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Goldwind Technology (002202.SZ) In-depth Investment Analysis Report

#investment_analysis #wind_power #renewable_energy #dcg_valuation #growth_stocks #clean_energy #overseas_expansion
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January 3, 2026

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Goldwind Technology (002202.SZ) In-depth Investment Analysis Report

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Goldwind Technology (002202.SZ) In-depth Investment Analysis Report
I. Core Investment Highlights

Strong Growth in Overseas Business, Significant Results from Globalization Strategy

As of H1 2025, Goldwind Technology’s overseas market orders reached

7,359.82MW
, a significant year-on-year increase of
42.27%
[1]. The company’s business covers
six continents and 47 countries
worldwide, with cumulative overseas installed capacity reaching
11,214.62MW
and external orders in hand of
7,161.72MW
[1]. This achievement makes Goldwind Technology the earliest Chinese wind power enterprise to go overseas and the one with the largest overseas influence; among every 10 new wind turbines globally, one comes from Goldwind Technology[1].

II. Valuation Analysis

DCF Valuation Shows Significant Upside Potential

Valuation Scenario Intrinsic Value Upside vs Current Price
Conservative Scenario $48.34 +137.0%
Base Scenario $62.69 +207.3%
Optimistic Scenario $183.75 +800.7%
Probability-Weighted Value
$98.26
+381.7%

The current stock price of $20.40 corresponds to a P/E ratio of 32.17x, while the neutral valuation range based on the DCF model is $48.34-$62.69, representing an upside potential of

137%-207%
compared to the current price[0].

III. Financial Performance Analysis

Core Financial Data for the First Three Quarters of 2025

Indicator Value YoY Change
Revenue 48.147 billion yuan +34.34%
Net Profit 2.584 billion yuan +44.21%
Wind Turbine Sales Capacity - +90.01%
External Orders in Hand 49,873.87MW +18.48%

The company shows strong performance growth momentum; both revenue and net profit achieved double-digit growth, and wind turbine sales capacity even nearly doubled[1].

IV. Technical Analysis

Stock Price Hits All-Time High, Strong Trend

Goldwind Technology’s stock price performance is extremely outstanding: the increase in the past year reached

103.80%
, the increase in the past 6 months was
98.83%
, and the increase in the past month was
30.19%
[0]. On December 29, 2025, the stock price hit an all-time high, rising to the daily limit of
21.66 yuan
intraday, showing the market’s high recognition of the company’s prospects[1].

V. Globalization Strategy Assessment

Core Competitive Advantages

  1. Technological Leadership
    : Goldwind Technology is the earliest Chinese wind power enterprise to take the “direct-drive permanent magnet” route, participating in the revision of 33 International Electrotechnical Commission standards and leading the revision of 606 domestic standards[1]

  2. Local Adaptation Capability
    : In Ecuador, wind turbines need to withstand magnitude 8.0 strong earthquakes; in Pakistan, they need to adapt to 45℃ high temperatures. The company has a high degree of customization capability[1]

  3. Full Industry Chain Layout
    : Goldwind Investment focuses on investments across the entire wind power industry chain and also extends its reach to energy storage, hydrogen energy, equipment manufacturing and other fields; its investment income in 2024 reached 1.962 billion yuan[1]

VI. Risk Reminder

Risk Factors to Note

Risk Type Specific Description Risk Level
Asset Liquidity Risk Non-current assets account for 54.72% of total assets, higher than the industry average Medium-High
Debt Pressure Long-term loans are about 30 billion yuan, with relatively high debt repayment pressure Medium
Depreciation Risk Fixed asset depreciation and the progress of converting construction in progress to fixed assets may affect performance Medium
Industry Competition Peers’ gross profit margins are under pressure (Mingyang Smart Energy’s 2024 gross profit margin was -0.46%) Medium-Low
VII. Investment Recommendations

Comprehensive Assessment: Positive Attention

Core Logic Supporting Valuation:

  1. Continuous Growth in Overseas Orders
    : The 42.27% growth rate of overseas orders provides solid support for future revenue growth
  2. Stable Technological Barriers
    : Direct-drive technology route and participation in standardization build long-term competitive advantages
  3. Large Valuation Repair Space
    : DCF neutral valuation has an upside potential of over 200% compared to the current price
  4. High Industry Prosperity
    : In March 2025, domestic wind power and photovoltaic installed capacity exceeded thermal power for the first time[1]

Risk Warning:
The current P/E ratio of 32.17x is at a historically high level; investors need to pay attention to the progress of overseas market expansion, accounts receivable recovery, and the impact of policy changes on the company’s valuation. It is recommended that investors adopt a phased position-building strategy and look for better entry opportunities during corrections.


References

[0] Jinling API Data - Company Overview, Financial Analysis and DCF Valuation

[1] NetEase Finance - “Goldwind Technology, Surprise Victory!” (https://www.163.com/dy/article/KI79RGP20556DX6R.html)

[2] Qilu Network - “Goldwind Technology Hits Daily Limit Intraday” (https://news.iqilu.com/shandong/shandonggedi/20251229/5879807.shtml)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.