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In-depth Analysis Report on the Tax Underpayment and Reimbursement Incident of Zhongchao Holding (002471.SZ)

#tax_补缴 #internal_control #financial_analysis #stock_market #investment_advice #financial_risk
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December 29, 2025

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In-depth Analysis Report on the Tax Underpayment and Reimbursement Incident of Zhongchao Holding (002471.SZ)

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In-depth Analysis Report on the Tax Underpayment and Reimbursement Incident of Zhongchao Holding (002471.SZ)
1. Event Overview

Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding Co., Ltd. (002471.SZ) recently conducted a tax self-inspection and found that it needs to pay back a total of

8.2881 million yuan
in taxes and late payment fees, including:

  • Taxes to be reimbursed
    : 5.7236 million yuan
  • Late payment fees
    : 2.5645 million yuan
  • Late fee ratio
    : 30.94%[0]

The company has fully paid the amount and is not subject to administrative penalties; this expense will be recorded in the current profit and loss statement for 2025.

Comprehensive Analysis of Zhongchao Holding

Chart Description
: The above chart shows a comprehensive analysis of the composition of the reimbursed taxes, stock price performance, key financial indicator evaluation, and multi-dimensional risk assessment.


2. Quantitative Analysis of Financial Impact
2.1 Direct Financial Impact

According to brokerage API data [0]:

Impact Dimension Value Analysis
Total Reimbursement 8.2881 million yuan (≈1.15 million USD)
Ratio to Market Cap 0.014% Negligible impact
Ratio to 2024 Revenue 0.073% Almost negligible
Impact on 2025 Net Profit Increase loss by 1.15 million USD The company is already in a loss state

Key Findings
:

  • The reimbursement amount accounts for an extremely low proportion of the company’s market cap (819 million USD), only 0.014% [0]
  • It also accounts for only 0.073% of the 2024 revenue (157 million USD) [0]
  • However, considering the company is currently in a loss state
    (net profit margin -0.73%, ROE -2.28%), this expense will
    further expand the 2025 loss
    [0]
2.2 Financial Health Assessment

Based on financial analysis data [0]:

Indicator Value Evaluation
Profitability
P/E Ratio -208.84x ⚠️ Severe loss
Net Profit Margin -0.73% ⚠️ Negative profit margin
ROE -2.28% ⚠️ Negative shareholder return
Solvency
Current Ratio 1.14 ✓ Barely qualified
Quick Ratio 0.88 ⚠️ Below safety line of 1.0
Free Cash Flow -45.64 million USD ⚠️ Negative cash flow
Valuation Indicators
P/B Ratio 4.74x ⚠️ Overvalued
P/S Ratio 1.51x Neutral

3. Stock Price Performance and Market Reaction
3.1 Recent Stock Price Trend

According to the latest trading data [0]:

Time Period Increase Analysis
1 Day +10.02% Limit up
1 Month +50.12% 🔥 Extremely strong
Year-to-Date +133.58% 🔥 Doubled
1 Year +122.78% 🔥 Long-term strong

Current Status
:

  • Stock Price: $6.26 (Closing on December 26, 2025)
  • 52-Week Range: $2.41 - $6.82
  • Current price is
    close to the 52-week high
    , only 8.2% below the peak [0]
3.2 Abnormal Trading Activity
  • Daily Trading Volume
    : 427.67M
  • Average Trading Volume
    : 129.97M
  • Turnover Rate
    : Approximately
    3.3x
    the average level

This indicates a

strong speculative atmosphere
in the market, possibly driven by short-term funds.

3.3 Technical Analysis

According to technical analysis data [0]:

Indicator Value Signal
Trend Sideways Consolidation No clear direction
MACD No Cross Bullish
KDJ K=64, D=59.7, J=72.6 Bullish
RSI(14) Overbought Risk ⚠️ Beware of correction
Beta 0.63 Lower than market volatility
Support Level $5.07
Resistance Level $6.45

Technical Conclusion
: The stock price has entered the
overbought zone
, and technical indicators suggest
short-term correction risk
[0].


4. In-depth Analysis of Internal Control Issues
4.1 Exposure of Tax Compliance Issues
🔴 Highly Alarming Signals:
  1. Late fee ratio as high as 30.94%

    • Normally, the late fee ratio in tax disputes is around 10-20%
    • A ratio of 30.94% indicates
      the problem has existed for a long time
      , possibly spanning multiple tax years
    • Implies the company
      failed to detect or address this tax issue for a long time
  2. Problem found through self-inspection

    • While reflecting the company’s initiative
    • It also indicates
      previous internal control failed to effectively prevent such issues
    • Exposes
      system loopholes in tax management
  3. No administrative penalty involved

    • This is a positive factor
    • But does not rule out the possibility of further inspections by tax authorities
4.2 Evaluation of Financial Management Capability

According to the financial analysis report [0]:

Dimension Evaluation Explanation
Accounting Policy
Aggressive
The company adopts relatively aggressive accounting treatments
Free Cash Flow
Negative
Continuous negative cash flow, liquidity pressure
Profit Quality
Poor
Continuous loss, weak fundamental support
4.3 Evaluation of Systemic Internal Control Risks

⚠️ Potential Issues Worth Alerting
:

  1. Tax Management Defects
    :

    • There may be other unreported tax issues
    • It is recommended to pay attention to whether the company has other self-inspection announcements in the future
  2. Financial Report Quality
    :

    • Aggressive accounting policies may affect the reliability of financial statements
    • Investors need to focus on audit opinions
  3. Governance Structure Issues
    :

    • The long-term undetected tax issue reflects the failure of supervision mechanisms
    • Internal audit and risk control systems may have flaws
  4. Management Capability
    :

    • Doubts about financial management capabilities
    • Need to pay attention to whether the management has specific measures to improve internal control

5. Evaluation of Valuation Impact
5.1 Direct Valuation Impact
Impact Factor Evaluation
Financial Impact ★☆☆☆☆ (Minor) - The amount accounts for only 0.014% of market cap
Valuation Multiple Affected by continuous loss, PE is negative; valuation mainly refers to P/B and P/S
5.2 Indirect Valuation Impact (More Important)

Long-term Negative Valuation Impact
:

  1. Governance Discount
    :

    • Internal control issues may lead to
      valuation discount
    • Investors may require a higher risk premium
  2. Downward Adjustment of Profit Expectation
    :

    • Need to bear an additional expense of 8.2881 million yuan in 2025
    • On the basis of existing losses,
      the loss will further expand
  3. Damaged Market Confidence
    :

    • May affect the confidence of institutional investors
    • Long-term funds may remain on the sidelines
5.3 Analysis of Current Valuation Rationality
Indicator Current Value Industry Average Evaluation
P/B Ratio 4.74x ~2-3x ⚠️ Overvalued
P/S Ratio 1.51x ~1-2x Neutral High
P/E Ratio Negative - Not comparable

Conclusion
: Considering the company’s
continuous loss
and
internal control issues
, the current P/B ratio of 4.74x is
overvalued
, with correction risk.


6. Investment Advice and Risk Warning
6.1 Comprehensive Risk Assessment
Risk Dimension Score (0-100) Level Explanation
Financial Impact Degree 20 Low Risk Small amount, limited direct impact
Internal Control Risk Level
80
High Risk
⚠️ Systemic internal control flaws
Valuation Impact Degree 40 Medium Risk Governance discount may emerge
Stock Speculation Degree
90
High Risk
🔥 Abnormally high turnover
Comprehensive Risk Level
65
Medium-High Risk
⚠️ Need to treat cautiously
6.2 Investment Advice

🔴 Cautious Investors
:

  • Do not chase high
    : The stock price has risen by 133%, is at a high level, and has high correction risk
  • Wait for better entry point
    : It is recommended to wait for the stock price to correct to below $5.0 before considering
  • Monitor internal control improvements
    : Wait for the company to announce specific rectification measures

🟡 Aggressive Investors
:

  • Set strict stop-loss
    : It is recommended to set a stop-loss at $5.80
  • Control position
    : Do not exceed 5% of the total position
  • Fast in and out
    : Not recommended for long-term holding
6.3 Key Monitoring Indicators

Need to focus on the following indicators in the next 1-3 months:

Monitoring Indicator Warning Line Explanation
Follow-up self-inspection announcements
- Whether there are other reimbursement matters
2025 Q1 Financial Report
- Whether the loss further expands
Internal control rectification measures
- Whether the management has substantive improvements
Stock trading volume
- Whether it continues to be high-volume at high prices
Audit Opinion
- Type of annual report audit opinion
Regulatory Inquiry
- Whether it receives regulatory letters

##7. Core Conclusions

✅ Positive Factors
  1. The
    absolute amount
    of reimbursement is small, with limited impact on the company’s finances
  2. The company
    actively conducted self-inspection
    , reflecting compliance awareness
  3. No administrative penalty involved
    , avoiding more serious consequences
⚠️ Core Risks
  1. Serious internal control issues
    :

    • Late fee ratio of 30.94% indicates long-standing problems
    • May expose deeper management flaws
    • Investors need to remain highly alert
  2. Weak financial fundamentals
    :

    • Continuous loss, negative free cash flow
    • Poor profitability, negative ROE
    • Overvalued (P/B ratio of 4.74x)
  3. High stock risk
    :

    • Short-term surge of 133%, strong speculation
    • Abnormally high turnover, possibly driven by funds
    • Technical indicators show overbought status, high correction risk
📊 Comprehensive Score
Evaluation Dimension Score Explanation
Event Impact ★☆☆☆☆ Minor financial impact
Internal Control Risk ★★★★☆ ⚠️ Highly alert
Valuation Risk ★★★☆☆ Overvalued, correction pressure
Comprehensive Rating
★★★☆☆
Medium-High Risk, Recommend Cautious

Final Advice
: Although the direct financial impact of the tax reimbursement incident is limited,
the exposed internal control issues are worthy of high vigilance by investors
. Considering factors such as the company’s continuous loss, overvaluation, and short-term stock surge,
it is recommended that investors remain cautious and not chase high to intervene
. If investment is needed, it is recommended to wait for the stock price to correct to a reasonable range and closely monitor the progress of the company’s internal control improvements.


References

[0] Jinling API Data (Company Profile, Real-Time Quotes, Historical Prices, Financial Analysis, Technical Analysis)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.