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In-Depth Analysis of Capacity Terms in the Cooperation Between Fulin Precision and CATL

#lithium_iron_phosphate #supply_chain #battery_materials #capacity_expansion #strategic_investment #industry_analysis #ev_supply_chain
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January 7, 2026

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In-Depth Analysis of Capacity Terms in the Cooperation Between Fulin Precision and CATL

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Based on the latest announcements and news materials, I will provide an in-depth analysis of the capacity terms in the cooperation between Fulin Precision and CATL.


Analysis of Fulin Precision’s RMB 6 Billion Capacity Expansion Project and Cooperation Terms with CATL
I. Project Background and Cooperation Framework

On the evening of January 5, 2025, Fulin Precision (300432) issued an announcement stating that its subsidiary, Jiangxi Shenghua New Materials Co., Ltd., plans to invest in the

500,000-ton-per-year high-end energy storage lithium iron phosphate project
in Ejin Horo Banner, Ordos City, Inner Mongolia, with a total investment of RMB 6 billion. The project will be constructed in two phases, each with a planned capacity of 250,000 tons, and the construction period is expected to be 12 months [1].

At the same time, Jiangxi Shenghua also plans to build supporting projects in Wushen Banner: a 400,000-ton-per-year new lithium iron phosphate precursor oxalic acid project (with an investment of RMB 1.2 billion) and a 600,000-ton-per-year new lithium iron phosphate precursor ferrous oxalate project (with an investment of RMB 1.5 billion) [1].

II. Details of CATL’s RMB 1.5 Billion Advance Payment and Capacity Lock-In Clause
Advance Payment Arrangement

According to the announcement, CATL will pay

a RMB 1.5 billion advance payment
to Jiangxi Shenghua in September 2025 to lock in the supply volume of lithium iron phosphate and support Jiangxi Shenghua’s raw material layout [1][2]. The specific payment schedule is: RMB 500 million will be paid in September 2025, and RMB 1 billion will be paid in November 2025. This fund can support the expansion of 100,000 tons of capacity [2].

Capacity Lock-In Clause (Key Changes)

In June 2025, the two parties made a major revision to the business cooperation agreement [1]:

Item Original Agreement Revised Agreement
Supply Term
2025 to 2027 2025 to 2029 (extended by 2 years)
Annual Procurement Volume
At least 140,000 tons/year No less than 80% of Jiangxi Shenghua’s promised capacity
Deep Binding at the Equity Level

In addition to business cooperation, CATL also plans to

take equity control
of Jiangxi Shenghua: it plans to inject RMB 2.56338 billion to subscribe for the increased registered capital. After the transaction is completed, it will hold
51% equity
of Jiangxi Shenghua and become the controlling shareholder; Fulin Precision’s shareholding ratio will be reduced to 47.4096% [3].

Is the Capacity Term “Harsh”? — A Multi-Dimensional Analysis
From the Supplier’s Perspective: The Terms Have Dual Attributes

1. Significant Significance of Financial Support

  • The RMB 1.5 billion advance payment effectively alleviates Jiangxi Shenghua’s
    financial pressure
    . Especially against the background of the RMB 6 billion capacity expansion project, this “certain” fund greatly reduces the project’s financial risks
  • The advance payment can support the expansion of 100,000 tons of capacity, which is equivalent to providing
    about 25% of financial support
    for the capacity expansion project

2. Analysis of Pros and Cons of the “80% Capacity Lock-In” Clause

Perspective Interpretation
Certain Revenue
80% of the promised capacity is guaranteed, which means there is a bottom line for capacity utilization,
reducing the risk of inventory backlog
Transfer of Pricing Power
The procurement volume is linked to the price, so the supplier may
be in a passive position
in pricing negotiations
Exclusive Constraints
As the largest customer, CATL makes Jiangxi Shenghua’s
customer structure tend to be concentrated
Pressure on Capacity Expansion
If CATL’s procurement volume reaches 80%, Jiangxi Shenghua must maintain sufficient capacity,
increasing the rigidity of fixed asset investment
Horizontal Comparison: CATL and Industry Practices

From an industry perspective, the terms that CATL applies to Jiangxi Shenghua are not the harshest. Comparing with its cooperation models with other suppliers:

Supplier Cooperation Content Term Features
Longpan Technology
157,500 tons of lithium iron phosphate, over RMB 6 billion For sales to CATL’s overseas factories, the agreement is
intentional and non-binding
[2]
Ronbay Technology
Sodium-ion cathode powder CATL commits that the annual procurement volume is
no less than 60% of the total procurement volume
[2]
Jiayuan Technology
626,000 tons of negative electrode current collectors, approximately RMB 66 billion
Priority guarantee of capacity
from 2026 to 2028, with clearer quantitative constraints [2]
Kandi Technology
Battery swap cooperation Order lock-in in the battery swap field [2]

Comparison Conclusion
: The “no less than 80% of promised capacity” clause that CATL applies to Jiangxi Shenghua is more
flexible
than the “priority guarantee of at least 626,000 tons” clause for Jiayuan Technology, leaving certain independent space for the supplier.

From CATL’s Perspective: Obvious Strategic Lock-In Intent
  1. Upstream Layout Positioning
    : Through the dual means of advance payment + equity control, CATL is
    deeply integrating the lithium iron phosphate supply chain
  2. Capacity Guarantee
    : The mass production of the fifth-generation lithium iron phosphate product is imminent, ensuring stable upstream supply
  3. Technical Synergy
    : Jiangxi Shenghua leads the market share in the field of
    high tap density lithium iron phosphate
    , which is in line with CATL’s high-end strategy
Comprehensive Assessment: Are the Terms “Harsh”?
Evaluation Criteria
Evaluation Dimension Terms for Fulin Precision Industry Comparison
Advance Payment Intensity
RMB 1.5 billion (large-scale support) Belongs to
high-quality terms
Procurement Volume Commitment
80% capacity guarantee (flexible) Belongs to
medium-level terms
Supply Term
5 years (2025-2029) Belongs to
conventional terms
Equity Arrangement
51% equity control (transfer of control)
Relatively strong terms
Exclusivity
No explicit exclusivity Relatively
friendly
Conclusion

Overall Evaluation
: The terms are not the harshest, but have obvious strategic binding attributes

  • Positive Aspects
    : The RMB 1.5 billion advance payment provides
    strong financial support
    , reducing the risk of capacity expansion; the 80% procurement commitment guarantees the bottom line of capacity utilization
  • Restrictive Aspects
    : The 51% equity control arrangement means
    Fulin Precision has transferred the controlling stake
    ; the long-term supply agreement limits the supplier’s flexibility

From a business logic perspective, this is a

win-win transaction where each party gets what they need
:

  • CATL obtains
    capacity guarantee and technical synergy
    from a core lithium iron phosphate supplier
  • Jiangxi Shenghua obtains
    financial support and certainty of large orders

Against the backdrop of the “long-term order wave” in the current lithium battery industry chain, such deep binding models are becoming the mainstream cooperation method between leading battery manufacturers and material suppliers.


References

[1] Sina Finance - Fulin Precision’s Subsidiary Plans to Invest RMB 6 Billion in a Lithium Iron Phosphate Project (https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2026-01-06/doc-inhfikqz5931463.shtml)

[2] Sina Finance - CATL Locks in These Big Orders in 2025 | Annual Observation (https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2025-12-27/doc-inhefzef9805342.shtml)

[3] Sina Finance - Weekly Investment Highlights: CATL/Capchem/Hengchuang Nano Expand Capacity Again (https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2026-01-03/doc-inheyxtr2805521.shtml)

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