2026 Market Turbulence Prediction by G Squared's Victoria Greene

This analysis is based on the YouTube video featuring Victoria Greene of G Squared Private Wealth [1] predicting a turbulent 2026 market, combined with internal market data and economic insights. Recent market trends (Nov 17-Dec 29, 2025) show S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow indices up 2.86%, 3.01%, and 2.96% respectively, with low volatility (0.67-0.99%) [0]. Sector performance is mixed: basic materials, energy, communication services, and technology show slight gains, while healthcare (-0.53%) and other sectors decline [0]. Q3 2025 GDP grew 4.3% (fastest in two years) [0], but concerns persist: falling consumer confidence, rising unemployment, and a K-shaped economy affecting lower-income households [0]. Some economists warn of 2026 stagflation due to tariffs, while the Fed is expected to cut rates, potentially supporting the economy [0]. A Bloomberg survey shows all 21 brokerage forecasters expect 2026 market growth, contrasting with Greene’s volatility prediction [0].

1. Conflicting Forecasts
   : Greene’s warning of volatility clashes with consensus brokerage optimism, highlighting uncertainty in 2026 market outlook.
2. Economic Duality
   : Strong GDP growth is offset by weak consumer confidence and labor market trends, creating a mixed economic backdrop.
3. Policy Impacts
   : Tariffs and Fed rate decisions are key variables that could shape 2026 market conditions, either exacerbating volatility or supporting stability.

• Risks
  : Tariff-induced stagflation, weakening consumer spending, rising unemployment, and K-shaped economic disparities [0].
• Opportunities
  : Fed rate cuts potentially boosting economic activity, tax refund-driven consumer spending, and corporate bonus depreciation from OBBBA [0].
• Strategic Guidance
  : Greene recommends focusing on quality and value investments while avoiding panic during market bumps [1].

Victoria Greene predicts a turbulent 2026 market, advising calm and quality/value investments. Recent market trends are positive, but underlying economic risks (tariffs, stagflation, K-shaped economy) exist. Consensus brokerage forecasts remain optimistic, creating a conflicting outlook. Investors should monitor Fed decisions, consumer spending, tariffs, and corporate earnings for 2026 market signals.