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In-Depth Analysis of the Impact of Storage Chip Price Hikes on Electronic Component Distributors

#storage_chip #price_increase #semiconductor_distribution #earnings #supply_demand #AI_demand #market_analysis #electronics_components
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January 7, 2026

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In-Depth Analysis of the Impact of Storage Chip Price Hikes on Electronic Component Distributors

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Based on in-depth market research and data analysis, I present to you an in-depth analysis report on

The Impact of Storage Chip Price Hikes on Shangluo Electronics and Electronic Component Distributors
.


In-Depth Analysis of the Impact of Storage Chip Price Hikes on Electronic Component Distributors
I. Overview of the Storage Chip Market and Price Hike Trend
1.1 Price Increases Hit a Record High

The 2025 global storage chip market witnessed an “epic” price hike. According to CFM data, the comprehensive DRAM price index surged 47.7% in the first half of 2025, while the comprehensive NAND Flash price index rose 9.2% [1]. Since October 2025, the cumulative price increase of 512Gb Flash Wafer has exceeded 20%, earning storage chips the nickname “gold bars” in the market [2].

Specifically, the DRAM price index rose from 100 in January 2024 to 290 in November 2025, representing a whopping 190% increase; the NAND price index rose 105% over the same period. In Q3 2025, DRAM prices soared 171.8% year-on-year, far outpacing the price increase of gold during the same period [1][2].

1.2 Supply-Demand Imbalance Drives Sustained Price Hikes

This price hike cycle is mainly driven by imbalances on both the supply and demand sides:

Supply-side Factors:

  • Samsung and SK Hynix, two storage giants, have raised the price of HBM3E for 2026, with an increase of nearly 20% [1]
  • HBM production capacity has significantly squeezed the supply of standard DRAM, as HBM consumes three times the wafer capacity of standard DRAM [3]
  • Storage manufacturers expect increased demand for 6th-generation HBM in 2026, and increased production capacity investment has led to a backlog of HBM3E production capacity
  • Capacity expansion takes 2-3 years, so the supply-demand gap cannot be filled in the short term [2]

Demand-side Factors:

  • Demand for AI data centers and servers continues to surge, with NVIDIA, Amazon, Google, and AMD accounting for 95% of HBM demand [1]
  • Domestic tech giants (Alibaba, Baidu, ByteDance, Tencent) have significantly increased capital expenditures to boost AI investment [1]
  • The dual resonance of demand from smartphones and servers is expected to drive another memory capacity upgrade for the iPhone in 2026 [1]
1.3 Institutional Expectations and Market Outlook
Institution Expectation
Bernstein The price uptrend may continue until the first half of 2026
Counterpoint Storage prices will rise another 20% in early next year
China Merchants Securities Expects DRAM and NAND capital expenditures to grow 14% and 5% respectively in 2026
AJ Securities The price hike cycle in the global storage chip market is expected to continue in 2026

II. Operational Analysis and Financial Performance of Shangluo Electronics
2.1 Company Business Structure

Shangluo Electronics (300975.SZ) is a leading authorized distributor of passive electronic components in China, mainly serving electronics manufacturers in application fields such as network communications, consumer electronics, automotive electronics, and industrial control [4].

Product Structure:

  • Passive electronic components
    : 42.93% share (capacitors, inductors, resistors, RF devices, etc.)
  • Active and other electronic components
    : 57.06% share (ICs, discrete devices, power devices, storage devices, connectors, etc.)

Advantages in Authorized Agency Qualifications:

Since its establishment, Shangluo Electronics has obtained authorized agency qualifications from over 100 well-known domestic and foreign original manufacturers, including TDK, Samsung Electro-Mechanics, Yageo, Sunlord Electronics, TE (Tyco), ChangXin Memory Technologies, Leshan Radio, GigaDevice, Nexperia, and SEMIKRON [5].

Storage Business Layout:

  • Has maintained partnerships with leading domestic storage original manufacturers such as GigaDevice and ChangXin Memory Technologies for over 5 years
  • Successfully obtained the authorized agency qualification for Kioxia Storage in 2025
  • Storage business accounts for approximately 25-30% of total revenue
  • Supplies storage chip products to data center and server clients
2.2 Financial Performance and Profitability

Shangluo Electronics achieved substantial growth in 2025, fully benefiting from AI demand and the bullish storage market:

Indicator First Three Quarters of 2025 Year-on-Year Change Full Year 2024
Operating Revenue RMB 6.189 billion +32.8% RMB 6.21 billion
Net Profit Attributable to Parent Company RMB 141 million +164.32% RMB 213 million
Net Profit Margin Approximately 6.3% Increased by about 3 percentage points Approximately 3.4%
Gross Profit Margin Approximately 17.8% Increased by about 2 percentage points Approximately 15.8%

Quarterly Performance:

  • Q3 2025: Main business revenue reached RMB 2.253 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26.55%
  • First half of 2025: Revenue increased 36.66% year-on-year
  • Net profit is expected to reach approximately RMB 520 million for the full year 2025, up from RMB 213 million in 2024 [5][6]
2.3 Drivers of Performance Growth

