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Insider Trading Analysis Report on Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)

#insider_trading #healthcare #medicare_advantage #stock_analysis #executive_sales #earnings_beat #technical_analysis
Mixed
US Stock
January 7, 2026

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Insider Trading Analysis Report on Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)

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Insider Trading Analysis Report on Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)
1. Overview of Insider Sales

According to the latest SEC filings, Alignment Healthcare experienced a wave of large-scale executive share sales between December 2025 and January 2026 [1][2][3]:

Executive Name Position Sale Date Number of Shares Total Proceeds
John E. Kao CEO December 2025 605,648 $11,348,201
Dawn Christine Maroney President December 2025 282,070 $5,285,226
Christopher J. Joyce Chief Legal and Administrative Officer December 8, 2025 19,706 $380,905
Christopher J. Joyce Chief Legal and Administrative Officer January 2, 2026 10,611 $212,538
Robert L. Scavo Chief Information Officer December 2025 69,541 $1,303,009
Hyong Kim Chief Medical Officer December 2025 12,694 $237,851

Key Observations:

  • Joyce is a 10% owner of the company; following this sale, he still holds 297,088 shares, valued at approximately $5,950,673 [3]
  • CEO John E. Kao sold the largest stake, though he still holds a significant number of shares
  • This wave of share sales occurred when the company’s stock price was near its all-time high ($21.65, 52-week high)

2. Fundamental Analysis of the Company
Financial Performance

The current stock price is $21.30, near the 52-week high of $21.65; the company demonstrated strong growth momentum in 2025 [0]:

Metric Value Interpretation
Market Capitalization $4.26 Billion Mid-sized Healthcare Company
Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio 1.17x Relatively Reasonable
EPS (TTM) $-0.11 Not Yet Profitable
ROE -16.29% Negative Shareholder Return
Net Profit Margin -0.57% In a Loss-making State
Gross Profit Margin 0.07% Extremely Low
Current Ratio 1.61 Strong Short-term Solvency
Recent Earnings Beat Market Expectations

The company’s financial results for the last two quarters exceeded market expectations [0]:

  • Q3 FY2025
    : EPS $0.02 vs. consensus estimate of $-0.01 (300% beat); revenue $993.7 million vs. consensus estimate of $980.9 million
  • Q2 FY2025
    : EPS $0.07; revenue $1.02 billion
Growth Trends

The company has demonstrated significant stock price growth [0]:

  • 1-year gain:
    +88.16%
  • 3-month gain:
    +24.49%
  • 6-month gain:
    +62.10%

3. Technical Analysis Signals

Based on technical indicator analysis [0]:

Indicator Value Signal Interpretation
MACD Golden Cross
Bullish Signal
KDJ K:76.0, D:61.7
Bullish but Near Overbought
RSI (14) Overbought Zone
Caution on Pullback Risk
Beta 1.16 Slightly Higher Volatility Than the Broad Market
Trend Status Uptrend (Pending Confirmation) Neutral-Bullish

Key Price Levels:

  • Resistance Level
    : $21.65 (52-week high)
  • Support Level
    : $19.81
  • Next Target Level
    : $22.40

4. Analysis of the Investment Impact of Insider Sales
⚠️ Warning Signals

1. Timing Considerations

  • Executives chose to sell and cash out when the stock price was near its all-time high, which is typically a
    negative signal
  • Synchronized share sales by multiple insiders may be interpreted by the market as confirmation of short-term overvaluation

2. Scale of Share Sales

  • The CEO sold $11 million worth of shares, and the President sold $5.3 million worth of shares——
    significant amount of share sales
  • Joyce, a 10% owner, reduced his stake (from 323,886 shares to 297,088 shares, a 3.45% decrease) [3]

3. Financial Position

  • The company is categorized as having an “aggressive” accounting policy, with limited room for profit growth [0]
  • Free cash flow remains negative (-$6.648 million) [0]
Neutral/Bullish Factors

1. Retention of Significant Shareholdings

  • Despite the sales, executives still hold substantial shareholdings (Joyce still holds approximately $5.95 million worth of shares)
  • This indicates they have not fully exited, maintaining alignment of interests

2. Analysts Remain Bullish

  • Consensus Rating:
    Buy
    (14 out of 21 analysts recommend Buy) [0]
  • JPMorgan upgraded its rating to
    Overweight
    in November 2025 [0]
  • Baird recently stated that “there is no fundamental reason to sell” and views the company as a
    key beneficiary
    of Medicare Advantage [2]

3. Strong Business Fundamentals

  • Consecutive earnings beats in Q3 and Q2
  • Clear trend of continuous revenue growth

5. Investment Recommendations and Risk Warnings
Risk Assessment
Risk Type Level Description
Insider Selling Risk
Medium-High
Multiple executives sold shares at price highs
Valuation Risk Medium-High Near all-time high, with a P/S ratio of 1.17x
Profitability Risk High Still in a loss-making state
Technical Overbought Risk Medium RSI indicates short-term overbought condition
Comprehensive Judgment

The impact of insider sales on ALHC stock requires a

multi-perspective assessment
:

  1. Short-term (1-3 months)
    : Given the overbought technical condition and large-scale insider sales, the stock price may face
    short-term pullback pressure
    , with support at $19.81

  2. Medium-term (3-6 months)
    : If the company continues to demonstrate growth momentum and analysts maintain their bullish stance, the stock price is expected to break through the $21.65 resistance level, with a target of $22.40

  3. Long-term
    : The company operates in the Medicare Advantage space, with potential for business growth, but its profit model has not yet been fully validated

Investor Action Recommendations
  • Risk-averse investors
    : May consider
    waiting on the sidelines
    and look to enter once the stock price pulls back to the $19-$20 range
  • Risk-tolerant investors
    : If bullish on the healthcare industry and the Medicare Advantage space, may
    initiate a small position
    with a stop-loss set at $19.50
  • Investors holding positions
    :
    Do not panic sell
    , but should closely monitor the upcoming Q4 earnings report to be released on February 26, 2026

6. Key Monitoring Indicators

Investors are advised to focus on the following items:

  1. Subsequent insider trading
    : Whether other executives sell shares, or if share repurchases occur
  2. Earnings report on February 26, 2026
    : FY2025 Q4 results (consensus EPS estimate of $-0.15) [0]
  3. Changes to Medicare Advantage policies
    : Industry regulatory developments may impact the company’s business
  4. Analyst target price adjustments
    : Whether institutions such as JPMorgan adjust their ratings due to insider trading

References

[1] TradingView - “Alignment Healthcare Executive Sells Shares” (https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:05fb1fa1b54ce:0-alignment-healthcare-executive-sells-shares/)

[2] TipRanks - “Top Alignment Healthcare Insiders Quietly Unload a Massive Chunk of Shares” (https://www.tipranks.com/news/insider-trading/top-alignment-healthcare-insiders-quietly-unload-a-massive-chunk-of-shares-insider-trading)

[3] MarketBeat - “Alignment Healthcare (NASDAQ:ALHC) Insider Sells $212,538.33 in Stock” (https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/alignment-healthcare-nasdaqalhc-insider-sells-21253833-in-stock-2026-01-06/)

[0] Jinling AI Financial Database (real-time market data, company profiles, technical analysis, financial analysis)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.