3 Volume Expansion Cycle Risk
  • Training for medical institutions takes 3-6 months
  • Continuous investment is required for consumer education
  • Competitors have already made preemptive deployments, weakening the first-mover market advantage

V. Future Outlook and Investment Recommendations
5.1 Scenario Analysis
Scenario Assumptions 2027 Revenue Contribution Impact on Net Profit
Optimistic Captures 8% market share, 50% net profit margin RMB 1.2 billion +RMB 600 million
Neutral Captures 5% market share, 45% net profit margin RMB 800 million +RMB 360 million
Pessimistic Only captures 3% market share, 40% net profit margin RMB 500 million +RMB 200 million
5.2 Key Tracking Indicators
  • Quarterly sales data
  • Number of covered medical aesthetic institutions
  • Terminal retail price trends
  • Changes in market share
5.3 Conclusion

Great Strategic Significance, but Limited Short-term Contribution:
This transaction is an important milestone for Bloomage Biotech’s product pipeline diversification, effectively hedging the pressure of slowing growth in its hyaluronic acid business. The 25% growth rate of the botulinum toxin market is much higher than the 12% of hyaluronic acid, with good growth prospects. However, considering fierce market competition and the volume expansion cycle, the revenue contribution is expected to be limited in 2026, and performance is expected to be gradually realized in 2027.

Enhanced Long-term Competitive Advantage:
Through this deployment, Bloomage Biotech has upgraded from a single hyaluronic acid supplier to a “filling + wrinkle removal” integrated solution provider, widening its moat and improving its valuation logic.


References

[1] Sina Finance - “Is Red Sea Competition About to Begin? China’s 7th ‘Wrinkle Removal Wonder’ Goes to Bloomage Biotech” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2026-01-08/doc-inhfreqm6557595.shtml)

[2] Xinhua News Agency - “Leading Companies’ Profits Decline Successively: Has Hyaluronic Acid Become Outdated?” (http://www.news.cn/fashion/20250523/741877d530a8415ebdc480a124c2f4bf/c.html)

[3] Pharnex Cloud - “2024 Market Development Analysis Report on Medical Aesthetic Injectable Materials” (https://www.pharnexcloud.com/zixun/sd_39205)

[4] Gonyn Research - “2024-2030 China Botulinum Toxin Industry Panoramic Survey and Annual Market Research Report” (https://m.gonyn.com/pdf/26/92/1702692.pdf)

[5] Securities Market Weekly - “Demand Surges, Investment Gradually Concentrates: China’s Medical Aesthetic Market Races Toward a Trillion-Yuan Scale” (https://static.weeklyonstock.com/25/1126/zbf172227.html)

[6] Jinling AI - Company Financial Data API [0]

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.