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In-Depth Analysis of the Investment Value of Biren Technology (the "First GPU Stock" in Hong Kong Stock Market)

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January 7, 2026

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In-Depth Analysis of the Investment Value of Biren Technology (the "First GPU Stock" in Hong Kong Stock Market)

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Based on the collected information, I provide you with a detailed investment analysis report on Biren Technology:


In-Depth Analysis of the Investment Value of Biren Technology (the “First GPU Stock” in Hong Kong Stock Market)
I. Company Overview and Listing Performance

Biren Technology officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (Stock Code: 6082.HK) on

January 2, 2026
, becoming the first listed company in the A-share and Hong Kong Stock Market in 2026, and truly the “First GPU Stock” in the Hong Kong Stock Market [1][2].

First Trading Day Performance
  • Opening Price
    : HK$35.7 per share, a surge of
    82.14%
    from the offer price of HK$19.6
  • Intraday High
    : Reached HK$42.88, with an increase of over
    118%
  • Market Popularity
    : The public offering portion was oversubscribed by more than
    2300 times
    , with a lot winning rate of only 5%
  • Market Capitalization
    : Over HK$90 billion [1][2]

Founded in 2019 by Harvard PhD Zhang Wen, the company is the last of the “Three Giants of Domestic GPU” (Biren Technology, Muxi Semiconductor, Moore Thread) to enter the capital market, but its “zero breakthrough” in Hong Kong IPO is a milestone [2].


II. Financial Data Analysis
Revenue Growth Trend

Biren Technology is in the

rapid growth stage of early commercialization
, with revenue showing a high-growth trend [3]:

Time Operating Revenue Year-over-Year Change
2022 RMB 0.5 million
2023 RMB 62.03 million +123x
2024 RMB 337 million +443%
First Half of 2025 RMB 58.9 million +Nearly 50% YoY

Key Data Sources
: [3][4]

Loss Status and Trend

Despite rapid revenue growth, the company remains in a

sustained loss state
[3][4]:

Time Adjusted Net Loss Net Loss Attributable to Parent Company
2022 RMB 1.038 billion RMB 1.474 billion
2023 RMB 1.051 billion RMB 1.744 billion
2024 RMB 767 million RMB 1.538 billion
First Half of 2025 RMB 552 million RMB 1.601 billion

Notably, the net loss attributable to the parent company in the first half of 2025 reached RMB 1.601 billion, far exceeding the adjusted net loss of RMB 552 million. The main difference comes from non-operating expenses such as redemption liabilities [3][4].

Gross Profit Margin Under Pressure

The company’s gross profit margin in the first half of 2025 was

31.9%
, a year-over-year decrease of nearly
40 percentage points
[4]. The company expects that with the commercialization of the new high-end flagship product BR166 chip in 2025, the full-year gross profit margin will improve [4].


III. In-Depth Analysis of Loss Causes
1. High R&D Investment is the Main Cause

According to the prospectus,

R&D expenditure is the main factor leading to losses
[3][4]:

Time R&D Expenditure Percentage of Revenue
2022 RMB 1.018 billion
2023 RMB 886 million 1429%
2024 RMB 827 million 245%
First Half of 2025 RMB 572 million 971%

Cumulative R&D Investment (2019 - First Half of 2025): RMB 3.3 billion
[3]

2. In the Early Stage of Commercialization, Revenue Cannot Cover Investment

The company’s specialized technology products only launched commercialization in August 2022 [4]. It is still in the stage of customer expansion and market cultivation, and its revenue scale cannot offset the large early-stage investment in the short term.

3. Losses are Expected to Expand Further in 2025

The company expects that the net loss will increase significantly in 2025, mainly due to [4]:

  • Increased R&D Expenses
    : Due to the accelerated tape-out process of the new-generation BR20X product
  • Increased Financial Costs
    : Expected increase in redemption liability balance

IV. Technological Competitiveness and R&D Strength
Core Product Matrix

Biren Technology has built a complete product line [2][3]:

