Ginlix AI
50% OFF

Biren Technology's First-Day Performance and Valuation Analysis of the GPU Track

#IPO #GPU #半导体 #估值分析 #港股 #科创板 #国产替代
Neutral
A-Share
January 3, 2026

Unlock More Features

Login to access AI-powered analysis, deep research reports and more advanced features

Biren Technology's First-Day Performance and Valuation Analysis of the GPU Track

About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.

Related Stocks

08931
--
08931
--
688041
--
688041
--
688256
--
688256
--
Biren Technology’s First-Day Performance and Valuation Analysis of the GPU Track
I. Comparison of First-Day Listing Performance

Biren Technology listed on HKEX on January 2, 2026, becoming the first GPU stock on HKEX. Its first-day performance shows the following characteristics [1][2]:

Indicator Biren Technology Moore Threads Muxi Semiconductor
Listing Date
January 2, 2026 December 5, 2025 December 17, 2025
Listing Venue
HKEX STAR Market STAR Market
Issue Price
19.60 HKD 114.28 CNY 104.66 CNY
Opening Gain
82.14% 468% 568.83%
Maximum Gain
Over 110% Over 500% Over 700%
Closing Gain
Retreated 425% 692.95%
First-Day Market Cap
HKD 90-100 billion CNY 282.2 billion CNY 286.3 billion

From the data, Biren Technology’s first-day gain of 82% is indeed

significantly lower
than that of Moore Threads (425%) and Muxi Semiconductor (692%) which listed on the STAR Market earlier, showing a large gap [1][2][3].

II. Core Reasons for Valuation Gap
1.
Market Environment Differences
  • STAR Market vs HKEX
    : The STAR Market has stronger liquidity and higher retail investor participation, giving higher valuation premiums to hard tech enterprises; the HKEX market is relatively rational with a higher proportion of international institutional investors [1][3]
  • Liquidity Differences
    : Moore Threads attracted 4.8266 million investors during subscription with a winning rate of only 0.036%; Muxi Semiconductor’s maximum floating profit per winning lot reached 400,000 CNY, setting a record in A-shares over the past decade [1][2]
2.
Business Model Differences

Biren Technology positions itself as a

general-purpose GPU and intelligent computing system R&D
company, focusing on data center scenarios; while Moore Threads is the ‘only domestic manufacturer that has achieved mass production and sales of full-function GPUs’, with products covering graphics rendering, AI training and inference, and even consumer gaming markets [2][3]. This ‘full-stack’ capability gives Moore Threads a higher scarcity valuation.

3.
Team Background Differences
  • Moore Threads founder Zhang Jianzhong was a former global vice president of NVIDIA, and its core team mainly comes from NVIDIA [3]
  • Muxi Semiconductor’s team mainly comes from AMD and is compared to the Chinese version of AMD [3]
  • Biren Technology founder Zhang Wen is not from a GPU professional background, but has strategic integration capabilities [1]
III. Is There a Bubble in GPU Track Valuations?
Valuation Status

Domestic GPU enterprises generally face the contradiction of

high valuations coexisting with sustained losses
:

  • Small Revenue Scale
    : The total revenue of the three GPU enterprises in 2024 was only about 1/600 of NVIDIA’s 200 million [1]
  • Sustained Losses
    : Muxi Semiconductor’s cumulative losses over three years exceeded CNY 3 billion, and Moore Threads’ cumulative losses over three years exceeded CNY 5 billion [2]
  • High Price-to-Sales Ratio (PS)
    : Based on institutional forecasts of 2026 revenue, Moore Threads’ PS ratio is about 33x, and Muxi Semiconductor’s is about 23x, far higher than the level of the traditional semiconductor industry [3]
Logic Supporting High Valuations
  1. Domestic Substitution Dividend
    : The U.S. continues to escalate technological blockades, leading to an urgent demand for domestic GPU substitution [2]
  2. Strong Demand for AI Computing Power
    : Global demand for AI computing continues to rise, making computing power a key strategic resource [2]
  3. Policy Support
    : State-owned capital (such as Shanghai Guotou Pioneer Artificial Intelligence Mother Fund) actively participates in strategic leadership [1]
  4. Expectation of Technological Breakthroughs
    : Domestic GPUs have moved from ‘technology verification’ to the initial stage of ‘large-scale commercialization’ [2]
Risk Factors
  1. Significant Technological Gap
    : In terms of comprehensive technical performance, most domestic GPUs still lag behind NVIDIA [2]
  2. Weak Ecosystem Barriers
    : NVIDIA’s CUDA ecosystem has a deep moat, while domestic GPUs lack sufficient compatibility [2]
  3. High Customer Concentration
    : Moore Threads’ top five customers account for 98.29% of its revenue, with a single customer accounting for 56.63% [3]
  4. Profitability Doubts
    : Currently, only Hygon Information is stably profitable, and Cambricon turned profitable only in Q4 2024 [2]
IV. Conclusion

Biren Technology’s first-day gain being ‘lower than peers’ is the

result of multiple factors acting together
, not a simple signal of valuation bubble bursting:

  1. Market Differences Dominate
    : There are systematic differences in valuation systems and investor structures between HKEX and the STAR Market
  2. Different Scarcity
    : GPU targets on the STAR Market are more scarce, while Biren Technology as the first GPU enterprise on HKEX also has its unique significance
  3. Valuation Returns to Rationality
    : Compared with the fanatical speculation on the first day of Moore Threads and Muxi Semiconductor, Biren Technology’s performance is
    more stable
    instead

From a long-term perspective, the domestic GPU track is still in a critical stage of transition from ‘capital infusion’ to ‘self-sufficiency’. The current high valuations more reflect a premium on the expectation of a ‘Chinese version of NVIDIA’ rather than the real reflection of current fundamentals. As Biren Technology’s management said: ‘Listing is a very important milestone, but it is definitely not an end.’ [1]

For investors, they need to closely monitor core indicators such as

revenue growth curves, customer expansion progress, and ecosystem construction progress
of each enterprise, which are the fundamental determinants of long-term value.


References:

[1] Securities Times - 《Most Comprehensive Review! Biren Technology Lists, Market Cap Surges to HKD 90 Billion》(https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3568288.html)
[2] Nanfang Plus - 《Domestic GPUs “Cluster” for IPO: Who Will Lead China’s “Chip” Independent Breakthrough?》(https://www.nfnews.com/content/J3WYRKGOoz.html)
[3] DoNews Column - 《Domestic GPU Four Dragons Cluster for IPO, Competing for “Chinese Version of NVIDIA”》(https://www.donews.com/article/detail/7430/94635.html)
[4] 21st Century Business Herald - 《Moore Threads Rises 425.46% on First Day of Listing, Domestic GPU Companies Welcome IPO Wave》(https://www.21jingji.com/article/20251205/herald/896e85687d4ac94b121f1a712fd14cc8.html)

Ask based on this news for deep analysis...
Alpha Deep Research
Auto Accept Plan

Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.