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Tianlong Co., Ltd. Acquires Suzhou Haomibo: Strategic Layout and Valuation Impact Analysis

#acquisition #automotive_industry #intelligent_driving #4d_millimeter_wave_radar #strategic_transformation #valuation_analysis
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January 5, 2026

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Tianlong Co., Ltd. Acquires Suzhou Haomibo: Strategic Layout and Valuation Impact Analysis

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Tianlong Co., Ltd. Acquires Suzhou Haomibo: Strategic Layout and Valuation Impact Analysis
I. Acquisition Transaction Overview
Transaction Structure

According to public information, Tianlong Co., Ltd. (603266.SS) plans to acquire 54.87% equity of Suzhou Haomibo Technology Co., Ltd. for

RMB 232 million
, with the following specific structure [0]:

  • Equity Transfer
    : RMB 132 million
  • Capital Increase Investment
    : RMB 100 million
  • Acquisition Ratio
    : 54.87% (Controlling Stake)
Target Company: Suzhou Haomibo

Suzhou Haomibo focuses on the development of

4D millimeter-wave radar
and other sensors, as well as multi-sensor fusion technology. Its main business covers [0]:

  • R&D and production of 4D imaging millimeter-wave radar
  • Multi-sensor fusion algorithms
  • Intelligent driving perception solutions

II. In-depth Analysis of Strategic Layout
1. Transformation from Traditional Parts to Intelligence

Original Business Positioning
: As a traditional auto parts supplier, Tianlong Co., Ltd. mainly produces injection molded parts and molds, belonging to the mid-stream manufacturing link of the automotive industry chain [0].

Transformation Direction
: Through this acquisition, the company strategically enters the
core components of intelligent perception
field:

  • Industrial Chain Position Upgrade
    : Extend from traditional component supply to core perception component integration
  • Technology Content Leap
    : Transform from manufacturing-driven to technology-driven
  • Customer Level Upgrade
    : Expected to enter the higher-end intelligent vehicle supply chain
2. Strategic Value of 4D Millimeter-Wave Radar

Technical Advantages
:

  • All-Weather Operation
    : Compared to LiDAR, millimeter-wave radar performs more stably in harsh weather conditions like rain, snow, and fog [1]
  • Cost Advantage
    : Significantly lower cost than LiDAR (about 1/5 to 1/10 of LiDAR)
  • Speed Measurement Capability
    : Directly measure target speed with high data fusion efficiency
  • 4D Imaging Technology
    : Add height dimension to traditional distance, azimuth, and elevation to achieve point cloud imaging

Market Demand
:

  • ADAS Penetration Rate Increase
    : With the popularity of L2+/L3 autonomous driving, the number of radars per vehicle increases
  • Multi-Sensor Fusion Trend
    : The fusion scheme of camera + millimeter-wave radar + LiDAR becomes mainstream
  • Replace Traditional Radar
    : 4D imaging radar is gradually replacing traditional millimeter-wave radar
3. Expected Synergy Effects
Collaboration Dimension Expected Effect
Customer Resources
Leverage Tianlong’s existing OEM customer resources to accelerate Haomibo’s product introduction
Manufacturing Capability
Tianlong’s precision manufacturing experience can improve Haomibo’s product yield
Supply Chain
Share supply chain system to reduce procurement costs
Financial Support
Provide funding for Haomibo’s R&D investment

III. Valuation Impact Analysis of 4D Millimeter-Wave Radar Business
1. Current Valuation Level

Key Financial Indicators of Tianlong Co., Ltd.
(as of December 31, 2025) [0]:

Indicator Value Evaluation
Stock Price RMB 22.76 -
Market Capitalization RMB 4.53 billion -
P/E (TTM) 41.04x High
P/B 2.88x Reasonable
ROE 7.16% Low
Net Profit Margin 8.27% Medium Level
2. Valuation Impact Calculation
Acquisition Consideration Rationality Analysis

Valuation Estimation
:

  • Valuation of 54.87% equity of Suzhou Haomibo:
    RMB 232 million
  • Corresponding valuation for 100% equity:
    ~RMB 423 million

Valuation Comparison Reference
(Industry Approximate Cases) [1]:

  • Arbe Robotics (NASDAQ-listed 4D radar company): Market capitalization fluctuates greatly
  • Domestic unlisted radar companies: Valuations generally range from RMB 300 million to 800 million

Evaluation Conclusion
:

  • Acquiring 54.87% equity for RMB 232 million is in the
    reasonable range
  • The consideration reflects the premium potential of 4D radar technology
3. Impact on Valuation Multiples
Short-Term Impact (6-12 Months)

Positive Factors
:

  • Technology Attribute Upgrade
    : The market may reprice the company from traditional parts (PE:15-20x) to intelligent driving targets (PE:30-50x)
  • Revenue Growth Expectation
    : If Haomibo achieves rapid growth, it will boost overall revenue growth
  • Valuation Premium
    : The intelligent driving track enjoys a valuation premium

Negative Factors
:

  • Profit Dilution
    : Haomibo may be in the R&D investment phase, which may lower the net profit margin in the short term
  • Integration Risk
    : Business synergy takes time and has uncertainty
  • Goodwill Risk
    : If Haomibo’s performance fails to meet expectations, goodwill impairment may occur
Medium-to-Long-Term Impact (2-3 Years)

Scenario Analysis
:

Scenario Assumptions Impact on Valuation
Optimistic
Haomibo’s annual revenue grows by 50%+, successfully entering the mainstream OEM supply chain PE valuation rises to 50-60x, market capitalization is expected to double
Neutral
Haomibo grows steadily with an annual growth rate of 20-30% PE remains in the range of 35-45x
Pessimistic
Unsmooth integration and fierce market competition PE may fall back to 25-30x
4. Comparable Company Valuation Reference

Valuation Levels of Intelligent Driving-Related Targets
:

  • Desay SV (002920): PE ~35-40x
  • Huayang Group (002906): PE ~30-35x
  • Jingwei Hengrun (688326): PE ~40-50x

Tianlong’s current PE of 41x is at the

industry median level
. If the 4D radar business is successfully implemented, there is room for valuation upside.


IV. Market Performance and Technical Analysis
Recent Stock Price Trend

Tianlong Co., Ltd. Stock Price Trend

Key Observations
(October-December 2025) [0]:

  • Highest Price During Period: RMB25.27
  • Lowest Price During Period: RMB19.67
  • Fluctuation Range:25.86%
  • Current Status:
    Sideways Consolidation
Technical Indicator Interpretation [0]
Indicator Value/Status Interpretation
Trend Sideways Waiting for direction selection
Support Level RMB21.23 Strong support below
Resistance Level RMB23.12 Need volume to break above
KDJ Bullish Short-term strong
Beta 0.04 Low volatility

Technical Summary
: After the acquisition news, the stock price has undergone sufficient consolidation and is currently at a key position for direction selection. If it can break through the resistance level of RMB23.12, it is expected to open up upward space.


V. Industry Prospects and Competitive Landscape
Market Prospects of 4D Millimeter-Wave Radar

Market Driving Factors
:

  1. Intelligence Penetration Rate Increase
    : Rapid increase in L2+/L3 autonomous driving penetration rate
  2. Policy Promotion
    : Countries continue to improve requirements for automotive safety performance
  3. Cost Advantage
    : Obvious cost-effectiveness advantage compared to LiDAR
  4. Technology Maturity
    : 4D imaging technology gradually matures, and commercialization accelerates

Market Size Forecast
:

  • The global automotive radar market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15-20%
  • As an upgraded product, 4D millimeter-wave radar grows faster than the industry average
Competitive Landscape Analysis

International Competitors
:

  • Arbe Robotics (Israel): Leading in 4D radar chip technology
  • Continental (Germany): Traditional Tier 1 supplier
  • Bosch (Germany): Leader in the automotive radar field

Domestic Competitive Situation
:

  • Companies like Huawei and Jingwei Hengrun are also布局 (laying out) 4D radar
  • Suzhou Haomibo needs to establish technical and customer barriers

VI. Risk Warning
Main Risk Factors
Risk Category Specific Risk Impact Level
Technology Risk
4D radar technology route may be disrupted by new technologies (e.g., terahertz) Medium
Market Risk
Intelligent driving penetration rate falls short of expectations High
Competition Risk
Strong entry of leading manufacturers, price wars Medium-High
Integration Risk
Cultural differences, team integration difficulties Medium
Financial Risk
Large R&D investment, short-term profit pressure Medium
Goodwill Impairment Risk
Target company’s performance fails to meet expectations Medium
Key Observation Indicators

Key Focus Areas for Follow-Up
:

  1. Order Landing
    : Whether Haomibo obtains fixed-point orders from mainstream OEMs
  2. Technology Breakthrough
    : Whether the performance parameters of 4D radar reach industry-leading levels
  3. Financial Data
    : Actual contribution to the company’s revenue and profit after consolidation
  4. Customer Expansion
    : Whether it enters the supply chain of leading OEMs
  5. Industry Policy
    : Support intensity of autonomous driving-related policies

VII. Investment Recommendations and Conclusions
Strategic Rating:
Positive

Core Reasons
:

  1. Correct Transformation Direction
    : 4D millimeter-wave radar conforms to the general trend of automotive electrification and intelligence
  2. Reasonable Consideration
    : Acquiring 54.87% equity for RMB232 million is in the reasonable range
  3. Considerable Synergy Potential
    : The combination of traditional manufacturing and new technology is expected to produce 1+1>2 effects
  4. Room for Valuation Upside
    : Successful transformation is expected to reshape the valuation system
Short-Term Strategy (6 Months)
  • Mainly Wait-and-See
    : Wait for more order and performance fulfillment signals
  • Technical Focus
    : Whether the stock price effectively breaks through the resistance level of RMB23.12
  • Catalysts
    : Haomibo obtains fixed-point announcements from mainstream OEMs
Medium-to-Long-Term Strategy (1-2 Years)
  • Optimistic Expectation
    : If integration is successful, market capitalization is expected to move toward RMB8-10 billion
  • Key Verification Points
    : Haomibo’s performance fulfillment in 2025-2026
  • Valuation Reconstruction
    : Successful transformation will support PE valuation to move toward 50x+

VIII. Conclusion

Tianlong Co., Ltd.'s acquisition of Suzhou Haomibo is a

typical case of traditional parts enterprises transforming to intelligence
. Through a strategic investment of RMB232 million, the company has obtained a technical entry point for 4D millimeter-wave radar, a core sensor for intelligent driving.

Strategic Value
:

  • ✅ Conforms to the general trend of automotive electrification and intelligence
  • ✅ Extends from parts manufacturing to core perception technology in the industrial chain
  • ✅ Expected to reshape the valuation system from traditional manufacturing to technology stocks

Investment Value
:

  • Short-term focus on integration progress and order landing
  • Medium-to-long-term optimistic about the penetration increase of 4D radar in intelligent driving
  • There is room for valuation upside, but integration and performance fulfillment risks need to be vigilant

Final Judgment
: This is an acquisition with
strategic foresight but high execution requirements
. Whether it can truly create value depends on subsequent integration effects and Haomibo’s market competitiveness. Investors are advised to
keep关注 (关注 → follow) but be cautiously optimistic
, focusing on order landing and performance fulfillment.


References

[0] Jinling API Data - Tianlong Co., Ltd. (603266.SS) Stock Price, Financial Data, Technical Analysis
[1] Yahoo Finance - “China-based State-owned Automaker Selects Hirain and Arbe’s…” (https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-based-state-owned-automaker-140000984.html)
[2] Forbes - “Terahertz Imaging Is Finally Here - Exploiting The LiDAR…” (https://www.forbes.com/sites/sabbirrangwala/2026/01/01/terahertz-imaging-is-finally-here--exploiting-the-lidar-radar-gap/)

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