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Analysis of the Impact of Share Reduction by the Actual Controller of Heliantai (002402.SZ) on Investment Value

#stock_reduction #controlling_shareholder #investment_analysis #smart_control #technology #valuation #growth_stock
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January 7, 2026

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Analysis of the Impact of Share Reduction by the Actual Controller of Heliantai (002402.SZ) on Investment Value

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Analysis of the Impact of Share Reduction by the Actual Controller of Heliantai (002402.SZ) on Investment Value

I. Core Information of the Share Reduction Announcement

According to Heliantai’s announcements dated January 6, 2026 [1][2], the company’s controlling shareholder, actual controller, chairman, and president Liu Jianwei plans to reduce his shareholding by no more than 18,417,800 shares, accounting for no more than 2% of the company’s total share capital (excluding shares in the share repurchase special account). The details are as follows:

Item Details
Share Reduction Subject
Liu Jianwei (Controlling Shareholder, Actual Controller, Chairman, President)
Current Shareholding
138,760,000 shares, accounting for 15.0673%
Planned Reduction Quantity
No more than 18,417,800 shares
Reduction Ratio
No more than 2%
Reduction Period
January 28, 2026 to April 27, 2026 (3 months)
Reduction Method
Concentrated bidding or block trading
Reason for Reduction
Repay pledged financing debts, personal capital needs [1][2]
Impact on Control
Will not lead to a change in control

II. Company Fundamental Analysis
1. Financial Performance

As a technology enterprise in the intelligent control field, Heliantai has shown strong growth in recent years [0]:

Profitability Indicators:

  • P/E Ratio (TTM):
    60.49x (in a relatively high valuation range)
  • P/B Ratio:
    7.04x
  • ROE (Return on Equity):
    12.35%
  • Net Profit Margin:
    5.63%
  • Operating Profit Margin:
    6.90%

Financial Health Status:

  • Current Ratio:
    1.44 (good short-term solvency)
  • Quick Ratio:
    1.05
  • Debt Risk Rating:
    Low risk [0]
  • Financial Stance:
    Neutral (no extreme aggressive or conservative accounting treatments)

Profitability Trend:

Reporting Period EPS Revenue (USD 100 million)
Q3 2025 $0.27 $28.1
Q1 2025 $0.18 $25.9
Q4 2024 $0.01 $26.2
Q3 2024 $0.17 $24.7

The latest quarterly financial report shows that profitability continues to improve, with revenue increasing by approximately 14% year-on-year.

2. Valuation Level Assessment

The current P/E ratio of 60x is significantly higher than the industry average, and the following factors need attention:

Supporting Factors for High Valuation:

  • The stock price has risen by 148.23% in the past year, reflecting the market’s high recognition of the company’s growth potential [0]
  • The intelligent controller industry benefits from the development of emerging fields such as the Internet of Things (IoT) and smart homes
  • The company’s leading technological position in the industry

Risk Factors for High Valuation:

  • The stock price has fallen by approximately 33% from the 52-week high of $60.71, indicating pressure for valuation correction [0]
  • The latest free cash flow figure is negative (approximately -$200 million), and the conversion of profitability into cash flow remains to be observed [0]

III. Stock Price Performance and Technical Analysis
1. Long-term Stock Price Performance

Heliantai Stock Price Chart

Heliantai has shown an amazing growth performance in the past year and a half [0][3]:

Period Price Change
1 Year
+148.23%
6 Months
+81.34%
3 Months
-19.80%
1 Month
-15.33%
3 Years
+166.08%
5 Years
+123.31%

Since the low point in August 2024, the stock price has increased by more than 338% cumulatively [3].

2. Recent Technical Indicator Analysis

Price Position:

  • Current Stock Price: $40.71
  • 20-day Moving Average: $40.61 (stock price is slightly above the short-term moving average) [3]
  • 50-day Moving Average: $46.23 (stock price is approximately 12% below the medium-term moving average)
  • 200-day Moving Average: $32.31 (stock price is approximately 26% above the long-term moving average) [3]

Key Technical Signals:

Indicator Value Signal Interpretation
KDJ K:64.1, D:52.9, J:86.6
Bullish Bias
MACD No Death Cross Bullish Bias
RSI Normal Range No Overbought/Oversold
Beta 0.76 Relatively low volatility compared to the market
Support Level $39.81 Strong short-term support
Resistance Level $41.61 Selling pressure exists above

Trend Judgment:
The stock price is in a sideways consolidation phase (range of $39.81-$41.61), with no clear trend direction [0].


