Goldwind Technology (002202.SZ) In-depth Investment Analysis Report
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As of H1 2025, Goldwind Technology’s overseas market orders reached
| Valuation Scenario | Intrinsic Value | Upside vs Current Price |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative Scenario | $48.34 | +137.0% |
| Base Scenario | $62.69 | +207.3% |
| Optimistic Scenario | $183.75 | +800.7% |
Probability-Weighted Value |
$98.26 |
+381.7% |
The current stock price of $20.40 corresponds to a P/E ratio of 32.17x, while the neutral valuation range based on the DCF model is $48.34-$62.69, representing an upside potential of
| Indicator | Value | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 48.147 billion yuan | +34.34% |
| Net Profit | 2.584 billion yuan | +44.21% |
| Wind Turbine Sales Capacity | - | +90.01% |
| External Orders in Hand | 49,873.87MW | +18.48% |
The company shows strong performance growth momentum; both revenue and net profit achieved double-digit growth, and wind turbine sales capacity even nearly doubled[1].
Goldwind Technology’s stock price performance is extremely outstanding: the increase in the past year reached
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Technological Leadership: Goldwind Technology is the earliest Chinese wind power enterprise to take the “direct-drive permanent magnet” route, participating in the revision of 33 International Electrotechnical Commission standards and leading the revision of 606 domestic standards[1]
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Local Adaptation Capability: In Ecuador, wind turbines need to withstand magnitude 8.0 strong earthquakes; in Pakistan, they need to adapt to 45℃ high temperatures. The company has a high degree of customization capability[1]
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Full Industry Chain Layout: Goldwind Investment focuses on investments across the entire wind power industry chain and also extends its reach to energy storage, hydrogen energy, equipment manufacturing and other fields; its investment income in 2024 reached 1.962 billion yuan[1]
| Risk Type | Specific Description | Risk Level |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Liquidity Risk | Non-current assets account for 54.72% of total assets, higher than the industry average | Medium-High |
| Debt Pressure | Long-term loans are about 30 billion yuan, with relatively high debt repayment pressure | Medium |
| Depreciation Risk | Fixed asset depreciation and the progress of converting construction in progress to fixed assets may affect performance | Medium |
| Industry Competition | Peers’ gross profit margins are under pressure (Mingyang Smart Energy’s 2024 gross profit margin was -0.46%) | Medium-Low |
- Continuous Growth in Overseas Orders: The 42.27% growth rate of overseas orders provides solid support for future revenue growth
- Stable Technological Barriers: Direct-drive technology route and participation in standardization build long-term competitive advantages
- Large Valuation Repair Space: DCF neutral valuation has an upside potential of over 200% compared to the current price
- High Industry Prosperity: In March 2025, domestic wind power and photovoltaic installed capacity exceeded thermal power for the first time[1]
[0] Jinling API Data - Company Overview, Financial Analysis and DCF Valuation
[1] NetEase Finance - “Goldwind Technology, Surprise Victory!” (https://www.163.com/dy/article/KI79RGP20556DX6R.html)
[2] Qilu Network - “Goldwind Technology Hits Daily Limit Intraday” (https://news.iqilu.com/shandong/shandonggedi/20251229/5879807.shtml)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
