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In-depth Investment Analysis of South Korea's Biopharmaceutical Industry and Celltrion

#biopharmaceutical_industry #celltrion #investment_analysis #financial_performance #product_pipeline #cdmo_market #industry_growth
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December 31, 2025

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In-depth Investment Analysis of South Korea’s Biopharmaceutical Industry and Celltrion
1. Growth Drivers of South Korea’s Biopharmaceutical Industry
1.1 Driven by Global Market Trends

The growth of South Korea’s biopharmaceutical industry is fueled by multiple structural factors:

Rapid Expansion of the Global Biopharmaceutical Market

  • The global biopharmaceutical market size reached
    422.5 billion USD
    in 2024 and is expected to grow to
    921.5 billion USD
    by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of
    8.2%
    [1]
  • The biosimilar CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) market is growing even more rapidly, with a market size of 30 billion USD in 2025 and an expected
    109.07 billion USD
    by 2035, a CAGR of
    13.1%
    [0]
  • The global biosimilar sales totaled approximately
    10.285 billion USD
    in 2024, with market penetration continuing to increase[2]

Technological Innovation and Therapeutic Breakthroughs

  • New technologies such as monoclonal antibodies, recombinant proteins, cell and gene therapies are revolutionizing fields like oncology, immunology, and neurology[1]
  • The application of AI technology in drug discovery, bioprocess optimization, and personalized medicine is improving R&D efficiency[1]
  • Over
    60%
    of outsourcing demand growth and
    45%
    of biologic production growth are driving the expansion of global CDMO partnerships[0]
1.2 Competitive Advantages of South Korea’s Biopharmaceutical Industry

Global Leading Position

  • South Korea accounts for approximately
    30%
    of the global biopharmaceutical manufacturing market share, second only to North America (40%) and Europe (25%)[0]
  • It is known for its
    cost-effectiveness
    and
    manufacturing capabilities
    , especially in monoclonal antibody and cell therapy production
  • South Korea’s biopharmaceutical market is expected to grow from 22.1 billion RMB in 2024 to 30.2 billion RMB by 2035[1]

Rise of Core Enterprises

  • Samsung Biologics
    : Announced the expansion of its fourth factory in 2025, increasing total capacity by
    30%
    , with contract projects growing by
    22%
    year-on-year[0]
  • Celltrion
    : A global leader in biosimilars, with 12 marketed biosimilar products[2]
2. In-depth Analysis of Celltrion’s Financial Performance
2.1 Core Data of Performance Growth

Based on brokerage API data and industry reports[4][5]:

Indicator 2024 2025 Forecast Growth Rate
Sales
3.56 trillion KRW 4.11 trillion KRW
+15.4%
Operating Profit
492 billion KRW 1.16 trillion KRW
+135.8%
Operating Margin
13.8% 28.2%
+14.4 percentage points

This marks Celltrion’s

first annual operating profit exceeding 1 trillion KRW
[4][5], driven mainly by
strong sales of high-end products
.

Celltrion Sales and Operating Profit Trend Chart

Chart shows: From 2021 to 2025, Celltrion’s sales grew from 928.5 billion KRW to 4.11 trillion KRW, operating profit from 152.8 billion KRW to 1.16 trillion KRW, and operating margin from 16.46% to 28.22%[0]

2.2 Performance of Key Products

Remsima® (Infliximab Biosimilar)

  • Sales reached
    1.404 billion USD
    in 2024, up
    96.36%
    year-on-year[2]
  • It is a key product for treating autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis
  • Approved for marketing by the U.S. FDA and EU EMA[2][3]

Product Pipeline Layout

  • Currently has
    12
    marketed biosimilar products[2]
  • As many as
    28
    biosimilar projects in R&D, providing momentum for future revenue growth[2]
  • Plans to include blockbuster products such as Ocrevus®, Cosentyx®, Keytruda®, and Darzalex® in its biosimilar development options[2]
2.3 Financial Health Assessment

Based on brokerage API financial analysis[0]:

