Insider Trading Analysis Report on Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)
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According to the latest SEC filings, Alignment Healthcare experienced a wave of large-scale executive share sales between December 2025 and January 2026 [1][2][3]:
| Executive Name | Position | Sale Date | Number of Shares | Total Proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John E. Kao | CEO | December 2025 | 605,648 | $11,348,201 |
| Dawn Christine Maroney | President | December 2025 | 282,070 | $5,285,226 |
| Christopher J. Joyce | Chief Legal and Administrative Officer | December 8, 2025 | 19,706 | $380,905 |
| Christopher J. Joyce | Chief Legal and Administrative Officer | January 2, 2026 | 10,611 | $212,538 |
| Robert L. Scavo | Chief Information Officer | December 2025 | 69,541 | $1,303,009 |
| Hyong Kim | Chief Medical Officer | December 2025 | 12,694 | $237,851 |
- Joyce is a 10% owner of the company; following this sale, he still holds 297,088 shares, valued at approximately $5,950,673 [3]
- CEO John E. Kao sold the largest stake, though he still holds a significant number of shares
- This wave of share sales occurred when the company’s stock price was near its all-time high ($21.65, 52-week high)
The current stock price is $21.30, near the 52-week high of $21.65; the company demonstrated strong growth momentum in 2025 [0]:
| Metric | Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $4.26 Billion | Mid-sized Healthcare Company |
| Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio | 1.17x | Relatively Reasonable |
| EPS (TTM) | $-0.11 | Not Yet Profitable |
| ROE | -16.29% | Negative Shareholder Return |
| Net Profit Margin | -0.57% | In a Loss-making State |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.07% | Extremely Low |
| Current Ratio | 1.61 | Strong Short-term Solvency |
The company’s financial results for the last two quarters exceeded market expectations [0]:
- Q3 FY2025: EPS $0.02 vs. consensus estimate of $-0.01 (300% beat); revenue $993.7 million vs. consensus estimate of $980.9 million
- Q2 FY2025: EPS $0.07; revenue $1.02 billion
The company has demonstrated significant stock price growth [0]:
- 1-year gain: +88.16%
- 3-month gain: +24.49%
- 6-month gain: +62.10%
Based on technical indicator analysis [0]:
| Indicator | Value | Signal Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| MACD | Golden Cross | Bullish Signal |
| KDJ | K:76.0, D:61.7 | Bullish but Near Overbought |
| RSI (14) | Overbought Zone | Caution on Pullback Risk |
| Beta | 1.16 | Slightly Higher Volatility Than the Broad Market |
| Trend Status | Uptrend (Pending Confirmation) | Neutral-Bullish |
- Resistance Level: $21.65 (52-week high)
- Support Level: $19.81
- Next Target Level: $22.40
- Executives chose to sell and cash out when the stock price was near its all-time high, which is typically a negative signal
- Synchronized share sales by multiple insiders may be interpreted by the market as confirmation of short-term overvaluation
- The CEO sold $11 million worth of shares, and the President sold $5.3 million worth of shares——significant amount of share sales
- Joyce, a 10% owner, reduced his stake (from 323,886 shares to 297,088 shares, a 3.45% decrease) [3]
- The company is categorized as having an “aggressive” accounting policy, with limited room for profit growth [0]
- Free cash flow remains negative (-$6.648 million) [0]
- Despite the sales, executives still hold substantial shareholdings (Joyce still holds approximately $5.95 million worth of shares)
- This indicates they have not fully exited, maintaining alignment of interests
- Consensus Rating: Buy(14 out of 21 analysts recommend Buy) [0]
- JPMorgan upgraded its rating to Overweightin November 2025 [0]
- Baird recently stated that “there is no fundamental reason to sell” and views the company as a key beneficiaryof Medicare Advantage [2]
- Consecutive earnings beats in Q3 and Q2
- Clear trend of continuous revenue growth
| Risk Type | Level | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Insider Selling Risk | Medium-High |
Multiple executives sold shares at price highs |
| Valuation Risk | Medium-High | Near all-time high, with a P/S ratio of 1.17x |
| Profitability Risk | High | Still in a loss-making state |
| Technical Overbought Risk | Medium | RSI indicates short-term overbought condition |
The impact of insider sales on ALHC stock requires a
-
Short-term (1-3 months): Given the overbought technical condition and large-scale insider sales, the stock price may faceshort-term pullback pressure, with support at $19.81
-
Medium-term (3-6 months): If the company continues to demonstrate growth momentum and analysts maintain their bullish stance, the stock price is expected to break through the $21.65 resistance level, with a target of $22.40
-
Long-term: The company operates in the Medicare Advantage space, with potential for business growth, but its profit model has not yet been fully validated
- Risk-averse investors: May considerwaiting on the sidelinesand look to enter once the stock price pulls back to the $19-$20 range
- Risk-tolerant investors: If bullish on the healthcare industry and the Medicare Advantage space, mayinitiate a small positionwith a stop-loss set at $19.50
- Investors holding positions:Do not panic sell, but should closely monitor the upcoming Q4 earnings report to be released on February 26, 2026
Investors are advised to focus on the following items:
- Subsequent insider trading: Whether other executives sell shares, or if share repurchases occur
- Earnings report on February 26, 2026: FY2025 Q4 results (consensus EPS estimate of $-0.15) [0]
- Changes to Medicare Advantage policies: Industry regulatory developments may impact the company’s business
- Analyst target price adjustments: Whether institutions such as JPMorgan adjust their ratings due to insider trading
[1] TradingView - “Alignment Healthcare Executive Sells Shares” (https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:05fb1fa1b54ce:0-alignment-healthcare-executive-sells-shares/)
[2] TipRanks - “Top Alignment Healthcare Insiders Quietly Unload a Massive Chunk of Shares” (https://www.tipranks.com/news/insider-trading/top-alignment-healthcare-insiders-quietly-unload-a-massive-chunk-of-shares-insider-trading)
[3] MarketBeat - “Alignment Healthcare (NASDAQ:ALHC) Insider Sells $212,538.33 in Stock” (https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/alignment-healthcare-nasdaqalhc-insider-sells-21253833-in-stock-2026-01-06/)
[0] Jinling AI Financial Database (real-time market data, company profiles, technical analysis, financial analysis)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
