Analysis of the Strong Performance of Guangdao Tui (920680.BJ)

Comprehensive Analysis

Event Background and Price Performance

Guangdao Tui (920680.BJ) is a stock listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange and is currently in the delisting process (marked with “退”). Recent price fluctuations are significant: it hit the daily limit up at 1.32 yuan on December 24 (a 29.41% increase), with a market capitalization of approximately 884 million yuan and a trading volume of about 227 million yuan; on December 25, it rose another 29.55% to enter the strong stock pool [0][1].
Drivers of the Rise
- Special Arrangements in Delisting Process
  : After being transferred to the delisted stock trading board, basic trading functions are still retained, providing possibilities for short-term trading [1];
- Establishment of Compensation Fund
  : Minmetals Securities has set up an investor compensation fund, which has alleviated some investors’ concerns about delisting losses and increased their willingness to participate in the short term [1];
- Speculative Trading
  : During the delisting period, the stock price is highly volatile and the trading threshold is low, attracting short-term speculative funds and driving the stock price to rise rapidly [0].
Fundamental and Technical Evaluation
- Fundamentals
  : It was forced to delist due to false financial reports from 2018 to 2024, with major flaws in fundamentals and a lack of sustainable operating capacity and profit support [0][1];
- Technical Aspects
  : Short-term trading volume has increased significantly (227 million yuan), indicating obvious inflows of speculative funds, but the delisting process is irreversible, so technical indicators have limited reference value for long-term trends [0].

Key Insights

The strong performance of this stock is a short-term speculative behavior during the delisting period and has nothing to do with the quality of the company’s fundamentals;
Although the establishment of the compensation fund temporarily eases market sentiment, it cannot change the final result of the company’s delisting;
The trading functions of the delisted stock trading board provide operational space for speculative funds, but the risks are extremely high.

Risks and Opportunities

Main Risks
: The risk of forced delisting is clear; false financial reports have led to a complete loss of the company’s reputation, and investors may face total investment losses [0][1];
Opportunity Assessment
: There are only short-term speculative opportunities, but with severe volatility and high uncertainty, it is not suitable for long-term investment;
Priority
: The risk level is extremely high, and investors need to be highly vigilant.

Key Information Summary

The strong performance of Guangdao Tui (920680.BJ) is driven by short-term speculation and special arrangements during the delisting period;
There are major flaws in fundamentals, and long-term investment risks are extremely high;
Investors should fully understand the delisting process and risks, and participate in such transactions cautiously.

Analysis of the Strong Performance of Guangdao Tui (920680.BJ)

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