Product Series Positioning Status
BR106/BR110 First-Generation GPGPU Commercialized
BR166
High-Performance Chiplet Technology Product Commercialized in 2025
BR20X
Second-Generation Architecture for Cloud Training/Inference Expected to be Commercialized in 2026
BR30X Next-Generation Cloud Training and Inference Expected in 2028
BR31X Edge Inference Product Expected in 2028
R&D Team Strength
  • Total Employees
    : 792
  • R&D Personnel
    : 657 (accounting for
    83%
    of the total)
  • Educational Background
    : Over 78% hold master’s or doctoral degrees
  • Patent Layout
    : A total of over
    1,500 patents
    have been filed globally (ranking first among Chinese general-purpose GPU companies), with over 600 patents granted, and the authorization rate for invention patents is
    100%
    [3]
Advantages of Technology Route

Biren Technology adopts an

original Chiplet technology route
, achieving higher performance by co-packaging two BR106 chip dies [3]. The company’s GPU has realized support for the core part of the SUPA-Q quantum-classical hybrid computing platform, achieving an important breakthrough for domestic GPUs in this field [2].


V. Commercialization Progress and Order Status
Revenue Structure

Among the company’s three major revenue sources,

intelligent computing solutions account for over 90%
, making it the main revenue source [4]. The products include:

  • Hardware systems based on GPGPU architecture and chips
  • BIRENSUPA computing software platform
Optimization of Customer Structure

The revenue growth of intelligent computing solutions in the first half of 2025 mainly comes from [4]:

  • Sustained increase in customer demand
  • Optimization of customer structure, covering more
    leading enterprises in selected industries
Sufficient Order Reserves

As of December 15, 2025 [3]:

  • Binding Orders
    : 24 orders with a total value of approximately
    RMB 822 million
  • Framework Agreements
    : Total value of
    RMB 1.241 billion

Analysis
: In the short term, the company’s revenue growth rate is guaranteed. The RMB 822 million in binding orders is equivalent to
2.4 times
the full-year revenue of 2024, indicating strong downstream demand.


VI. Analysis of Profitability Path
Industry Benchmarking: Comparison of Profitability Timelines
Company Expected Break-Even Time 2025 Forecasted Revenue
Muxi Semiconductor
2026 RMB 1.5-1.98 billion
Moore Thread
RMB 1.218-1.498 billion
Biren Technology
Not Yet Specified

Unlike the two A-share GPU companies that have provided clear profitability timelines,

Biren Technology has not provided a forecasted profitability time in its post-hearing materials
[4].

Key Variables for Profitability
Favorable Factors:
  1. Guaranteed Revenue Growth Rate
    : With RMB 822 million in hand orders plus RMB 1.241 billion in framework agreements, revenue growth is highly certain in the short term
  2. Commercialization of BR166 Chip
    : The volume release of high-end products in 2025 is expected to improve gross profit margin
  3. IPO Fundraising Support
    : Total fundraising of
    HK$5.583 billion
    , 85% of which will be used for product R&D and commercialization [2]
  4. Domestic Substitution Dividend
    : The booming development of AI and accelerated chip localization process bring market opportunities
Challenging Factors:
  1. Sustained High R&D Investment
    : The tape-out of BR20X requires a large amount of capital investment
  2. Fluctuating Gross Profit Margin
    : The decline in gross profit margin in the first half of 2025 indicates cost control pressure
  3. Accelerated Competitors
    : Muxi Semiconductor and Moore Thread have listed on the A-share market first and obtained more capital support
  4. Customer Concentration Risk
    : Need to pay attention to the impact of customer structure changes on revenue
Profitability Time Forecast

Based on the analysis of existing information:

Scenario Expected Break-Even Time Basis
Optimistic 2027 Revenue maintains a growth rate of 200%+ and BR20X is successfully commercialized
Neutral 2028 Revenue maintains a growth rate of 100%+ and gross profit margin improves to 40%+
Conservative 2029 or later Intensified industry competition and continuous expansion of R&D investment

VII. Industry Competitive Landscape
Comparison of the “Three Giants of Domestic GPU”
Indicator Biren Technology (Hong Kong Stock Market) Muxi Semiconductor (A-share) Moore Thread (A-share)
Listing Time January 2026 December 2025 December 2025
2024 Revenue RMB 337 million Higher (not disclosed) Higher (not disclosed)
Expected Profitability Not disclosed 2026 Not disclosed
Core Advantage Chiplet technology, software ecosystem Product stability Consumer-grade GPU
Valuation Feature Valuation discount in Hong Kong Stock Market High valuation in A-share High valuation in A-share

Industry View
[4]: “The Hong Kong Stock Market accepts long-term capital, which matches the globalization of GPU development. Biren Technology has high customer concentration and low market share, making it difficult to replicate the craze of A-share investors for Muxi Semiconductor and Moore Thread.”

