Warning Analysis of the Sustainability of CHAGEE's Franchise Model Amid Food Safety Incident
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Based on the collected information, I will provide you with a systematic analysis of CHAGEE’s food safety incident and the sustainability of its franchise model.
On the evening of January 5, 2026, a video of a staff member making milk tea without wearing gloves at CHAGEE’s store at Longwen Baolong Plaza in Zhangzhou, Fujian went viral online. The video shows the staff member squeezing lemon slices by hand on the workbench, directly reaching into the cup to stir the milk tea, and wiping liquid spilled on the counter back into the cup[1][2]. The incident quickly topped Weibo’s hot search list and triggered strong reactions from consumers.
CHAGEE released a survey and disposal notice the next day, characterizing the incident as
CHAGEE adopts a business model of “flagship product + minimalist supply chain + franchise expansion”. As of Q3 2025, the number of global stores reached 7,338, of which 6,971 are franchise stores, accounting for approximately 95%[4][5]. However, financial data shows a continuous downward trend:
| Indicator | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Same-store Monthly Average GMV (RMB 10,000) | 52.80 | 45.60 | 43.20 | 40.44 | 37.85 |
| YoY Change | - | -13.6% | -18.1% | -23.0% | -28.3% |
CHAGEE’s franchise system exhibits typical
- Imbalanced Cost Structure: Franchisees bear high upfront investment (transfer fees in some cities once exceeded RMB 1 million), and the payback period has extended from the early “calculated in months” to “starting at one year”[4][5]
- Risk Transmission Mechanism: When the brand faces negative public opinion, frontline franchisees directly bear the pressure of customer flow loss and cash flow strain
- Interest Distribution Game: The shift from the “landlord-tenant” model to the “partner” model reflects the brand’s attempt to share risks[4]
Although CHAGEE characterized the incident as an “isolated staged video”, from an industry perspective, this incident exposes the common management challenges under the franchise model:
| Management Dimension | Problem Performance | Potential Risk |
|---|---|---|
Personnel Training |
Staff have weak food safety awareness and insufficient compliance with operating standards | It is difficult to unify the implementation of operational standardization across thousands of stores |
Daily Supervision |
Stores have “room for manipulation”, and employees have time to engage in non-standard behaviors | The monitoring system is ineffective, and the inspection mechanism fails |
Incentive Mechanism |
The motivation to “gain traffic” reflects that store employees focus on traffic rather than service quality | There may be deviations in the assessment system |
Supply Chain End |
Loopholes in the management of damaged discarded materials provide a “gray area” for irregular operations | There are breaks in the full-life-cycle management of materials |
CHAGEE expanded from about 5,000 stores to more than 7,300 stores within 18 months, with an annual growth rate of over 25%[4][5]. This “scale-first” growth strategy brings the following hidden dangers:
- Diluted Management Resources: Rapid store expansion makes it difficult to keep up with the deployment of supervisors, trainers, and management personnel
- Lowered Franchisee Screening Standards: In order to achieve expansion targets, the qualification review of franchisees may be relaxed
- Distorted Implementation of Standards: Headquarters policies are distorted in the layered transmission process, and implementation intensity decreases
- Diminishing Marginal Returns: New stores divert customer flow from existing stores, and the profitability of individual stores continues to be under pressure
As industry analysts pointed out:
| Dimension | Current Status | Warning Significance |
|---|---|---|
Product Strategy |
Over-reliance on the flagship product “Boya Juexian”, slow product innovation | Homogeneous competition weakens the brand moat, and repeat purchase rates are under pressure |
Supply Chain |
The minimalist supply chain was once an advantage, but now it has become an innovation bottleneck | It is difficult to support the development of multiple categories, and competitors can quickly copy the positioning strategy |
Channel Strategy |
Continued expansion despite a saturated market | Excessive density leads to “involution” among franchisees, and individual store revenue continues to decline |
Brand Aging |
Consumers complain that “there have been no new products in half a year”[4] | User attrition accelerates, and the decline in active members verifies this trend |
The food safety incident puts forward the following warnings for the sustainability of the franchise model:
