Ginlix AI
50% OFF

In-Depth Analysis Report on SAIC Motor's 2025 Sales Volume

#automotive #EV_new_energy #sales_data #market_analysis #corporate_strategy #China_auto #joint_venture
Mixed
A-Share
January 8, 2026

Unlock More Features

Login to access AI-powered analysis, deep research reports and more advanced features

In-Depth Analysis Report on SAIC Motor's 2025 Sales Volume

About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.

Related Stocks

600104
--
600104
--

Now I will provide you with a systematic and comprehensive in-depth analysis report on SAIC Motor’s 2025 sales volume.


In-Depth Analysis Report on SAIC Motor’s 2025 Sales Volume
I. Overview of Core Data
1. Annual Overall Performance

According to official data released by SAIC Motor, the company sold a total of

4.507 million vehicles
in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of
12.3%
, and its terminal retail sales reached
4.67 million units
, maintaining its leading position in China’s automotive industry [0][1]. This achievement is hard-won amid the complex and volatile market environment of 2025, demonstrating the development resilience of SAIC as China’s largest automotive group.

Indicator Value Year-on-Year Change
Annual Wholesale Vehicle Sales 4.507 million units +12.3%
Terminal Retail Sales 4.67 million units Maintained leading position
Self-Owned Brand Sales 2.928 million units +21.6%
Proportion of Self-Owned Brands 65% Increased by 5 percentage points
New Energy Vehicle Sales 1.643 million units +33.1%
Overseas Market Sales 1.071 million units +3.1%
2. Signal of Sales Decline in December

However, the single-month sales data for December 2025 has released a warning signal: the company sold

399,400 vehicles
in the month, a year-on-year decline of
17.3%
[0][2]. This decline rate is significantly higher than the industry average, and it is a rare month of negative growth throughout the year.


II. Multi-Dimensional Interpretation of December Sales Decline
1. Structural Differentiation: “Two Extremes” Between Self-Owned and Joint Ventures
Outstanding Performance of Self-Owned Brands
  • SAIC Passenger Vehicle Co., Ltd.
    : Sold 96,951 units in December, with a year-on-year increase of
    25.23%
    , and a full-year increase of
    25.42%
    [0]
  • SAIC Maxus
    : Sold 17,451 units in December, with a year-on-year increase of
    84.45%
    , and a full-year increase of
    25.14%
    [0]
  • IM Motors
    : Sold 11,818 units in December, with a year-on-year increase of
    47.67%
    , and a full-year increase of
    23.68%
    [0]
Continued Pressure on Joint Ventures
  • SAIC Volkswagen
    : Sold 87,870 units in December, with a year-on-year decline of
    32.40%
    , and a full-year decline of
    10.81%
    [0][2]
  • SAIC General Motors
    : Sold 47,750 units in December, with a year-on-year decline of
    25.41%
    , and a full-year increase of
    22.99%
    [0]
  • SAIC-GM-Wuling
    : Sold 123,372 units in December, with a year-on-year decline of
    31.29%
    , and a full-year increase of
    20.52%
    [0]

Key Insight
: The sales decline in December was mainly caused by
a sharp decline in joint venture brands
, while self-owned brands achieved strong growth instead. This reflects that the transformation pains of SAIC Motor, characterized by “the rise of self-owned brands and pressure on joint ventures”, are intensifying.

2. Underlying Reasons for the Sustained Decline of Joint Ventures
(1) Structural Transformation of the Market

China’s automotive market is undergoing a historic transformation from “joint venture-led” to “self-owned brand-led”. In 2025, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles continued to rise, and the market share of fuel vehicles was rapidly eroded, while joint venture brands lagged behind in electrification transformation [1][2].

(2) Pressure from Price Wars

The price war in the automotive market continued to intensify in 2025. Joint venture brands were forced to participate in price cuts to maintain market share, but their profitability was severely squeezed. SAIC Volkswagen has seen sales decline for three consecutive years, with full-year sales of only 1.024 million units in 2025 [2].

(3) Product Cycle Factors

Some joint venture brands are in the product replacement cycle, and sales have naturally declined during the transition between old and new models.

