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CATL Capacity Utilization Exceeds 90%: Multidimensional In-depth Analysis of the Energy Storage Industry

#energy_storage #catl_宁德时代 #产能利用率 #lithium_battery #行业分析 #原材料价格 #扩产潮
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December 31, 2025

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CATL Capacity Utilization Exceeds 90%: Multidimensional In-depth Analysis of the Energy Storage Industry

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According to the latest data and industry information, I will systematically analyze the deep implications of CATL’s capacity utilization rate exceeding 90%:


Multidimensional Analysis of CATL’s Capacity Utilization Exceeding 90%
1. Industry Background: The Energy Storage Industry Enters a Super Boom Cycle

The current energy storage industry is experiencing an unprecedented demand boom. According to authoritative data,

global lithium battery energy storage installations reached 170 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 68% year-on-year
[1][2]. Among them:

  • Domestic newly connected installations: 82 GWh, up 61% year-on-year
  • Overseas energy storage: 94 GWh, up 74% year-on-year

This strong demand growth is mainly driven by three factors:

  1. Concentrated release of the peak grid connection of domestic new energy power stations
  2. Increased demand for new energy consumption overseas
  3. Growth in supporting energy storage demand brought by U.S. AI infrastructure [1][2]
2. Industry Position of CATL’s Capacity Utilization
Enterprise Capacity Utilization Status
CATL Exceeded 90% in Q3
EVE Energy Full orders and full production status
Rept Blue Maintained above 90% in Q2, reached 100% in July
Haichen Energy Storage Xiamen and Chongqing bases have been in full production since March

The overall capacity utilization rate of global energy storage cells in 2025 was 86%, far higher than the 65% level in 2024
[1][2]. As an industry leader, CATL’s capacity utilization rate of over 90% reflects
strong pull from the demand side
, not an isolated phenomenon of individual enterprises.

3. Deep Implications of Capacity Utilization Exceeding 90%
1.
Tight Supply-Demand Relationship, Enhanced Discourse Power on the Supply Side

A capacity utilization rate exceeding 90% means the industry as a whole is in a

supply shortage
state, and enterprises have strong bargaining power and order selection rights. Some enterprises even have the phenomenon of “production lines choosing orders”[1][2].

2.
The Industrial Chain Enters a Prosperous Period of “Active Inventory Replenishment”

Securities firms point out that lithium battery supply has passed the overcapacity cycle and officially entered a prosperous period of “active inventory replenishment”[3]. A wave of long-term orders has swept the industry:

  • CATL signed a 47 billion yuan contract with Wanrun New Energy
  • Longpan Technology signed a 45 billion yuan contract with Chuen Energy
  • CATL signed a 7.268 billion yuan electrolyte supply contract with Enchem[1][2][3]
3.
Raw Material Prices Enter an Uptrend Channel

High operating rates have directly driven up prices of upstream raw materials:

  • Battery-grade lithium carbonate: rose 31.80% in two months to 96,230 yuan/ton
  • Lithium hexafluorophosphate: soared more than 260% in five months, exceeding 180,000 yuan/ton[1][2]
4.
A New Wave of Capacity Expansion Starts

As of December, at least 10 companies have disclosed new capacity expansion trends, involving a capital scale of

400 billion yuan
[1][2][3]. Different from the previous expansion wave, this round of expansion
clearly targets the energy storage track
.

4. Investment Implications

CATL’s current stock price is $369.20, market capitalization is $1.63 trillion, P/E ratio is 26.27 times, and ROE reaches 22.84%[0]. High capacity utilization indicates:

  1. High Earnings Certainty
    : High capacity utilization usually translates into revenue and profit growth
  2. Continued Industry Prosperity
    : Production scheduling for all links in the industrial chain has extended to mid-2026[1][2]
  3. Need to Watch Overcapacity Risks
    : Historically, the photovoltaic industry experienced price wars due to over-expansion, so similar risks need to be vigilant[1]

References

[0] Jinling AI Financial Database - CATL (300750.SZ) Company Profile

[1] Huaxia Energy Network - “Long-term order wave drives 400 billion expansion, energy storage is on the old path of photovoltaic overcapacity!” (https://caifuhao.eastmoney.com/news/20251225092119082033460)

[2] Sina Finance - “Long-term order wave drives 400 billion expansion, energy storage is on the old path of photovoltaic overcapacity!” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/relnews/cn/2025-12-25/doc-inhcyrur3705242.shtml)

[3] Futu Information - “King Ning takes action again! Lithium battery long-term orders and expansion announcements fly together, a new cycle is coming?” (https://news.futunn.com/post/66642370/king-ning-takes-action-again-lithium-battery-long-term-orders)

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