In-Depth Analysis of Master Kong's Beverage Business: Dilemmas in Product Innovation and Paths to Breakthrough
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Based on the latest public information and market data, I will systematically analyze the challenges faced by Master Kong’s beverage business and the possible response strategies of Wei Hongcheng.
According to the H1 2025 financial report released by Master Kong Holdings (0322.HK), the company’s overall revenue reached RMB 40.092 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.7%, marking its first mid-term revenue decline since 2021 [1][2]. In this performance report, as the largest revenue contributor, the beverage business achieved revenue of RMB 26.359 billion, accounting for 65.70% of the total revenue; however, it declined by 2.6% year-on-year, also marking the first decline of this business in half-year and annual reports since 2021 [1][2].
From the perspective of specific categories, the three core categories of tea beverages, packaged water, and fruit juice declined by 6.3%, 6.0%, and 13.0% respectively, showing a situation of overall pressure [2]. Notably, despite the revenue decline, Master Kong’s net profit in H1 2025 reached RMB 2.271 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of over 20%, mainly driven by cost reduction and efficiency improvement brought by a 5.35% decrease in sales costs [3]. However, the sustainability of the “profit growth without revenue growth” model warrants caution.
Looking back at the performance trajectory of the beverage business since Wei Hongcheng took charge in 2019, the revenue of the beverage business grew steadily from 2019 to 2024: reaching RMB 35.6 billion, RMB 37.28 billion, RMB 44.802 billion, RMB 48.336 billion, RMB 50.939 billion, and RMB 51.621 billion respectively, with its proportion in total revenue gradually increasing from 57.44% to 64% [1]. In terms of profit, it increased from RMB 0.946 billion in 2019 to RMB 1.919 billion in 2024, and even reached RMB 1.335 billion in H1 2025, exceeding the full-year profit of 2023 and approaching the full-year profit level of 2022 [1]. This data indicates that Wei Hongcheng has indeed achieved remarkable results in improving the operational efficiency of the beverage business.
However, a growth inflection point has emerged. The downward trend in H1 2025 has sounded an alarm for the new CEO - how to reactivate the revenue growth engine while maintaining profits has become the primary issue facing Wei Hongcheng.
Sugar-free tea is one of the fastest-growing segments in China’s beverage market in recent years. According to data from iiMedia Research, the scale of China’s sugar-free tea industry was only RMB 2.26 billion in 2015, and soared to RMB 40.16 billion in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 48%, achieving an explosive year-on-year growth of 101.2% in 2023. It is expected that the market size will reach RMB 81.56 billion in 2028 [1]. This track has naturally become a must-compete arena for major beverage giants.
However, Master Kong faces severe structural disadvantages in this high-growth track. According to data from Mashangying, comparing the beverage peak seasons (April-September) of 2024 and 2025, the absolute market share of sugar-free ready-to-drink tea of “comprehensive beverage groups” including Master Kong has shrunk significantly; while established sugar-free tea enterprises such as Suntory have achieved a market share of over 86% in the 2025 peak season, showing strong market dominance [2]. In addition, according to a report from the China Tea Marketing Association, as of June 2025, Nongfu Spring’s market share in the sugar-free tea market increased by 10.94 percentage points year-on-year to 79.36%; while Suntory’s market share decreased by 6.96 percentage points year-on-year to approximately 20% [4].
This means that head brands represented by Nongfu Spring’s Oriental Leaf and Suntory Oolong Tea together occupy nearly 95% of the sugar-free tea market share, while Master Kong’s market share is less than 1/3 of Suntory’s, at around 6%-7% [2][4]. More severely, this data shows a downward trend, and Master Kong’s presence in the sugar-free tea market is being further diluted.