IV. Analysis of the Impact of Controlling Shareholder’s Share Reduction on Investment Value
1. Positive Interpretations of the Share Reduction

Factor 1: Clear Reason for Reduction

  • The announcement clearly states that the purpose of the reduction is “repaying pledged financing debts and meeting personal capital needs” [1][2], rather than a negative view on the company’s development prospects
  • Repaying pledged debts helps reduce the risk of equity pledges and improves the transparency of corporate governance

Factor 2: No Impact on Control

  • After the reduction, Liu Jianwei’s shareholding ratio will remain above 13% [1], and the company’s control structure will remain stable
  • The announcement clearly promises that “it will not lead to a change in the company’s control” [1]

Factor 3: Relatively Controllable Reduction Ratio

  • The 2% reduction ratio is within market expectations and will not cause huge selling pressure on the stock price
  • The reduction will be completed over 3 months, giving the market sufficient time to absorb the impact
2. Negative Risks of the Share Reduction

Risk 1: Market Psychological Pressure

  • Share reduction by the actual controller is usually interpreted as a signal of “insufficient confidence from insiders”, which may trigger short-term selling
  • The company’s stock price has already corrected by approximately 33% from its high point, and the share reduction announcement may intensify the adjustment pressure

Risk 2: Valuation Regression Pressure

  • The current 60x P/E is at a historical high, and the controlling shareholder’s share reduction may trigger a downward shift in the valuation center
  • Share reduction at a high level may strengthen the market’s perception that the company is “overvalued”

Risk 3: Impact on Capital Side

  • Based on the current price of $40, the cash from selling 18,417,800 shares will be approximately RMB 740 million
  • Large-scale share reduction may put pressure on short-term liquidity
3. Reference from Historical Cases

From market experience, the impact of controlling shareholder’s share reduction on stock price usually follows the following rules:

Stock Price Position Before Reduction Impact After Reduction
At historical high High probability of decline
In a reasonable valuation range Limited impact
Supported by performance The stock price is expected to stabilize after correction

Heliantai is currently at a relatively low level after correcting from its high point, and the company’s fundamentals remain stable. It is expected that the impact of the share reduction will be relatively controllable.


V. Comprehensive Evaluation of Investment Value
1. Core Investment Highlights
Dimension Evaluation
Growth
Revenue and profit have maintained double-digit growth in the past year
Industry Prospects
Intelligent controllers benefit from emerging fields such as AIoT, smart homes, and automotive electronics
Financial Health
Low debt risk, sufficient liquidity
Technological Barriers
Leading technological advantages in the segmented field
2. Main Risk Warnings
Risk Type Risk Description
Valuation Risk
The 60x P/E is at a historical high, with potential correction risk
Reduction Pressure
The controlling shareholder’s share reduction may trigger short-term selling
Market Sentiment
The overall valuation of technology stocks is greatly affected by the macro environment
Performance Volatility
Quarterly earnings fluctuate significantly, and stability needs to be improved
3. Investment Recommendations

For Different Types of Investors:

Investor Type Recommendation
Short-term Investors
Should remain cautious during the reduction period (January 28 to April 27), and consider participating based on market reactions after the reduction is completed
Medium-term Investors
May gradually build positions when the price pulls back to the $39-$40 range, with a stop-loss set at $37
Long-term Investors
If optimistic about the company’s long-term growth logic, may deploy in batches after the pullback, and set a long-term trailing stop-loss

Operation Strategy:

  • Entry Timing:
    Wait for the controlling shareholder’s reduction plan to be implemented, and enter when the stock price stabilizes above the support level of $39.81
  • Target Price:
    Short-term rebound target of $44-$46, medium-term target of $55-$60
  • Stop-loss Setting:
    Stop loss if the price breaks below $37 to control downward risks

VI. Conclusion

Liu Jianwei, the actual controller of Heliantai, plans to reduce his shareholding by no more than 2%, and the impact on the company’s investment value is

negative in the short term, positive in the long term
:

  1. Short-term Impact (Negative but Limited):
    The share reduction announcement may put pressure on the short-term stock price, but given the clear reason for the reduction, unchanged control, and moderate reduction ratio, the impact is expected to be limited.

  2. Medium-term Impact (Neutral Bias):
    After the reduction is completed, market sentiment is expected to gradually recover, and the company’s fundamentals will remain the core factor determining the stock price.

  3. Long-term Impact (Positive):
    The actual controller’s repayment of pledged debts through share reduction helps reduce corporate governance risks. If the company can maintain a good growth momentum, the stock price still has upside potential.

Investors should focus on the

market reaction after the reduction starts on January 28, 2026
, as well as the company’s subsequent performance and business progress.


References

[1] Eastmoney - Heliantai: Liu Jianwei Plans to Reduce Shareholding by No More Than 2% (https://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202601063610355444.html)

[2] Yicai - Heliantai: Controlling Shareholder Liu Jianwei Plans to Reduce Shareholding by No More Than 2% (https://www.yicai.com/brief/102989926.html)

[3] Caizhongshe - [Announcement Summary] List of Share Reductions by Listed Companies on January 6 (https://m.caizhongshe.cn/news-7414282573000144203.html)

[0] Jinling AI Financial Database (Company Profile, Real-time Quotes, Financial Analysis, Technical Analysis)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.