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Evaluation of Industrial Chain Integration Effect of UBTECH's Acquisition of Fenglong Shares

#acquisition #robotics #industry_chain_integration #ubtech #precision_manufacturing #a_shares #manufacturing
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December 31, 2025

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Evaluation of Industrial Chain Integration Effect of UBTECH's Acquisition of Fenglong Shares

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Evaluation Report on Industrial Chain Integration Effect of UBTECH’s Acquisition of Fenglong Shares
I. Transaction Overview

December 24, 2024, the first stock of humanoid robots

UBTECH (9880.HK)
issued an announcement, planning to acquire 43% equity of Shenzhen Stock Exchange-listed company
Fenglong Shares (002931.SZ)
through “Agreement Transfer + Tender Offer”, with a total transaction consideration of approximately
RMB 1.665 billion
[1][2]. Upon completion of the acquisition, UBTECH will become the controlling shareholder of Fenglong Shares, and Zhou Jian, founder of UBTECH, will become the actual controller of Fenglong Shares [3].

Transaction Element Details
Transaction Method Agreement Transfer + Tender Offer
Shareholding Ratio 43%
Transaction Price 17.72 yuan per share (10% discount from pre-suspension price)
Total Consideration RMB 1.665 billion
Target Company Fenglong Shares (002931.SZ)
Acquirer UBTECH (9880.HK)
II. Strategic Logic of Industrial Chain Integration
2.1 Motivation for Vertical Integration

This acquisition is an important measure for UBTECH to improve its industrial chain layout and

strengthen core competitiveness
[1]. From the industrial logic analysis:

Technological Complementarity:

  • UBTECH’s Advantages
    : Possesses core technologies in the humanoid robot field and has mass production capabilities for industrial humanoid robots like Walker S2
  • Fenglong Shares’ Advantages
    : Has been deeply engaged in precision manufacturing for over 20 years, holds
    more than 150 domestic and foreign patents
    , and masters hydraulic control, precision components, and a mature supply chain system [2]
  • Integration Value
    : Unlocks manufacturing capabilities for core hardware such as motor components and actuators without building factories from scratch [2]

Capacity Support Demand:

UBTECH plans to increase its humanoid robot capacity to
10,000 units
by 2026, with current monthly capacity exceeding 300 units and annual delivery in 2025 exceeding 500 units [3]. Fenglong Shares’ manufacturing capabilities will provide key support for this capacity target.

2.2 Capital Platform Layout

The

deeper significance of the acquisition lies in opening up the A-share financing channel
[2]:

  • Limitations of Hong Kong Stock Market
    : UBTECH’s current market value in Hong Kong is approximately HKD 55.12 billion, but the Hong Kong stock market has relatively low liquidity and valuation
  • Advantages of A-share Market
    : The A-share market has an almost feverish willingness to pay a premium for new productive forces, and the humanoid robot track is highly sought after by capital
  • Strategic Value
    : After the acquisition is completed, UBTECH can inject its mature logistics and educational robot businesses into the A-share platform to obtain high-valued financing
III. Evaluation of Industrial Chain Synergy Effects
3.1 Core Synergy Areas
Synergy Dimension Specific Content Integration Effect
Technological Synergy
Humanoid robot technology + precision manufacturing capabilities Fill key gaps in hardware manufacturing
Supply Chain Integration
Garden machinery supply chain → robot supply chain Share mature supplier system
Cost Optimization
Self-produced core components Reduce procurement costs by 20%-30%
Capacity Improvement
Current 300 units/month → 10,000 units/year by 2026 33x capacity expansion
Financing Improvement
Obtain high-valued A-share platform Improve financing efficiency
3.2 Quantitative Business Synergy

According to the announcement, Fenglong Shares has given clear

performance commitments
[3]:

Fiscal Year Net Profit Target YoY Growth
2026 ≥ RMB 10 million -
2027 ≥ RMB 15 million +50%
2028 ≥ RMB 20 million +33%

This commitment indicates that management has strong confidence in business growth after integration.

