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Walvax Biotechnology (300142.SZ) Financial Risk Assessment Report

#financial_risk #earnings #biotech #stock_analysis #valuation_risk #liquidity_risk #accounts_receivable
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December 29, 2025

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Walvax Biotechnology (300142.SZ) Financial Risk Assessment Report

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Walvax Biotechnology (300142.SZ) Financial Risk Assessment Report
I. Core Risk Indicator Analysis

Accounts Receivable/Revenue Ratio: 132.88% — At Extremely High Risk Level

According to the latest financial data, Walvax’s accounts receivable scale has exceeded its annual operating revenue, and this ratio is far beyond the normal range [0].

Key Risk Signals:
  1. Abnormal Payment Collection Cycle

    • Accounts receivable turnover days are approximately
      485 days (about 16.2 months)
    • The normal accounts receivable turnover period for the biopharmaceutical industry is usually
      60-120 days
    • The company’s payment collection efficiency is only
      1/4 to 1/8
      of the industry average
  2. Cash Flow Pressure

    • Although the company’s current ratio of 3.52 and quick ratio of 3.20 indicate acceptable short-term liquidity [0]
    • high accounts receivable imply significant uncertainty in actual cash recovery
    • 2024 revenue was significantly lower than market expectations (-26.50%) [0], further exacerbating cash pressure
II. Debt Risk Assessment
Risk Dimension Assessment Result Explanation
Overall Debt Risk
Low Risk
Classified as low_risk by API assessment [0]
Profitability Risk
High Risk
ROE of only 0.52%, net profit margin of 2.05%, operating profit margin negative (-6.49%) [0]
Accounts Receivable Risk
Extremely High Risk
132.88% ratio indicates severe payment collection issues
Valuation Risk
High Risk
P/E ratio of 367x, EV/OCF of 200.42x, valuations disconnected from fundamentals [0]
III. Potential Impact Analysis
  1. Bad Debt Risk Exposure

    • As seen in the annual report, the company has provisioned for bad debts on some accounts receivable [1]
    • Bad debt provisions for high-risk portfolios amount to RMB 24.792 million, with a provision ratio of 24.29% [1]
    • There is a possibility of further provision for impairment losses
  2. Operating Capital Occupation

    • A large amount of funds are occupied by customers free of charge, increasing financial costs
    • Affects the company’s R&D investment and market expansion capabilities
  3. Impact on Investor Confidence

    • The stock price has fallen by 9.74% in the past year and 71.10% over three years [0]
    • The market has concerns about the company’s financial quality
IV. Overall Risk Rating
Assessment Item Risk Level Weight Weighted Score
Accounts Receivable Risk 🔴 Extremely High 30% 9
Profitability 🔴 High 25% 8
Cash Flow Quality 🟠 Medium-High 20% 6
Debt Repayment 🟢 Low 15% 2
Valuation Rationality 🔴 High 10% 8
Overall Risk
🔴 High Risk
100%
7.2
V. Investment Recommendations

⚠️ Risk Warning: Recommend Avoiding or Paying Cautious Attention

  1. Short-term
    : High accounts receivable indicate weak bargaining power and major flaws in payment collection management
  2. Medium-term
    : Insufficient profitability, revenue below expectations, and fundamental pressure
  3. Long-term
    : Need to observe whether the company can improve customer structure and strengthen accounts receivable management

Key Points to Watch:

  • Trend of accounts receivable in subsequent financial reports
  • Status of bad debt provisions
  • Revenue recovery status and signs of cash flow improvement

References

[0] Jinling API Data - Walvax Biotechnology Financial Analysis, Stock Performance and Financial Indicators (https://financial-api.data.com)

[1] Walvax Biotechnology 2024 Semi-Annual Report (https://www.walvax.com/uploadfile/d90a81adc5934f13b590f417966ffe12.pdf)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.