- Operating Specifications: It is necessary to establish a full-process SOP, and reduce the risk of human error through technical means (such as automated tea-making equipment to achieve “separation of personnel and materials”)[1]
- Inspection Mechanism: Shift from “post-incident accountability” to “real-time monitoring”, and introduce technical means such as AI visual recognition for compliance detection
- Material Management: The destruction process of damaged discarded materials requires stricter supervision to prevent it from becoming a management loophole
- Training System: Establish a continuous food safety training mechanism to ensure that every employee understands the logic behind the specifications
- Incentive Mechanism: Directly link food safety assessment with performance and promotion to avoid the orientation of “prioritizing performance over safety”
- Culture Building: Shape a corporate culture where “food safety is an untouchable bottom line”, rather than just staying at the slogan level
- Response Speed: CHAGEE’s release of a statement within a few hours demonstrated basic crisis response capabilities
- Information Transparency: Although characterizing the incident as a “staged video” in the statement avoids legal risks, it is difficult to fully convince consumers emotionally[3]
- Trust Restoration: It is necessary to rebuild trust through mechanisms such as third-party audits and consumer open days, rather than relying solely on internal investigations
Franchise models in the new tea drink industry generally face similar difficulties:
| Brand | Problem Performance | Response Strategy |
|---|---|---|
HEYTEA |
High franchise costs (upfront investment can reach RMB 1 million), payback period extended to more than 18 months, store closure rates increased in some regions | Suspended franchising in 2026, emphasizing “no longer participating in the number competition” |
CHABAIDAO |
Facing fierce price competition, franchisees’ profit margins are compressed | Expanded overseas to seek incremental markets |
GOODME |
Expanded in sinking markets, relying on cold chain logistics system support | Deepened supply chain construction and built a franchisee empowerment system |
CHAGEE’s food safety incident is not an accidental accident, but an
- Standardization Is the Cornerstone of the Franchise System: Food safety operating specifications must cover the entire chain from raw materials to finished products, and omissions in any link may be amplified into a brand crisis
- Personnel Management Is the Biggest Variable: Store employees are the first interface between the brand and consumers, and their behaviors directly represent the brand image; training and supervision are indispensable
- Scale Expansion Must Be Synchronized with Capacity Building: The growth in the number of stores must be accompanied by the simultaneous upgrading of management capabilities, training systems, and supervisor networks; otherwise, “scale” will become a “burden”
- Crisis Prevention Is Better Than Crisis Response: Establishing a pre-positioned risk identification and early warning mechanism is more valuable than post-incident “tail-cutting survival” treatment
| Level | Recommended Measures |
|---|---|
Short-term |
Conduct a special food safety inspection of all stores, introduce third-party audits, and establish a rapid response mechanism for consumer complaints |
Mid-term |
Upgrade the personnel training system, introduce digital monitoring technology, and optimize franchisee screening and assessment standards |
Long-term |
Shift from “scale-driven” to “efficiency-driven”, redefine the relationship with franchisees, and shift from “brand authorization” to “value co-creation” |
[1] Securities Times - “#1 on Hot Search! “Hand-made Milk Tea” Sparks Controversy, CHAGEE’s Latest Response” (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3573858.html)
[2] Lianhe Zaobao - “Video of CHAGEE Staff Stirring Milk Tea Bare-handed Goes Viral, Store Closed” (https://www.zaobao.com.sg/realtime/china/story20260106-8059287)
[3] East Money - Caifuhao - “Store Closed, Staff Dismissed! After Performance Decline, CHAGEE’s “Demotion” Was Triggered by a Staff Member” (https://caifuhao.eastmoney.com/news/20260106213323118060090)
[4] Jiemian News - “CHAGEE, Which Has “Flatlined”, Cannot Rely on “Boya Juexian” Alone” (https://www.jiemian.com/article/13791619.html)
[5] 36Kr - “CHAGEE’s Problem Is Not Caffeine” (https://m.36kr.com/p/3625061056545793)
[6] DoNews - “CHAGEE’s “Good News” Cannot Benefit Franchisees?” (https://www.donews.com/article/detail/5191/93742.html)
[7] 36Kr - “New Tea Drinks in 2026: Half Deep Sea, Half Open Ocean” (https://m.36kr.com/p/3626319079961091)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