3. Seasonal Factors and Inventory Adjustments

As the final month of the year, automotive dealers typically carry out the following in December:

  • Inventory Clearance
    : Clear inventory to achieve annual targets
  • Annual Settlement
    : Part of the sales volume may be shifted to January of the following year
  • Production Capacity Adjustment
    : Year-end factory maintenance affects delivery rhythm

III. Strategic Significance of the 65% Proportion of Self-Owned Brands
1. Structural Breakthrough

In 2025, the proportion of SAIC’s self-owned brand sales reached

65%
, an increase of 5 percentage points compared to 2024 [0][1][3], which is a milestone structural breakthrough.

Year Proportion of Self-Owned Brands Proportion of Joint Ventures
2023 55% 45%
2024 60% 40%
2025 65% 35%

This change marks that SAIC Motor has officially shifted from a “joint venture-led” development model to a “self-owned brand-led” one.

2. Strong Growth Drivers of Self-Owned Brands
(1) Breakthroughs in New Energy Products
  • IM Motors
    : Cumulative full-year sales reached 81,000 units, with monthly sales exceeding 10,000 units for four consecutive months since September [1]
  • SAIC Passenger Vehicle
    : Full-year retail sales reached 919,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of over 12%, among which new energy retail sales increased by 22% year-on-year [1]
  • Wuling Hongguang MINIEV
    : Full-year sales reached 436,000 units, and it has ranked first in A00-class new energy vehicle sales for 65 consecutive months [1]
(2) Overseas Market Expansion
  • The MG brand’s sales in the European market exceeded
    300,000 units
    in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of nearly 30% [1][3]
  • SAIC’s cumulative overseas sales have exceeded 6 million units, with products and services available in more than 170 countries and regions around the world [3]
(3) Results of Integrated Management

SAIC implemented

integrated management
of its self-owned brand passenger vehicle and commercial vehicle businesses, connecting the entire chain of product definition, R&D, production, and marketing, making its organizational structure closer to user needs and more responsive to the market [0][3].


IV. Assessment of Reform Results and Strategic Transformation
1. Review of 2025 Reform Initiatives

According to an analysis by Phoenix Auto, SAIC Motor comprehensively deepened reforms in the following areas in 2025 [3]:

Reform Area Key Initiatives Results
Organizational Structure Integrated management of self-owned brands Improved decision-making efficiency
Technical Cooperation In-depth cooperation with CATL and Huawei Enhanced technical strength
Product Layout Intensive launch of new models Improved product matrix
Overseas Strategy Shift from “product export” to “standard export” Enhanced global competitiveness
User Operations Implementation of the “Know Cars, Know You Better” concept Increased user stickiness
2. Assessment of Reform Results
Positive Results

Optimized Sales Structure
: The proportion of self-owned brands increased to 65%, aligning with the general trend of electrification transformation
New Energy Breakthrough
: New energy vehicle sales reached 1.643 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 33.1%, hitting a record high [0][1]
Improved Profitability
: Net profit in the third quarter reached RMB 20.8 billion, a substantial year-on-year increase of 644.9% [3]
Stable Overseas Market
: Achieved breakthrough progress in the European market, with enhanced influence of the MG brand

Challenges Faced

⚠️

Continued Pressure on Joint Ventures
: SAIC Volkswagen has seen sales decline for three consecutive years, and transformation still takes time
⚠️
Quarterly Profit Fluctuations
: Although profit surged in the third quarter, full-year profitability remains to be seen
⚠️
December Sales Warning
: The sharp sales decline at the end of the year indicates that market pressure still exists


V. Signals Released by December Sales Decline and Outlook
1. Released Signals
Signal 1: Transformation Pains Will Continue

The sharp sales decline of joint venture brands in December (up to 32.4%) indicates that

the pain period of transformation from fuel vehicles to electric vehicles is still ongoing
, and the market pressure faced by joint venture brands will not disappear in the short term [2].

Signal 2: Structural Bull Market and Individual Stock Differentiation Coexist

Although SAIC achieved an overall growth of 12.3%, its internal structure shows a differentiation pattern of “strong self-owned brands, weak joint ventures”, indicating that

not all segments of SAIC can enjoy the growth dividends
, and investors need to pay attention to structural opportunities.