Financial Indicators

Indicator Value Evaluation
Market Capitalization
39.60 trillion KRW Leading global biopharmaceutical enterprise
ROE (Return on Equity)
4.35% Low, but in the expansion phase
Net Profit Margin
18.94% Excellent level
Operating Margin
22.84% Strong profitability
Current Ratio
1.38 Good liquidity
Quick Ratio
0.70 Need to pay attention to short-term liquidity

Financial Attitude and Risks

  • Financial Attitude Classification
    : Conservative, showing a high depreciation/capital expenditure ratio, with room for profitability improvement as investments mature[0]
  • Debt Risk
    : Low-risk classification, sound financial structure[0]
  • Free Cash Flow
    : Reached 568.3 billion KRW in the latest period, good cash generation capacity[0]
3. Analysis of Profit Growth Sustainability
3.1 Factors Supporting Sustainable Growth

1. Product Portfolio Advantages

  • High-end biosimilars
    continue to gain traction: Key products like Remsima® grew by 96.36% in 2024, indicating strong market demand[2]
  • Diversified product line
    : 12 marketed products cover multiple therapeutic areas, reducing the risk of reliance on a single product[2]
  • Rich R&D pipeline
    : 28 projects in R&D provide continuous momentum for long-term growth[2]

2. Global Market Expansion

  • Regulatory approval advantages
    : Products have been approved by the U.S. FDA and EU EMA, with high market access barriers[2][3]
  • Strategic cooperation network
    : Established long-term partnerships with global distribution partners such as iQone Healthcare[3]
  • Acquisitions and capacity expansion
    : Recently acquired a biopharmaceutical production facility from Eli Lilly in the U.S. and plans to追加投资 to expand capacity[5]

3. Industry Growth Dividends

  • The global biosimilar market reached 10.285 billion USD in 2024 and is expected to continue growing rapidly[2]
  • Over
    50%
    of new biopharmaceutical drugs rely on CDMO services, with huge room for market penetration improvement[0]
  • The monoclonal antibody market size continues to expand, dominating the biopharmaceutical market[1]

4. Shareholder Return Policy

  • Determined a cash dividend of
    750 KRW
    per common share in 2025, with total dividends of approximately 164 billion KRW[5]
  • Invested over
    1 trillion KRW
    in shareholder returns (including share repurchases and dividends) in 2024[5]
  • Committed to achieving a 3-year average
    40%
    shareholder return target by 2027[5]
3.2 Challenges and Risks Faced

1. Valuation Risk

  • P/E Ratio
    : 53.79x, higher than the industry average[0]
  • P/B Ratio
    : 2.38x[0]
  • P/S Ratio
    : 10.16x[0]
  • Current valuation has fully reflected high growth expectations, requiring continuous outperformance to support

2. Technical Analysis

  • Currently in a
    downtrend
    , to be confirmed[0]
  • Support level at 178,200 KRW, resistance level at 192,100 KRW[0]
  • Beta value only 0.12
    , low correlation with the broader market, obvious independent trend[0]

Celltrion Technical Analysis K-line Chart

Chart shows: Celltrion’s stock price fluctuated significantly from 2023 to 2025, currently in a technical adjustment phase[0]

3. Intensified Industry Competition

  • Samsung Biologics
    : Capacity expansion by 30%, contract projects growth by 22%, fierce competition[0]
  • International giants
    : More than 100 companies including Sandoz, Amgen, Pfizer are investing in biosimilar development[2]
  • Price pressure
    : As more generics enter the market, price competition may intensify

4. Regulatory and Patent Risks

  • Regulatory approval for biosimilars is complex, with different standards across countries
  • Original drug manufacturers may delay generic drug launches through patent litigation
  • Changes in U.S. and European regulatory policies may affect market access
4. Investment Recommendations and Outlook
4.1 Sustainability Assessment of Doubling Profit Growth

Conclusion: Generally sustainable, but growth rate may slow down

Supporting Factors (Weight 70%)

  1. Rich product pipeline
    : 28 R&D projects provide long-term growth engines[2]
  2. Strong key products
    : Remsima®'s 96.36% growth shows market leadership[2]
  3. Continuous capacity expansion
    : Acquired U.S. factory and plans to追加投资[5]
  4. High industry prosperity
    : Biosimilar market CAGR of 13.1%[0]
  5. Sound financial structure
    : Low debt risk, sufficient free cash flow[0]

