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Analysis of Iluvatar CoreX's Hong Kong Listing and Domestic GPU Industry Development

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January 9, 2026

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Analysis of Iluvatar CoreX's Hong Kong Listing and Domestic GPU Industry Development

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Based on the latest market data and industry trends, I have prepared this in-depth analysis report on the development of the domestic GPU industry for you.


Analysis of Iluvatar CoreX’s Hong Kong Listing and Domestic GPU Industry Development
I. Interpretation of Iluvatar CoreX’s First-Day HK Listing Performance

On January 8, 2026, Shanghai Iluvatar CoreX Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (Stock Code: 09903.HK) was officially listed on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, making it the second domestic GPU company to debut in the Hong Kong stock market[1][2].

First-Day Trading Performance:

  • Opening Performance
    : The opening price was HK$190.2, a sharp
    31.54%
    increase from the issue price of HK$144.6, reflecting a warm market response[1]
  • Midday Pullback
    : As of midday, the stock closed at HK$160.7, with the gain narrowing to
    11.13%
    , and the total market capitalization was approximately HK$41.3 billion[2]
  • Grey Market Performance
    : The gain reached 36%-37% in the grey market trading on January 7[3]
  • Subscription Status
    : The Hong Kong public offering received approximately
    414.24 times
    oversubscription, while the international offering received
    10.68 times
    oversubscription[1][2]

Fundraising and Investor Structure:

This IPO raised a total of HK$3.677 billion, with 18 cornerstone investors introduced, subscribing to a total of HK$1.583 billion. The cornerstone investor lineup includes industry leaders such as ZTE (Hong Kong) and 4Paradigm, as well as top domestic and international financial institutions like UBS, Fullgoal Fund, and China Asset Management[1].

II. Analysis of the Current Market Share of Top Domestic GPU Players

Based on the prospectuses and inquiry responses of multiple domestic GPU players, the market share of domestic GPU enterprises in the AI chip market is still relatively low:

Player Market Share Data Scope Remarks
Muxi ~1% 2024 China AI Accelerator Market Based on sales amount[4]
Moore Threads Less than 1% 2024 Domestic Market Segments AI intelligent computing products, graphics acceleration products, etc.[4]
Biren Technologies 0.16% 2024 China Intelligent Computing Chip Market [5]
Iluvatar CoreX 0.3% Domestic General-Purpose GPU Market [5]

Market Structure Comparison (2024):

Player Type Market Share Remarks
NVIDIA (Full-Featured GPU) 54.4% Ranked first in the domestic AI chip market[4]
HiSilicon (ASIC) 21.4% [4]
AMD (GPGPU) 15.3% [4]
Total of Other Domestic Players ~1% Including Muxi, Moore Threads, Biren Technologies, etc.[4]

This data indicates that although domestic GPU players are highly anticipated by the capital market for the rise of domestic AI chips, they are still in the early stage of large-scale commercialization, with a significant gap in market share[4][5].

III. Analysis of NVIDIA’s CUDA Ecosystem Barrier

The competitive barrier established by NVIDIA through its CUDA ecosystem is one of the core challenges faced by domestic GPU players.

Core Advantages of the CUDA Ecosystem:

  1. Nearly 20 Years of Continuous Investment
    : CUDA was officially launched in 2006, and NVIDIA has invested more than 20% of its revenue in ecosystem construction for 10 consecutive years[6][7]

  2. Vertical Integration of Software and Hardware
    :

    • The architecture is updated every two years, with CUDA updated simultaneously
    • As soon as a new card is launched, the entire suite including compilers, drivers, libraries, and the debugging tool Nsight becomes immediately available
    • Vertical optimization of software and hardware delivers “out-of-the-box” performance[6][7]
  3. Developer Ecosystem Barrier
    :

    • NVIDIA has established CUDA research centers in universities worldwide
    • Deeply participates in open-source community development
    • Millions of developers worldwide have become accustomed to the CUDA programming model[6][7]
  4. Market Share Monopoly
    : According to third-party data, NVIDIA holds
    94%
    of the global GPU market share in the AI and data center sectors in Q2 2025[6]

Reality of Migration Costs
: For customers, migrating from NVIDIA to domestic GPUs incurs costs far higher than purchasing new hardware, equivalent to rewriting the entire software stack[6][7].

IV. Strategic Paths to Break Through the CUDA Ecosystem Barrier

Facing NVIDIA’s ecosystem barrier, domestic GPU players are exploring multiple breakthrough paths:

1. Heterogeneous Mixed Training Strategy

Heterogeneous mixed training refers to breaking brand barriers in a computing cluster by simultaneously using NVIDIA, Huawei, Cambricon, and other domestic GPUs to create a highly compatible and engineering-robust computing environment[6][7].

Core Logic
: Shifting from “replacing NVIDIA” to “coexisting and collaborating with NVIDIA” is the most realistic breakthrough path in the short to medium term. This strategy reduces customers’ migration risks and provides domestic GPUs with a market entry point.

2. Compatibility Layer Technical Route

Currently, multiple domestic GPU players adopt the approach of supporting a CUDA-compatible layer in their own chip architectures. Although this “compatibility” approach only scratches the surface of ecosystem breakthroughs, it can reduce developers’ learning costs and accelerate ecosystem migration[6][7].

Limitations
: This approach cannot fundamentally shake CUDA’s dominant position in the ecosystem and may face legal and patent risks.