Signal 3: The Foundation for 2026 Growth Still Needs to Be Consolidated

The sharp sales decline at the end of the year may affect the start of 2026, and

inventory adjustment and production capacity optimization
will become important tasks at the beginning of the year.

2. 2026 Outlook
Positive Factors
  • The proportion of self-owned brands is expected to further increase to over 70%
  • The new energy vehicle sales target is expected to exceed 2 million units
  • The overseas market, especially the European market, is expected to continue to grow
  • Cooperation with technology companies such as Huawei may bring new product breakthroughs
Risk Factors
  • If joint venture brands continue to decline, it may affect overall profit performance
  • The price war in the automotive market may further intensify
  • Global supply chain uncertainties still exist
  • Fluctuations in consumer demand may affect sales performance

VI. Investment Value Assessment
1. Valuation Analysis

Based on the latest data, the current valuation of SAIC Motor (600104.SH) is as follows [0]:

Indicator Value Industry Comparison
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) 61.12x Relatively high
Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) 0.59x Relatively low
ROE 0.98% Relatively low
Net Profit Margin 0.43% Relatively low

Analysis
: SAIC Motor’s current P/B ratio is only 0.59x, which is in the historical low range, reflecting the market’s pricing of the uncertainty of traditional automotive companies’ transformation. However, from another perspective, this may also provide an
opportunity for value regression
.

2. Risks and Opportunities
Opportunities
  • Structural growth opportunities brought by the increase in the proportion of self-owned brands
  • Rapid growth of the new energy vehicle business
  • Valuation repair potential (P/B < 1)
  • Incremental space brought by overseas market expansion
Risks
  • Negative impact of the continued decline of joint venture brands
  • Industry price wars erode profits
  • Electrification transformation progress falls short of expectations
  • Macroeconomic fluctuations affect consumer demand

VII. Conclusions and Recommendations
Core Conclusions
  1. Initial Reform Results Achieved
    : SAIC Motor’s proportion of self-owned brands reached 65% in 2025, with new energy vehicle sales increasing by 33.1%, marking phased results in reform efforts [0][1].

  2. Intensified Structural Differentiation
    : The 17.3% sales decline in December was mainly caused by the sharp decline of joint venture brands, while self-owned brands achieved strong growth instead, showing obvious structural differentiation characteristics [0][2].

  3. Continued Transformation Pains
    : The market pressure faced by joint venture brands will not disappear in the short term, and SAIC needs to continue to promote transformation to cope with challenges [2][3].

  4. Medium- to Long-Term Value Promising
    : Driven by self-owned brands and new energy businesses, SAIC is expected to transform from “large but not strong” to “both large and strong”.

Investment Recommendations
  • Short-Term
    : Pay attention to the stabilization signals of joint venture brands and sales recovery at the beginning of the year
  • Medium-Term
    : Focus on structural opportunities brought by the increase in the proportion of self-owned brands
  • Long-Term
    : Monitor the progress of cooperation with technology companies such as Huawei and overseas market expansion

References

[0] SAIC Motor Official Sales Data (https://www.saicmotor.com/chinese/tzzgx/jbqk/xssj/index.shtml)

[1] Gasgoo - SAIC Motor’s 2025 Sales Exceed 4.5 Million Units (https://i.gasgoo.com/news/70441218.html)

[2] Aikahao - Sold 1.024 Million Units in 2025, Third Consecutive Year of Decline (https://aikahao.xcar.com.cn/item/3729528.html)

[3] Phoenix Auto - SAIC’s 2025: Overcoming Numerous Challenges (https://auto.ifeng.com/c/8pdtG0aXB3K)

[4] Shanghai Observer - SAIC Motor’s 2025 Wholesale Sales Exceed 4.5 Million Units (https://www.shobserver.com/staticsg/res/html/web/newsDetail.html?id=1046461&sid=11)

[5] Jiefang Daily - SAIC Releases 2025 Sales Data (https://www.jfdaily.com/news/detail?id=1046779)

Related Reading Recommendations
No recommended articles
Ask based on this news for deep analysis...
Alpha Deep Research
Auto Accept Plan

Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.