Jilin Carbon Valley (920077) Strong Performance Analysis and Outlook

1. Event Driver & Industry Background
   
   The core catalyst for Jilin Carbon Valley’s strong performance this time is the global carbon fiber industry price hike wave. Japan’s Toray Industries (the global carbon fiber leader) announced that it will increase the price of carbon fiber products by 10%-20% starting from January 2026, and domestic enterprise Jilin Chemical Fiber followed suit with price increases, triggering strong market expectations for profit recovery in the carbon fiber industry. This event pushed the entire carbon fiber concept sector to strengthen collectively, and Jilin Carbon Valley, as a related stock in the industry, saw a significant increase [3].

2. Technical Performance
   
   On December 29, 2025, Jilin Carbon Valley closed at 18.3 yuan, with a daily increase of 23.65% and a turnover rate of 12.85%, far higher than the daily average, indicating high market capital attention and participation. In the same period, the carbon fiber concept sector index rose by 3.08%, and related stocks such as Jilin Chemical Fiber hit the limit up and Guangwei Composites rose by 14.86%, showing obvious sector linkage effects [3][4].

3. Fundamental Support
   
   The long-term demand support for the carbon fiber industry is clear. Institutional analysis points out that the demand for carbon fiber in fields such as wind power, aerospace, and low-altitude economy is growing strongly. Guoyuan Securities expects China’s low-altitude economy scale to exceed 1 trillion yuan in 2026, and Shanxi Securities believes that the demand for high-end carbon fiber is growing significantly, and the industry is expected to enter a high-quality growth period [3].

1. Market Reaction to the Price Hike Transmission Mechanism
   
   The chain reaction of price hikes from global leaders to domestic enterprises indicates that the price bottom of the carbon fiber industry may have been confirmed. The market interprets this as an important signal for industry profit recovery, and capital quickly flows into related stocks, forming a short-term strong market trend.

2. Sector Linkage and Leader Effect
   
   Jilin Carbon Valley’s strong performance is an epitome of the entire carbon fiber sector’s rise. The price hike actions of core enterprises in the sector and the expectations of industry demand growth reinforce each other, jointly promoting the continuous rise of sector momentum.

1. Main Risks
   • Sustainability risk of price hike expectations: The current rise is mainly based on price hike expectations. If industry competition intensifies or cost pressure cannot be effectively transmitted in the future, profit recovery may fall short of expectations.
   • Short-term volatility risk: The increase is large in the short term, and there is pressure for profit-taking.
   • Industry differentiation risk: General carbon fiber products face greater competitive pressure, so it is necessary to pay attention to the company’s product structure and technical advantages.

2. Opportunity Window
   
   If the price hike trend of the carbon fiber industry continues and demand growth meets expectations, the industry’s profit level will be substantially improved, and related companies are expected to benefit from performance growth.

Jilin Carbon Valley’s strong performance this time is mainly driven by the global carbon fiber industry price hike wave. The technical side shows characteristics of high turnover and significant increase, and the fundamentals benefit from the demand growth expectations of carbon fiber in multiple fields. Investors need to pay attention to the realization of price hike expectations, the sustainability of industry demand growth, and the company’s own competitive advantages.

Support level: 15.0 yuan (recent adjustment low)
Resistance level: 20.0 yuan (short-term technical resistance)