Restricting Factors (Weight 30%)

  1. ⚠️
    High base effect
    : 2025 operating margin of 28.2% is at a historical high, with limited room for further significant improvement
  2. ⚠️
    Valuation pressure
    : P/E ratio of 53.79x requires sustained high growth[0]
  3. ⚠️
    Intensified competition
    : Competitors like Samsung Biologics are expanding rapidly[0]
  4. ⚠️
    Technical adjustment
    : Stock price is in a downtrend, short-term pressure[0]

Forecast: 2026-2027

  • Sales growth rate
    : Expected to remain at
    12-18%
    (slightly slower than 2025’s 15.4%)
  • Operating profit growth rate
    : Expected to drop to
    25-35%
    (2025’s 135.8% is unsustainable)
  • Operating margin
    : Expected to stabilize in the
    25-28%
    range
4.2 Industry and Company Outlook

South Korea’s Biopharmaceutical Industry (2025-2030)

  • South Korea’s biopharmaceutical market is expected to grow from 22.1 billion RMB in 2024 to 30.2 billion RMB by 2035, with a CAGR of approximately
    3.0%
    [1]
  • CDMO market opportunities are huge, with a CAGR of
    13.1%
    from 2025 to 2035[0]
  • South Korean enterprises will continue to benefit from
    manufacturing cost advantages
    and
    technological innovation capabilities

Celltrion’s Long-term Development Path

  • 2025-2027
    : Consolidate global biosimilar leadership and expand market share
  • 2028-2030
    : Expand into innovative biopharmaceuticals to upgrade product portfolio
  • Post-2030
    : Develop into an integrated biopharmaceutical group covering generics, innovative drugs, and CDMO
5. Risk Warnings
  1. Valuation Risk
    : Current P/E ratio of 53.79x is at a high level; if performance falls short of expectations, there may be valuation correction pressure[0]
  2. Competition Risk
    : Competitors like Samsung Biologics are expanding rapidly, which may squeeze market share and profit margins[0]
  3. Regulatory Risk
    : Changes in regulatory policies of U.S. FDA, EU EMA, etc., may affect product approval and market access
  4. Exchange Rate Risk
    : Fluctuations in the KRW/USD exchange rate may affect the performance of overseas businesses
  5. Technical Risk
    : New drug R&D has uncertainties, and projects in R&D may face failure or delay

References

[0] Gilin API Data (including Celltrion company profile, financial analysis, technical analysis, stock price data, etc.)

[1] Global Market Insights - “Biopharmaceutical Market 2025-2034” (https://www.gminsights.com/zh/industry-analysis/biopharmaceutical-market)

[2] Global Growth Insights - “Biopharmaceutical CDMO Market Growth and Trends 2026-2035” (https://www.globalgrowthinsights.com/zh/market-reports/biopharmaceutical-cdmo-market-121135)

[3] Celltrion Official Website - Company Profile and Product Information (https://www.celltrion.com/en-us/company/media-center/press-release/3521)

[4] Sina Finance - “South Korean Biopharmaceutical Giant Celltrion’s Operating Profit Exceeds 1 Trillion KRW for the First Time This Year” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2025-12-31/doc-inheshqn6691139.shtml)

[5] Daily Economic News - “Celltrion Group Acquires Eli Lilly’s Biopharmaceutical Production Facility in the U.S.” (https://www.mk.co.kr/cn/it/11489993)

[6] Taiwan Biotech Medical Industry Policy Promotion Center - “2025 Biotechnology Industry Development Overview” (https://ccd.nat.gov.tw/biopharm/images/2025/2-2025 Biotechnology Industry in TaiwanV1001.pdf)

[7] 36Kr - Celltrion 2025 Performance Forecast Report (https://www.36kr.com/newsflashes/3619006643668232)

Note: Some data is sourced from South Korean and international public information, and there may be differences in statistical calibers. Investment decisions should take multiple factors into account; investors are advised to conduct independent research and consult professional investment advisors.

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.