The company’s performance growth mainly stems from the following aspects:

  1. Forward-looking layout in the AI field
    : Drives business volume expansion; product lines such as storage, high-speed connection chips, MLCCs, power devices, and crystal oscillators are all core components for AI

  2. Capitalizing on the bullish storage market
    :

    • Stabilizes major client projects in smartphones, consumer electronics, and servers
    • Seizes the opportunity of DDR4 to DDR5 iteration and promotes the implementation of advanced process products
    • Leverages the shortage of eMMC and DDR4 to drive domestic substitution
  3. Product line expansion
    : Vigorously promotes product lines of domestic leaders such as Hisilicon, Spreadtrum, and Foream, as well as high-quality overseas product lines such as Murata, Novatek, and Silicon Motion


III. Analysis of the Upstream Cost Transmission Mechanism
3.1 Transmission Path and Mechanism

The transmission chain of storage chip price hikes is as follows:

Original Manufacturers (Samsung/SK Hynix/Micron) → Distributors (Shangluo/CePort/Yachuang) → End Clients (Server/Phone/PC Manufacturers) → Consumers

Transmission Mechanism:

  • Original Manufacturer Level
    : Storage manufacturers drive up prices through production cuts, volume control, and discontinuation of old products [2]
  • Distributor Level
    : Procurement costs rise, and agency agreement prices are adjusted in line with original manufacturers’ adjustments
  • Transmission Time
    : It takes about 1-2 months to complete price transmission from original manufacturers to end consumers, depending on inventory levels
3.2 Assessment of the Smoothness of Cost Transmission

Based on the analysis of each link, the smoothness of cost transmission shows a differentiated trend:

Assessment Dimension Score Analysis
Pricing Power of Upstream Original Manufacturers
9/10
Highly concentrated (top three manufacturers dominate), with extremely strong bargaining power
Inventory Management Capability of Distributors
7.5/10
Large distributors have buffer inventory to smooth out price fluctuations
Acceptance by Downstream End Clients
5.5/10
Low acceptance among small and medium-sized manufacturers; some have shut down early and are adopting a wait-and-see attitude
Demand Elasticity
6/10
Demand for AI servers is rigid, while demand for consumer electronics is more elastic
Competitive Landscape
7/10
Large distributors benefit, while small traders are under pressure and exit the market
3.3 Analysis of Transmission Characteristics

Short-Term Effects (1-3 Months):

  • Inventory appreciation brings one-time gains, and gross profit margin improves
  • Shangluo Electronics’ gross profit margin increased from approximately 15.8% to approximately 17.8%
  • Revenue scale expands (operating revenue in the first three quarters of 2025 increased 32.8% year-on-year)

Mid-Term Effects (3-6 Months):

  • Rising procurement costs are transmitted to the downstream
  • Price transmission is basically completed
  • Profitability tends to stabilize

Long-Term Effects (Over 6 Months):

  • Industry differentiation intensifies
  • Market share of large distributors increases
  • Small traders are under pressure and exit the market

IV. Impact on Agency Prices and Profitability
4.1 Agency Price Adjustment Mechanism

On an interactive platform, Shangluo Electronics stated that storage price hikes may drive adjustments to agency agreement prices, and the company will do a good job in demand matching and connection to ensure supply chain stability and cost control [5].

Characteristics of Agency Price Adjustments:

  • Original manufacturers usually notify price hikes in advance, giving distributors a 1-2 month buffer period
  • Large distributors, relying on long-term cooperative relationships, can adjust agency prices relatively smoothly
  • The adjustment range of agency prices is usually lower than the price increase of original manufacturers, allowing distributors to retain a certain profit margin
4.2 Analysis of Profitability Improvement

Changes in Gross Profit Margin:

  • 2024 gross profit margin: Approximately 15.8%
  • Q3 2025 gross profit margin: Approximately 17.8%, an increase of about 2 percentage points
  • The storage business accounts for approximately 25-30% of total revenue, contributing significantly to the overall gross profit margin

Changes in Net Profit Margin:

  • 2024 net profit margin: Approximately 3.4%
  • Net profit margin in the first three quarters of 2025: Approximately 6.3%, an increase of about 3 percentage points
  • Net profit surged 164.32% year-on-year, reflecting the dual effects of economies of scale and gross profit margin improvement
4.3 Industry Comparative Analysis
Company First Three Quarters of 2025 Revenue Year-on-Year Revenue Growth Net Profit Growth Gross Profit Margin Storage Business Share
Shangluo Electronics RMB 6.189 billion 32.8% 164.32% Approximately 17.8% Approximately 25-30%
CePort RMB 50.598 billion 33.29% 73.06% Relatively low 42.53%
Yachuang Electronics Approximately RMB 2.58 billion 28.5% 85.5% Approximately 15% Approximately 60%
Intelli-Tech RMB 3.773 billion 2.72% 15.2% Approximately 10% Storage business growing rapidly

