In-Depth Analysis of IKEA China's Closure of 7 Stores: Effects and Trends of Home Furnishing Retail's Shift to Online
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On January 7, 2026, IKEA China officially announced that it will close 7 offline stores starting from February 2, 2026, marking the largest network adjustment in its 26 years in the Chinese market since entering in 1998 [1][2][3]. The stores to be closed include:
| Store to be Closed | City | Features |
|---|---|---|
| IKEA Shanghai Baoshan Store | Shanghai | Suburban large store |
| IKEA Guangzhou Panyu Store | Guangzhou | Traditional ‘Blue Box’ model |
| IKEA Tianjin Zhongbei Store | Tianjin | Non-core business district |
| IKEA Nantong Store | Nantong | Second-tier city |
| IKEA Xuzhou Store | Xuzhou | Third-tier city |
| IKEA Ningbo Store | Ningbo | Eastern coastal city |
| IKEA Harbin Store | Harbin | Northeastern region |
After the closures, IKEA will still have 34 offline customer touchpoints, 3 self-owned digital channels (official website, APP, WeChat Mini Program) and 2 e-commerce platform flagship stores (Tmall, JD.com) in China [1][4].
-
Prolonged Downturn in the Real Estate Market
- China’s real estate market has entered a period of in-depth adjustment, directly impacting home furnishing consumption demand
- Demand for new home decoration has declined, and second-hand home renovation has become the main growth market
-
Profound Changes in Consumer Behavior
- Younger consumers prioritize efficiency and are accustomed to “comparing prices online, experiencing offline”
- Instant retail (30-minute delivery via Meituan, JD.com) has impacted traditional big-box stores
- Consumers’ sensitivity to time costs has increased significantly [5]
| Features of Traditional Model | Current Challenges |
|---|---|
| Large-scale stores located in suburban areas | Inconvenient transportation, high time cost |
| Mandatory circulation route design | Long walking distance, low experience efficiency |
| Heavy-asset operation | Declining per-square-meter efficiency, pressure on return on assets |
| Reliance on natural customer flow | Diversion by e-commerce, low customer conversion rate |
Taking IKEA Tianjin Zhongbei Store as an example, consumer observations found that although weekend customer flow data is decent, most are nearby residents coming for leisure and cooling off, while the actual conversion rate for large furniture is not high, showing the characteristic of “high customer flow, low conversion” [5].
- Rise of Domestic Brands: Cost-effective local home furnishing brands are expanding rapidly
- Price War Pressure: In the 2024-2025 fiscal year, IKEA launched over 500 low-priced products annually, and in the 2026 fiscal year, it will invest 160 million yuan to launch over 150 more low-priced products [1]
- Diversion by E-commerce Platforms: The home furnishing category on platforms such as Taobao, JD.com, and Pinduoduo has grown rapidly
IKEA’s onlineization process can be traced back to 2016, when online sales accounted for only about 4%. Since then, IKEA has accelerated its digital layout [6]:
| Year | Online Sales Share | Key Initiatives |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | ~4% | Initiated organizational structure adjustment |
| 2021 | ~26% | Full rollout of the IKEA APP |
| 2022 | ~22% | Launched AI design application IKEA Kreativ |
IKEA has established a complete omnichannel ecosystem:
- IKEA Official Website (Ikea.com)
- IKEA APP
- IKEA WeChat Shopping Mini Program
- Tmall Flagship Store
- JD.com Flagship Store (launched in 2025) [7]
- Significantly Expanded Coverage: Reached over 1 billion consumers through online channels
- Optimized Customer Acquisition Cost: Remarkable effect in online customer acquisition
- Experience Empowerment: Realized self-service scanning and checkout in offline stores via the APP
- Improved Distribution Network: “Online shopping, offline pickup” outlets have been set up in some regions
- Experience Limitations: Large furniture still requires offline experience, which cannot be fully replaced online
- High Logistics Costs: Distribution and installation of large home furnishing items remain pain points
- Traffic Dependence: The cost of acquiring traffic from e-commerce platforms continues to rise
IKEA clearly stated that it will shift from “scale expansion” to “precise deep cultivation”, and will open more than 10 small stores in Beijing and Shenzhen within the next two years [1][4]:
| New Store | Expected Opening Time | Positioning |
|---|---|---|
| IKEA Dongguan Store | February 2026 | Small store |
| IKEA Beijing Tongzhou Store | April 2026 | Small store |
- Community-based small stores with an area of approximately 300 square meters
- Focuses on one-on-one design and customization services
- Pilot Cities: Beijing, Shenzhen [1]
- Lower investment and greater flexibility for small stores
- Located in core business districts or near subway stations, with higher accessibility
- Complementary to the traditional “big-box” store matrix
- Digital Upgrading: Leveraging China’s advanced innovation ecosystem, collaborating with local partners in digitalization and automation
- Instant Retail Layout: Promoting supply chain and logistics automation to improve distribution and fulfillment efficiency
- Cost Control: Optimizing costs, enhancing efficiency, and reallocating resources
IKEA’s store closures are not an isolated case, but a microcosm of the systematic dilemmas faced by the entire home furnishing retail industry [5]:
- Red Star Macalline: Its heavy-asset model has encountered “backlash”, facing pressure from asset value revaluation
- Easyhome: It is also adjusting its store structure and exploring online-offline integration
- Industry Consensus: The traditional big-box store model is shifting from “scale supremacy” to “efficiency first”
| Trend | Specific Performance |
|---|---|
| Channel Diversification | Coexistence of small stores, pop-up stores, e-commerce, and social e-commerce |
| Experience Upgrade | Shifting from “selling products” to “selling solutions” |
| In-depth Digitalization | AI design, intelligent recommendation, virtual experience |
| Community-oriented Layout | Close to communities, shortening service radius |
| Green Transformation | Circular economy, buyback and resale |
Despite adjusting its store layout, IKEA clearly stated [7]:
- China remains one of the most important strategic markets
- Will continue to invest in the Chinese market
- Advance the “Growth+” strategy(Home Living Expert, Excellent Omnichannel Customer Experience, Agile and Efficient IKEA)
- Optimize Asset Efficiency: Close suburban big-box stores with low per-square-meter efficiency to improve overall return on investment
- Get Closer to Consumers: Reach target customer groups more closely through small stores and online channels
- Build Resilience: Establish a more adaptable business model amid economic uncertainty
- Competition in home furnishing retail has shifted from “number of outlets” to “operational efficiency”
- Omnichannel capability has become a core competitiveness
- Consumer experience and convenience are key battlefields
IKEA’s transformation practice shows that in the era of digitalization and profound changes in consumer behavior, traditional retailers must proactively seek change to maintain their advantages in the new competitive landscape.
[1] Interface News - “IKEA China is evaluating disposal plans for closed store plots, but may face difficulties in selling” (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3577886.html)
[2] Yahoo Finance - “IKEA to close seven China stores from February 2026” (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ikea-close-seven-china-stores-142102400.html)
[3] The Nation - “IKEA to shut seven large stores in China as it shifts to smaller formats” (https://www.nationthailand.com/business/corporate/40060932)
[4] Global Times - “IKEA restructures business in China, planning to shut down 7 malls, but launch over 10 small stores” (https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202601/1352549.shtml)
[5] New Yellow River/Hualong Net - “Behind IKEA’s Closure of 7 Stores: The Inflection Point for the Home Furnishing Big-Box Store Model” (https://www.cqnews.net/web/content_1458758117170282496.html)
[6] Cinda Securities Research Report - “Online IKEA: Similarities and Differences” (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202310091601102498_1.pdf)
[7] IKEA China Official Newsroom - “Building the Future with Resilience: IKEA China’s Statement on Adjusting Store Layout” (https://www.ikea.cn/cn/zh/newsroom/corporate-news/yi-ren-xing-gou-jian-wei-lai-yi-jia-zhong-guo-guan-yu-tiao-zheng-men-dian-bu-ju-de-shuo-ming--pubf0e5691a)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