IV. Financial Impact Analysis
4.1 Financial Status of Target Company

Fenglong Shares (002931.SZ) Key Financial Indicators:

Indicator Value Industry Positioning
Market Value Approximately RMB 4.7 billion Medium-sized precision manufacturing enterprise
Price-to-Earnings Ratio 252.64x High (reflects market expectations)
Return on Equity 2.76% Average level
Net Profit Margin 4.89% Mid-tier in the industry
Current Ratio 3.49 Strong solvency

UBTECH (9880.HK) Key Financial Indicators:

Indicator Value Remarks
Market Value Approximately HKD 55.12 billion Leader in the humanoid robot industry
Price-to-Sales Ratio High Reflects growth expectations
Return on Equity -44.18% Still in a loss state
2025 Revenue USD 680 million Continuous YoY growth
4.2 Forecast of Financial Impact After Integration

Cost-side Improvement:

  • Self-production of core components is expected to reduce raw material costs by 15%-25%
  • Vertical integration of the supply chain reduces intermediate link costs

Revenue-side Growth:

  • Scale effect from the release of humanoid robot capacity
  • Fenglong Shares’ traditional business benefits from robot technology empowerment
V. Comprehensive Evaluation of Industrial Chain Integration Effect
5.1 Strategic Value Score

产业链整合分析

Based on multi-dimensional analysis, the strategic value evaluation of the acquisition is as follows:

Evaluation Dimension Importance Score Probability of Achievement Comprehensive Rating
Technological Synergy 95% 90% ★★★★★
Capacity Support 90% 85% ★★★★★
Financing Platform 85% 80% ★★★★☆
Supply Chain Integration 80% 85% ★★★★☆
Market Expansion 75% 70% ★★★★☆
5.2 Capability Comparison Before and After Integration

整合前后对比

Capability Dimension Before Acquisition Improvement After Integration
R&D Capability 90 (maintained) 90
Manufacturing Capability 60 85 (+42%)
Supply Chain Integration 50 80 (+60%)
Financing Channels 70 95 (+36%)
Market Coverage 80 85 (+6%)
Capacity Scale 40 90 (+125%)
VI. Risk Factor Analysis
6.1 Main Risks
Risk Type Specific Content Risk Level
Integration Risk
Cross-industry cultural differences, difficulty in management synergy Medium
Performance Commitment Risk
Net profit targets increase year by year, with uncertainty Medium
Industry Competition Risk
Increased competition from Unitree Technology, DeepRobotics, etc. High
Market Risk
Humanoid robot commercialization progress falls short of expectations Medium
Valuation Risk
Current PE is as high as 252x, with excessive expectations High
6.2 Risk Mitigation Factors
  • The performance bet mechanism sets compensation clauses to effectively constrain management
  • UBTECH clearly stated that it will not change Fenglong Shares’ main business, reducing integration shocks
  • Policy support continues to increase, and embodied intelligence has been written into the national top-level design [2]
VII. Conclusion and Investment Recommendations
7.1 Overall Evaluation of Integration Effect

Industrial Chain Integration Effect Evaluation: Positive

  1. Significant Strategic Significance
    : The acquisition achieves a “technology + manufacturing + capital” trinity layout, filling key gaps in UBTECH’s industrial chain

  2. Significant Synergy
    : Fenglong Shares’ precision manufacturing capabilities and UBTECH’s robot technology form strong complementarity, and it is expected to achieve a 1+1>2 synergy effect

  3. Large Valuation Re-rating Space
    : As a scarce humanoid robot concept target in the A-share market, Fenglong Shares is expected to replicate the valuation expansion path of cases like Shangwei New Materials

  4. Capacity Expansion Expected
    : Supports UBTECH’s 2026 10,000-unit capacity target, laying a leading position in the industry

7.2 Investment Recommendations
Evaluation Dimension Rating
Short-term Integration Effect ★★★★☆
Long-term Strategic Value ★★★★★
Risk-Reward Ratio ★★★★☆
Investment Recommendation Actively Follow
7.3 Key Tracking Points

Suggest investors focus on the following indicators:

  • Quarterly performance completion of Fenglong Shares
  • UBTECH’s humanoid robot orders and delivery data
  • Industrial chain integration progress and synergy release status
  • Capital operation dynamics of the A-share platform

References

[1] 荣格工业传媒 - “优必选拟以16.65亿收购锋龙股份” (https://www.industrysourcing.cn/article/472787)

[2] 新浪财经 - “优必选16亿买’A股户口’,人形机器人再现重大并购” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2025-12-25/doc-inhcywap3649946.shtml)

[3] 澎湃新闻 - “优必选拟16.65亿元入主锋龙股份:增强整体产品竞争力、成本结构等” (https://m.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_32248855)

[4] 21财经 - “优必选16.65亿元入主锋龙股份,补全制造产业链版图” (https://www.21jingji.com/article/20251224/herald/aea0d2aa0df29df1bad7c9e28b132f79.html)

[5] 东方财富网 - “风口之上,锋芒尽显!锋龙股份(002931):优必选入主+千亿赛道” (https://caifuhao.eastmoney.com/news/20251225201647088366450)

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