3. Full-Stack Independent R&D of Software and Hardware

Players represented by Iluvatar CoreX adhere to the full-stack independent R&D route for software and hardware, building independent software stacks and AI computing power solutions[1].

Iluvatar CoreX Model
:

  • R&D and commercialization of general-purpose GPU chips and accelerator cards
  • Construction of proprietary software stacks and AI computing power solutions
  • Practical deployment covering key fields such as finance, healthcare, transportation, and manufacturing
  • As of June 30, 2025, cumulative shipments have exceeded 52,000 units, and the number of served customers has jumped from 22 in 2022 to 290[1]
4. Differentiated Scenario Breakthroughs

Different players have chosen different technical routes and market strategies:

Player Technical Route Market Strategy
Moore Threads AI Training-Inference Integrated Chips + Graphics Chips + AI SoC Diversified scenario implementation, cooperation with AI startups[7]
Muxi Data Center and High-Performance Computing Partnering with large B-end customers such as H3C, focusing on large-scale B-end business first[7]
Iluvatar CoreX Full-Stack General-Purpose GPU Solutions Coverage of multiple fields including finance, healthcare, transportation, and manufacturing[1]
Biren Technologies Data Center-Grade GPUs Targeted at large model training and inference scenarios
V. Financial Data and Commercialization Progress
Revenue Growth Trend
Player 2022 Revenue 2023 Revenue 2024 Revenue Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
Iluvatar CoreX RMB 189 million - RMB 540 million 68.8%[1]
Moore Threads RMB 46 million RMB 124 million RMB 438 million -
Muxi RMB 426,400 RMB 53.02 million RMB 743 million -
Biren Technologies RMB 499,000 RMB 62.03 million RMB 337 million -
Profitability Challenges

All domestic GPU players are currently in a loss-making state:

  • Moore Threads
    : Accumulated losses of RMB 5.005 billion from 2022 to 2024[4]
  • Muxi
    : Accumulated losses of over RMB 3.2 billion from 2022 to 2024[4]
  • Biren Technologies
    : Accumulated losses of RMB 4.75 billion from 2022 to 2024[4]
  • Iluvatar CoreX
    : Accumulated losses of over RMB 2.2 billion in three years[5]

High R&D expenses are the main reason for the losses:

  • Moore Threads’ R&D expenses accounted for
    309.88%
    of its revenue in 2024[4]
  • Biren Technologies’ R&D expenses accounted for
    245.5%
    of its annual revenue in 2024[4]
Customer Concentration and Market Expansion

Domestic GPU players face the issue of high customer concentration:

  • In 2024, the revenue from the top five customers accounted for over
    70%
    of total revenue for Muxi, Biren Technologies, Moore Threads, and Iluvatar CoreX[5]
  • Customer structure changes frequently; only one of Muxi’s top five customers in 2024 remained in its top five list in Q1 2025[5]
VI. Industry Development Outlook and Investment Recommendations
Market Development Trends

According to industry forecasts, the market share of domestic general-purpose GPUs (calculated by shipment volume) has increased from 8.3% in 2022 to 17.4% in 2024, and is expected to exceed

50%
by 2029[1]. Behind this accelerated replacement is the continuous realization of the logic of “demand-driven - technological breakthrough - commercial verification”.

Key Success Factors
  1. Breakthrough in Manufacturing Capability
    : High-end chip production capacity and yield control are key bottlenecks, requiring collaborative breakthroughs in the domestic foundry industry chain[6]

  2. Software Ecosystem Construction
    : Referencing Google’s TPU experience, software ecosystem construction requires continuous investment from an engineering team of over 2,000 people[6][7]

  3. Differentiated Competitive Advantage
    : Establish technological leadership and cost advantages in specific vertical scenarios

  4. Policy Support
    : The policy orientation of domestic substitution provides continuous impetus for industry development

Risk Warnings
  1. Supply Chain Risk
    : Restrictions on advanced process foundry may affect product iteration
  2. Market Competition Risk
    : NVIDIA continues to innovate, and competitors such as Huawei are also accelerating their layout
  3. Commercialization Risk
    : Cash flow management is crucial amid sustained losses
  4. Valuation Risk
    : The market value of some companies has deviated from fundamentals, leading to potential correction risks

References

[1] Securities Times Network - “China’s First General-Purpose GPU Player Iluvatar CoreX Officially Lists on HKEX, Opening Up 31.54%” (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3578078.html)

[2] Eastmoney - “Iluvatar CoreX Rings the Bell on HKEX: What Gives This Shanghai GPU Player Confidence?” (https://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202601083612718026.html)

[3] Caixin - “Domestic GPU Player Iluvatar CoreX Opens Over 30% Higher on First Day of HK Listing” (https://companies.caixin.com/2026-01-08/102401588.html)

[4] Securities Times - “Domestic GPU Players Race to List, None Have Exceeded 1% Market Share” (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3546594.html)

[5] Yicai Global - “Year-End Review: Domestic Computing Power Underpins the Surge of GPU New Stocks in the Capital Market” (https://www.yicai.com/news/102976152.html)

[6] Huxiu - “China’s NVIDIA-like Players List One After Another, But the Test for Domestic GPUs Has Just Begun” (https://m.huxiu.com/article/4819351.html)

[7] Sina Finance - “Breaking Through in 2025: Domestic GPUs List Collectively, What’s Next?” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/relnews/cn/2025-12-09/doc-inhaeyuc1398122.shtml)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.