Master Kong started its layout in the sugar-free tea field relatively late and faces multiple competitive pressures. First, Nongfu Spring’s Oriental Leaf has already occupied a high ground in consumers’ minds with its clear positioning of “original leaf tea” and strong channel capabilities. Second, Suntory Oolong Tea has firmly held the high-end market for more than 20 years. Although its share has declined in recent years, its brand loyalty and channel advantages remain stable. In addition, new and old players such as Genki Forest and Coca-Cola have entered the track one after another, leading to high homogeneity in the track and a price war that could break out at any time. Although Master Kong has two product lines, “Pure Zero Sugar” and “Heir to Tea”, its fatal shortcomings are scattered product lines, insufficient brand voice, and vague consumer awareness [2].
The core dilemmas faced by Master Kong’s beverage business can be analyzed from three dimensions: product innovation, channel transformation, and brand trust.
However, this product matrix has obvious structural problems. First, the product lines are too scattered to form scale effects. Unlike Oriental Leaf which focuses on the single brand of “original leaf tea”, Master Kong’s sugar-free tea business lacks a unified brand strategy, with “Pure Zero Sugar” and “Heir to Tea” operating independently, diluting brand resources. Second, high-end products are difficult to achieve high sales volume. The “Heir to Tea” series is priced at RMB 9.9 per bottle. Although the limited-edition Oriental Beauty sugar-free tea launched in September 2025 sold out 50,000 bottles in 83 minutes on Douyin Live, showing certain market appeal, this scarcity marketing is difficult to replicate in regular product lines [1]. Third, product homogeneity is severe. The taste of Master Kong’s sugar-free tea is not significantly different from that of competitors, and it lacks distinct recognition in terms of raw materials, technology, and brand stories, making it easy to fall into price war competition.
Facing the above-mentioned dilemmas, Wei Hongcheng needs to carry out systematic restructuring at the strategic level. Based on industry trends and Master Kong’s resource endowments, the following strategies are worthy of key consideration.
Master Kong is in a critical strategic transition period. The shrinking trend of the instant noodle business is irreversible, and the growth engine of the beverage business is facing the risk of stalling. New CEO Wei Hongcheng is entrusted with the important task of revitalizing the “Master Kong” brand.
From the positive perspective, Master Kong still has profound brand accumulation, a huge channel network, and sufficient cash reserves, providing sufficient buffer space for strategic adjustments. The year-on-year net profit growth of over 20% in H1 2025 indicates that the company’s cost reduction and efficiency improvement have achieved initial results [3]. Although the revenue of the beverage business has declined, the profit level is still improving, showing the potential for business structure optimization.
From the challenge perspective, the competitive landscape of the sugar-free tea market has basically solidified, with Oriental Leaf and Suntory forming a duopoly. It is extremely difficult for Master Kong, as a latecomer, to break through. Reconstructing channel confidence and consumer trust takes time, and the evolution of the industry competition situation may not leave much breathing space for Master Kong.
Overall, whether Wei Hongcheng can reverse the dilemma depends on whether he can give correct answers to the following three key questions: How to make instant noodles “worth eating” again? How to build a truly recognizable brand in the red ocean of sugar-free tea? How to rebuild trust with distributors and consumers? There are no standard answers to these questions, but it is certain that Master Kong must break out of the traditional “comfort zone” and embrace consumption changes with a more open attitude to win back the market in the new round of competition.
[1] Sina Finance - “The Founder’s Son Takes Over as CEO: Can He Lead Master Kong to Break Through?” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/roll/2026-01-05/doc-inhfhavm2112371.shtml)
[2] Alpha Factory - “Master Kong’s Ambition in CEO Replacement: Core Business Decline, Return as King in 2026?” (https://news.qq.com/rain/a/20260107A07ACN00)
[3] Eastmoney - “Master Kong’s Ambition in CEO Replacement: Core Business Decline, Return as King in 2026?” (https://caifuhao.eastmoney.com/news/20260108102103173628650)
[4] 36Kr - “The ‘Domestic Brand’ Misrecognized by 84% of Chinese Sees Plummeting Profits: The… of Japanese Beverage Giants” (https://m.36kr.com/p/3613383587508741)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