Differentiation in Industry Profitability:

  • Shannon Xinchuang: The gross profit margin of its distribution business is only 2.43%, but it improves comprehensive profitability through the “distribution + independent R&D + investment” model [6]
  • CePort: Due to its high storage revenue share and relatively low gross profit margin, its net profit almost grew zero in 2024
  • Shangluo Electronics: Driven by both passive and active components, it has a relatively high gross profit margin and obvious improvement in profitability

V. Risk Factors and Industry Outlook
5.1 Main Risks

1. Risk of Declining End Client Acceptance

  • Some small and medium-sized end manufacturers dare not accept new orders or stock up due to inability to accept chip quotations
  • Some manufacturers have shut down early and are facing operational difficulties [2]

2. Risk of Price Correction

  • If storage prices fall from their highs, high-priced inventory will lead to losses
  • SMIC warns: Storage price hikes may squeeze the profits of complete machines and trigger a foundry price war [3]

3. Risk of Industry Speculation

  • During the craziest period from May to November 2025, prices changed daily, and there were many cases of earning millions in a few months by “flipping” scarce part numbers [2]
  • Information distortion and intentional price gouging occur from time to time
  • At the end of the year, some traders need to withdraw funds and take profits, so market speculation has subsided to some extent

4. Risk of Structural Differentiation

  • Demand differentiation drives the differentiation of manufacturers’ shipment structures, and the demand gap between AI servers and traditional servers widens
  • The largest downstream buyers of storage giants have shifted from consumer electronics to cloud service providers
5.2 Positive Factors

1. Sustained Growth in AI Demand

  • Structural demand is rigid, and demand for AI data centers and servers is surging
  • The iteration and upgrade of large models provide strong momentum for the growth of the AI computing power market

2. Opportunities for Domestic Substitution

  • Domestic manufacturers such as ChangXin Memory Technologies and GigaDevice are emerging
  • Shangluo Electronics leverages the shortage of eMMC and DDR4 to drive domestic substitution
  • Enhances distribution competitiveness

3. Expectation of Sustained Bullish Storage Market

  • Bernstein: The price uptrend may continue until the first half of 2026
  • Institutions generally expect storage prices to remain high in the first half of 2026
5.3 Industry Development Trends
  1. Upgrade of distributors’ roles
    : Transformation from pure distribution to the “distribution + independent R&D + investment” model
  2. Accelerated domestic substitution
    : Market share of local storage brands increases, and distributors deepen their binding with domestic original manufacturers
  3. Increased industry concentration
    : Large distributors continue to increase their market share by virtue of their authorized agency qualifications with original manufacturers and client resources
  4. Expansion of application fields
    : Emerging applications such as AI servers, data centers, and automotive electronics drive demand growth

VI. Conclusions and Investment Recommendations
6.1 Core Conclusions
  1. Storage chip price hikes are generally beneficial to distributors
    : Leading distributors such as Shangluo Electronics have fully benefited, achieving substantial performance growth
  2. Agency price transmission is basically smooth
    : It takes about 1-2 months to complete transmission, and large distributors can smooth out fluctuations through inventory management and client resources
  3. Profitability has improved significantly
    : Gross profit margin increased by about 2 percentage points, and net profit margin increased by about 3 percentage points
  4. Industry differentiation intensifies
    : Large distributors benefit significantly, while small traders are under pressure and exit the market
  5. There is still room for inertial price increases in the short term
    : Institutions expect the price uptrend to continue until the first half of 2026
6.2 Investment Recommendations

Focus Areas:

  • Large distributors with authorized agency qualifications with original manufacturers (e.g., Shangluo Electronics, CePort)
  • Enterprises with a high share of storage business and strong inventory management capabilities
  • Enterprises with leading layouts in AI server and data center businesses
  • Enterprises with comprehensive capabilities in “distribution + independent R&D + investment”

Risk Warnings:

  • Risk of price correction from high storage prices
  • End demand falling short of expectations
  • Intensified industry competition
  • Macroeconomic fluctuations affecting end consumption

References

[1] Sina Finance - “Market Soars as Storage Chip Giants Raise Quotations” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2025-12-24/doc-inhcxqhz9550627.shtml)

[2] 36Kr - “Memory Chips Are Skyrocketing, How to Break Through with Domestic Substitution?” (https://www.36kr.com/p/3627426660484352)

[3] EET China - “PCBs, Storage, Passive Components… All These Chip Giants Are Raising Prices!” (https://www.eet-china.com/mp/a458415.html)

[4] Jufeng Finance - “What Does Shangluo Electronics Do? What is Shangluo Electronics’ Main Business?” (https://baike.jfinfo.com/4046225.html)

[5] NetEase - “Storage Prices Skyrocket, These Chip Distributors Are Quietly Profiting” (https://www.163.com/dy/article/KGTAERLL05538D6M.html)

[6] Sina Finance - “Why Has Middleman Shannon Xinchuang Become a Star Stock?” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/roll/2025-12-10/doc-inhahnvi2239888.shtml)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.