Market Space

The global intelligent computing chip market is expanding rapidly, and Biren Technology has obtained the “entry ticket” to the AI era [3]. The domestic GPU track is about to enter the “commercialization implementation” knockout stage, and technological strength and commercialization capabilities will become key competitive factors [3].


VIII. Investment Risk Warning
Main Risks:
  1. Sustained Loss Risk
    : The company has not provided a profitability timeline, so investors need to prepare for long-term investment
  2. R&D Failure Risk
    : There is uncertainty in the tape-out of new-generation chips
  3. Market Competition Risk
    : Dual pressure from international giants (NVIDIA, AMD) and domestic competitors
  4. Technology Iteration Risk
    : Rapid evolution of AI technology brings pressure for product renewal
  5. Liquidity Risk
    : The liquidity of the Hong Kong Stock Market is relatively weaker than that of the A-share market
  6. Customer Concentration Risk
    : Need to pay attention to changes in dependence on major customers
Positive Factors:
  1. Sufficient orders in hand to support short-term growth
  2. IPO fundraising provides long-term capital support
  3. Technological strength is recognized by the market (oversubscribed by 2300 times)
  4. Domestic substitution policy dividends continue to be released

IX. Conclusions and Investment Recommendations
Core Conclusions:
  1. Rapid Revenue Growth but Sustained Losses
    : Biren Technology is in the early stage of commercialization, with revenue growing at a high speed, but high R&D investment leads to sustained losses, and it is expected to be difficult to achieve profitability in the short term.
  2. Unclear Profitability Path
    : Unlike its A-share competitors, the company has not provided a clear break-even timeline. Based on orders in hand and new product plans,
    it is optimistically expected that profitability may be achieved between 2027 and 2028
    .
  3. Technological Strength is the Core Competitiveness
    : The company ranks first among Chinese general-purpose GPU companies in the number of patent applications, and its Chiplet technology route has a differentiated advantage, laying a foundation for long-term competitiveness.
  4. Short-Term Support, Mid-Term R&D Focus, Long-Term Commercialization Competition
    :
    • Short-term (1 year): RMB 822 million in binding orders guarantees revenue growth
    • Mid-term (1-2 years): R&D progress and commercial performance of products such as BR20X
    • Long-term (3-5 years): Customer expansion capabilities, improvement of gross profit margin, and market share growth
Investment Positioning:

Biren Technology is suitable for investors who

are optimistic about the long-term development of domestic GPUs and have high risk tolerance
. Since the company has not yet made a profit and its profitability timeline is unclear, it is recommended that investors pay attention to core indicators such as
product R&D progress, order execution, and changes in gross profit margin
and make decisions prudently.


References

[1] Sina Finance - “Soared HK$48.9 Billion in a Single Day! The "First GPU Stock" in Hong Kong Stock Market Accelerates Its Breakthrough” (https://cj.sina.cn/articles/view/5395803974/1419d6f4601901j88c)

[2] TMTPost - “Biren Technology’s First Trading Day on Hong Kong Stock Market Opens with Over 118% Increase, Ushering in a New Wave of Domestic AI in 2026” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/cj/2026-01-02/doc-inhewuuv4678390.shtml)

[3] Sina Finance - Biren Technology Prospectus and Financial Data

[4] Securities Times/DuShuYiZhi - “Biren Technology Lists: What is the True Value of the "First GPU Stock" in Hong Kong Stock Market?” (https://wap.stockstar.com/detail/IG2026010500014642)

[5] Beijing Daily - “Most Comprehensive Review! Biren Technology Lists, Market Capitalization Surges to HK$90 Billion, Unveiling the Behind-the-Scenes Capital Layout” (https://news.bjd.com.cn/2026/01/02/11500179.shtml)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.